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re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:28 pm to
Posted by SippyCup
Gulf Coast
Member since Sep 2008
6984 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:28 pm to
My Punta vacation has been cancelled again.
Posted by yellowfin
Coastal Bar
Member since May 2006
98927 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:28 pm to
quote:


I have a vacation in Jamaica on the 12th..am I fricked?


You'll be fine. Storm will be long gone and Jamaica will still be just as shitty as it's been for the last 30 years
Posted by GetCocky11
Calgary, AB
Member since Oct 2012
53509 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:28 pm to
quote:

I have a vacation in Jamaica on the 12th..am I fricked?




Nope. You should be good.

Have fun!

This post was edited on 9/4/17 at 5:31 pm
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:28 pm to
I hope we didn't lose plane AF309... it hasn't transmitted anything for a while and was still in the air at its last transmission
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
66950 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:29 pm to
That thing never loses hurricane status and strengthens again in the Great Lakes.

Would be the storm of all time.
Posted by HubbaBubba
North of DFW, TX
Member since Oct 2010
51673 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:31 pm to
944. At what level? 400 or surface?
Posted by RazorBroncs
Possesses the largest
Member since Sep 2013
16146 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:31 pm to
quote:

GFS so far:


If Jose really does stay on Irma's heels like that (assuming it even exists at that point), am I correct to assume that it would also follow in the same trough as Irma - which would be further east at that point - and take it fishing in the north Atlantic?

Since I've taken a lot of interest in the weather a few years ago I've never seen one following in another's path that closely, not sure how they interact when they're not close enough for the fujiwhara effect to take hold

This post was edited on 9/4/17 at 5:32 pm
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43290 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:32 pm to
surface
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21465 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:32 pm to


Posted by cajunangelle
Member since Oct 2012
166692 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:32 pm to
the new GFS is much easier on SC's sphincter, no?
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:33 pm to
quote:

944. At what level? 400 or surface?

surface

ETA: same drosonde had 925 mb at 184 m (~605 ft)
This post was edited on 9/4/17 at 5:36 pm
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:33 pm to
Yes and they also have many possibilities that play into this path too. This thing actually still has a possibility of hitting nobody on land even though that is getting slimmer as we go along here. The margin of error is actually anywhere from Maine to Texas which is kinda ridiculous. Obviously it going on a path towards the west is a much lower chance right now but it's something that still exists. Too many variables in play here which is why it's making me nervous.
Posted by saint tiger225
San Diego
Member since Jan 2011
48748 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:34 pm to
Can we get a sticky for this thread? Seems like it's one for us to definitely watch now. It went from the early models pushing it back out to sea, to now pretty much hitting Florida, or getting in to the gulf, depending on that cold front.
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42053 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:35 pm to
944 is what the NHC had on their last advisory... it's not anything new..
Posted by bigpapamac
Mobile, AL
Member since Oct 2007
22592 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:35 pm to
quote:

the new GFS is much easier on SC's sphincter, no?


Looks that way because it's much tougher on Florida's as the eye just dissects Florida's peninsula and weakens it on it's way up the coast.
Posted by HubbaBubba
North of DFW, TX
Member since Oct 2010
51673 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:36 pm to
quote:

I have a vacation in Jamaica on the 12th..am I fricked?
Enjoy the Zika mosquitoes.
Posted by ThatMakesSense
Fort Lauderdale
Member since Aug 2015
15281 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:38 pm to
quote:

Enjoy the Zika mosquitoes.


Jokes on the mosquitoes.
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43444 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:40 pm to
rds , there was a local weatherman downplaying the GFS models of having sub 900 system due to the model not referencing a particular data set with something to do with ocean interaction or something of the sort.

Can you elaborate on that?
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131388 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:40 pm to
An 890 mb storm direct hit on Miami is insane.
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43444 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:41 pm to
Also if that model is for whatever reason true. Miami will not exist afterwards.


890mb wtf???
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