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Started By
Message
re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down
Posted on 9/4/17 at 4:58 pm to jdd48
Posted on 9/4/17 at 4:58 pm to jdd48
Well, there are always people in these threads that frick with people that don't know any better. There are about 4 or 5 people in this entire thread worth listening to and NONE of them are going to come out and say it's doomsday for the GOM, ESPECIALLY louisiana, this far in advance. Keep that in mind.
1
Posted on 9/4/17 at 4:59 pm to blight
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:00 pm to rt3
quote:
18z GFS is running
Whiskey time.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:02 pm to Hangover Haven
quote:Which may be our saving grace in Baton Rouge, fingers crossed.
There's a front coming down..
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:04 pm to Nawlens Gator
quote:
What I see is the models keep moving the north turn to the west. Their prediction of a trough to cause this turn is not accurate. That's because these models aren't accurate enough to predict the trough location and strength. This turn to the north may never happen and this thing could hit land any where along the upper GOM.
You're not wrong that the models keeps inching west, but at this point there's no indication of this happening.. we're all a little scarred from Katrina, but we have to resist spreading bad information.
This post was edited on 9/4/17 at 5:05 pm
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:04 pm to bobbyleewilliams
this GFS is keeping it away from Cuba
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:05 pm to bobbyleewilliams
quote:
quote:
There's a front coming down..
Which may be our saving grace in Baton Rouge, fingers crossed.
low - 59, 60, 61, 66.... that's for Thurs-Sun a.m.
Hurricane is not coming to LA, thank God for the front !
This post was edited on 9/4/17 at 5:06 pm
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:10 pm to 91TIGER
quote:
low - 59, 60, 61, 66.... that's for Thurs-Sun a.m.
Hurricane is not coming to LA, thank God for the front !
That's also just a prediction.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:10 pm to 91TIGER
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:10 pm to 91TIGER
That great news
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:11 pm to 91TIGER
quote:
low - 59, 60, 61, 66.... that's for Thurs-Sun a.m.
Hurricane is not coming to LA, thank God for the front !
you just jinxed it.
goddamnit.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:11 pm to 91TIGER
quote:
low - 59, 60, 61, 66.... that's for Thurs-Sun a.m.
Hurricane is not coming to LA, thank God for the front !
As if that is the only factor in hurricane tracking
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:11 pm to GEAUXmedic
this GFS continuing with the Miami-Dade Mega-Storm
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:11 pm to GEAUXmedic
GFS so far:
This post was edited on 9/4/17 at 5:12 pm
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:14 pm to TigerStripes06
quote:
Well, there are always people in these threads that frick with people that don't know any better. There are about 4 or 5 people in this entire thread worth listening to and NONE of them are going to come out and say it's doomsday for the GOM, ESPECIALLY louisiana, this far in advance. Keep that in mind.
It's not just the uninformed posting it though. There's a meteorologist on another forum posting that the track looked like Ike. He got blasted all to hell then deleted it. That's some messed up shite to post considering it had no basis in reality and they just got slammed with a fricking flooding of a lifetime.
This post was edited on 9/4/17 at 5:14 pm
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:14 pm to Duke
quote:
Isnt it special the track of a major hurricane that could impact millions of people will depend on the progression of a shortwave that may or may not exist?
That s/w is weaker on the 18z and the main trough is kicking out faster. But there are other changes and Irma ends up landfalling near the same point. Biggest change, Miami is in the western eyewall this run.
ETA: That should be eastern eyewall
This post was edited on 9/4/17 at 5:21 pm
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:15 pm to WoWyHi
big change with this GFS is it doesn't impact Miami-Dade then go back out to the Atlantic
it's going in and stays on the peninsula
it's going in and stays on the peninsula
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:15 pm to GEAUXmedic
Not looking good for Cuba.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:16 pm to rds dc
GFS still has this thing as a sub-900mb hurricane when it makes landfall.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:16 pm to rds dc
So the forecast is still a nightmare of moving parts. Got it.
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