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LSU=Champions
| Favorite team: | |
| Location: | BAWxtard | Tier 1 |
| Biography: | |
| Interests: | |
| Occupation: | LSU Alum |
| Number of Posts: | 22648 |
| Registered on: | 4/4/2004 |
| Online Status: | Not Online |
Recent Posts
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re: Isaias - Clean Up and Recovery Begins
Posted by LSU=Champions on 10/9/26 at 7:07 pm to PGAOLDBAWNevahBroke
You idiot.
re: Isaias - Clean Up and Recovery Begins
Posted by LSU=Champions on 10/9/26 at 2:04 pm to lsurulz1515
OysterPoboy Job
re: Isaias - Clean Up and Recovery Begins
Posted by LSU=Champions on 10/9/26 at 1:37 pm to TideCPA
NOAA plane just clocked an extrapolated pressure of 951.6 mb. That’s several points lower than any other flight level extrapolated minimum barometric pressure reading.
re: Isaias - Clean Up and Recovery Begins
Posted by LSU=Champions on 10/9/26 at 1:15 pm to BigBro
Of course the plane to pick up these massive readings is Air Force not NOAA so there’s no Tail Doppler Radar to verify what’s actually going on down below.
re: Isaias - Clean Up and Recovery Begins
Posted by LSU=Champions on 10/9/26 at 1:08 pm to BigBro
Recon deployed 2 dropsondes at that area where those highest flight level winds were observed.
Mean wind in lowest 500mb: 118kt and 113kt
I think NHC is going to have to issue an interim updated advisory increasing winds.
Mean wind in lowest 500mb: 118kt and 113kt
I think NHC is going to have to issue an interim updated advisory increasing winds.
re: Isaias - Clean Up and Recovery Begins
Posted by LSU=Champions on 10/9/26 at 12:53 pm to AU_251
The two new 136kt flight level readings calculate to 122.4kt / 140mph at surface level (if using a standard 0.90 reduction factor) or 118kt / 136mph at surface level (if using 0.87 reduction factor noted by Pettus).
re: Isaias - Clean Up and Recovery Begins
Posted by LSU=Champions on 10/9/26 at 12:49 pm to LSU=Champions
The other recon plane just clocked a 134kt. Unreal.
ETA: And two 136kt readings after that. Shook.
ETA: And two 136kt readings after that. Shook.
re: Isaias - Clean Up and Recovery Begins
Posted by LSU=Champions on 10/9/26 at 12:48 pm to Chad504boy
We’ll know more in the next 24 hours.
re: Isaias - Clean Up and Recovery Begins
Posted by LSU=Champions on 10/9/26 at 12:41 pm to loogaroo
re: Isaias - Clean Up and Recovery Begins
Posted by LSU=Champions on 10/9/26 at 12:31 pm to halleburton
This is beyond me, so had to plug in numbers into AI using flight level height.
Apparently it converts to 130.5 mph.
Apparently it converts to 130.5 mph.
re: Isaias - Clean Up and Recovery Begins
Posted by LSU=Champions on 10/9/26 at 12:27 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
126kt flight level obs in NE eyewall. Woah.
re: Isaias - Clean Up and Recovery Begins
Posted by LSU=Champions on 10/9/26 at 11:49 am to CarolinaGamecock99
Convective bursts still firing along entire western side of eyewall. Eastern side is surprisingly weakest appearing eyewall on IR at the moment.
re: Isaias - Clean Up and Recovery Begins
Posted by LSU=Champions on 10/9/26 at 11:24 am to LegendInMyMind
Recon just punched E eyewall and clocked some of the highest flight level winds yet at 118kt. By my recall, this is 2nd highest of its kind. Strongest flight level wind observation before that was 120kt on the last flight, and I think it was just one obs at that. These are not surface level winds but still indication that Isaias is more than holding it’s on in the fight against the wind shear and dry air. Honestly impressed.
re: Isaias - Clean Up and Recovery Begins
Posted by LSU=Champions on 10/9/26 at 10:44 am to Ten Bears
Yes.
re: Isaias - Clean Up and Recovery Begins
Posted by LSU=Champions on 10/9/26 at 10:05 am to RockChalkTiger
Pretty notable eastward shift of the cone this close to landfall, especially the western edge of the cone.
re: Isaias - Clean Up and Recovery Begins
Posted by LSU=Champions on 10/9/26 at 9:56 am to UptownJoeBrown
10am advisory is now out. NHC just bumped winds up from 110 mph to 120 mph. In line with prior forecast.
re: Isaias - Clean Up and Recovery Begins
Posted by LSU=Champions on 10/9/26 at 8:59 am to NorthEndZone
NEZ, that’s a good view of the battle between the wind shear and dry air pushing in from the west and the core attempting to wrap convection around and warm eye. That wobble at end of the loop looks to me like the shear might just finally be making its biggest impact yet.
re: Isaias - Clean Up and Recovery Begins
Posted by LSU=Champions on 10/9/26 at 8:48 am to rds dc
Barometric pressure staying steady if not marginally strengthening though. Most recent pass was 959mb, with passes prior to that in this mission being 960, 959, 962, and 964 (in reverse order). Certainly reflective of a healthy core. Also there’s some new firing of convective bursts in the western and eastern eyewall.
re: Isaias - Clean Up and Recovery Begins
Posted by LSU=Champions on 10/9/26 at 8:41 am to PurpleandGold Motown
The center of circulation remains on the right side of the forecast cone and is approaching the edge. I think the NHC is going to shift its cone and its midpoint even more east at the 10am advisory.
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