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re: Hurricane Isaias - Pensacola Beach to Navarre Beach Under the Gun

Posted on 10/9/26 at 9:57 am to
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
76985 posts
Posted on 10/9/26 at 9:57 am to
quote:

what are the yellow dots and polygons?

Dots are lightning. The polygon is some sort of warning for marine interests.
Posted by UptownJoeBrown
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2024
13059 posts
Posted on 10/9/26 at 9:57 am to
Forecasting has come a long way I must say.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
76985 posts
Posted on 10/9/26 at 9:58 am to
That's a lot of lightning in the eyewall.
Posted by ArHog
Gulf Coast
Member since Jan 2008
40619 posts
Posted on 10/9/26 at 9:58 am to



Surfs up

OBA
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
52443 posts
Posted on 10/9/26 at 9:59 am to
quote:

The polygon is some sort of warning for marine interests.

If there's any marine vessel out there in that location right now they deserve whatever happens to them.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
52505 posts
Posted on 10/9/26 at 10:00 am to
Winds still at 120 mph on the 10 AM advisory. Pressure 959mb.

Tropical storm warning has been expanded further inland.
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14784 posts
Posted on 10/9/26 at 10:00 am to
From the NHC discussion...not good for power outages farther inland in Alabama. Tree damage will be significant.

quote:

Strong deep-layer shear has definitely increased as forecast, with
various analyses now showing 30-40 kt out of the southwest.
However, the shear vector is nearly aligned with the storm's
motion, which limits its adverse effects, and upper-level
divergence is also increasing over the hurricane. This setup has
likely allowed the hurricane to intensify this morning, and the
hurricane regional models (HAFS-A, HAFS-B, and HWRF), as well as
the statistical-dynamical models (SHIPS and LGEM), all suggest that
Isaias could maintain major hurricane intensity up until its
landfall this evening. Therefore, the NHC official forecast depicts
Isaias with 100-kt winds just offshore the western Florida
Panhandle this evening. Weakening will occur after landfall, but
sustained hurricane-force winds will likely occur near and along
Isaias's track up to 100 miles inland from the coast into southern
Alabama, and gusts to hurricane force could extend even farther
north into central Alabama
. Isaias is likely to lose its tropical
characteristics by 36 hours when it is over northern Alabama.
Posted by UptownJoeBrown
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2024
13059 posts
Posted on 10/9/26 at 10:02 am to
quote:

If there's any marine vessel out there in that location right now they deserve whatever happens to them.


I agree. Kinda like people who buy beachfront property on the Gulf. You can’t possibly be surprised a hurricane may come at you. It’s the reason I decided not to buy a beachfront property. Will rent though.
This post was edited on 10/9/26 at 10:03 am
Posted by RockChalkTiger
A Little Bit South of Saskatoon
Member since May 2009
11417 posts
Posted on 10/9/26 at 10:03 am to
quote:

Someone finds out they’re neighbors with another poster in the thread


quote:

Oh yeah, you are less than a mile from me


Yahtzee!
Posted by LSU=Champions
BAWxtard | Tier 1
Member since Apr 2004
22633 posts
Posted on 10/9/26 at 10:05 am to
Pretty notable eastward shift of the cone this close to landfall, especially the western edge of the cone.
Posted by ned nederlander
Member since Dec 2012
6204 posts
Posted on 10/9/26 at 10:05 am to
The intensity shifted a full M closer to land.
Posted by GEAUXT
Member since Nov 2007
30746 posts
Posted on 10/9/26 at 10:05 am to
quote:

Winds still at 120 mph on the 10 AM advisory. Pressure 959mb.


That is not ideal
Posted by DomesticatedBoar
Fairhope, AL
Member since Jul 2019
927 posts
Posted on 10/9/26 at 10:06 am to
quote:

we’re a few blocks east of J’s Bakery

We lived in Pensacola for five years before moving to Fairhope. I could eat my weight in devil dogs from J’s.
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
113494 posts
Posted on 10/9/26 at 10:07 am to
It’s still going to be a tropical storm almost in Tennessee. That’s amazing
Posted by PTLSU
New Orleans
Member since Jun 2012
1905 posts
Posted on 10/9/26 at 10:08 am to
Well we lucked out here in NOLA. That looks pretty terrifying. Oof

Posted by SippyCup
Gulf Coast
Member since Sep 2008
7137 posts
Posted on 10/9/26 at 10:09 am to
quote:

I have a friend who has a beach house on Navarre. He's stressed out of his mind understandably.


I don't understand people like this. I've owned numerous properties in NW Florida over the past 20 years. Some personal residences and most investment. I expect a storm to happen and carry the appropriate insurance to deal with it. I only have one now and its my personal residence for 51% of the year. I drove there Tuesday to pick up the outdoor furniture and drove back to LA. If it gets wiped out, insurance pays for a new and better one.
Posted by doublecutter
Member since Oct 2003
7266 posts
Posted on 10/9/26 at 10:09 am to
I got a feeling that the Tide/Bulldogs game in Tuscaloosa is going to be a shitshow.
Posted by Tigahs24Seven
Charlie Kirk's America
Member since Nov 2007
15601 posts
Posted on 10/9/26 at 10:09 am to
quote:



I agree. Kinda like people who buy beachfront property on the Gulf. You can’t possibly be surprised a hurricane may come at you. It’s the reason I decided not to buy a beachfront property. Will rent though.


This is exactly why my insurance is so high, along with everyone else who owns on the beach...I got destroyed in Sally and I am grateful that it doesn't look like this will be a repeat for me, but it comes with the territory. You just enjoy the beauty in between the storms.
I do feel sorry for the guys friend though. It is a big lift on the backend to deal with the rebuild coming his way.
Posted by Demps
Member since Oct 2025
1466 posts
Posted on 10/9/26 at 10:09 am to
Well so much for wind sheer. Now they are talking Cat 4 at landfall.
Posted by DMAN1968
Member since Apr 2019
13829 posts
Posted on 10/9/26 at 10:10 am to
quote:

The posts people had on Monday Google showed into Pascagoula.

It is good, but was it really that much better?

I didn't get a Monday one...I didn't even know it existed

This is from Wednesday 6am.


Pretty spot on...taking the center line.
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