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re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:17 pm to
Posted by MrSmith
Member since Sep 2009
8319 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:17 pm to
Man there are some idiots in this thread. I wish we could add flair to users, like on Reddit, for the guys that actually know what they're talking about
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
66950 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:18 pm to
At what point do the Keys require a mandatory evacuation?

Just a normal drive to get from Key West to north past where this storm is predicting to go is a near five hour drive.
Posted by LSUGrrrl
Frisco, TX
Member since Jul 2007
46336 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:18 pm to
Dude, stop jamming up this thread. No one here knows or cares what a meteorologist posts on another forum. These aren't new thread concepts here and everyone knows who is knowledgeable and who's not. Anyone posting bs scare shite is reeled in quickly.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:18 pm to
quote:

At what point do the Keys require a mandatory evacuation?

Just a normal drive to get from Key West to north past where this storm is predicting to go is a near five hour drive.

I figure evacuations would start about Wednesday
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21464 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:18 pm to
quote:


That s/w is weaker on the 18z and the main trough is kicking out faster. But there are other changes and Irma ends up landfalling near the same point. Biggest change, Miami is in the western eyewall this run


Errr eastern...
Posted by bigpapamac
Mobile, AL
Member since Oct 2007
22592 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:20 pm to
Florida seems on top of it, the governor has already declared a state of emergency throughout the state. I bet if we wake up tomorrow to similar forecast models they'll be starting to evacuate the Keys tomorrow.
Posted by CptBengal
BR Baby
Member since Dec 2007
71661 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:20 pm to
quote:


Errr eastern...



keeps sliding west....and still so far out to sea.
Posted by WoWyHi
Member since Jul 2009
23339 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:20 pm to
Ok Peej. I think I'll hang around though especially since you don't want me to.
Posted by WM_Tiger
NELA
Member since May 2017
1602 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:21 pm to
Cat 4. Wonder just how strong this thing will get.
Posted by cajunangelle
Member since Oct 2012
166692 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:21 pm to
quote:

this GFS continuing with the Miami-Dade Mega-Storm

Yep, it is slow loading but it looks this way. Also take note that as of now Naval Station Guantanamo Bay, Cuba LINK is not evacuating and they did the last few Hurricanes. So they must see the model where Cuba is somewhat spared?

Also why in the frick are people putting the Forest Gump spaghetti models in here all swearing upside down it is gonna go in the GOM? I know folks are gun shy, but for frick sakes; Fla. is being pointed at first then SC then NC. Not the GOM. People have reasonably tried saying this but some don't believe it.

Here everyone, take your PTSDCane shot here-----> I---->

There... all better?
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131387 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:22 pm to
There are a lot of chicken littles that always think the worst is happening to them
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:23 pm to
the upper level recon mission (plane NOAA9) is heading into the storm now
Posted by ThatMakesSense
Fort Lauderdale
Member since Aug 2015
15281 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:24 pm to
I have a vacation in Jamaica on the 12th..am I fricked?
Posted by Kcoyote
Member since Jan 2012
12050 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:24 pm to
I'm in Orlando, so I think no matter what, I won't get the worst of it. Looks like it's going to unload on Miami as the most reasonable prediction, then weaken considerably as it goes north.

Other models have it going away from the middle of the state either into the GOM or up north along the coast.
Posted by HubbaBubba
North of DFW, TX
Member since Oct 2010
51673 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:24 pm to
Posted by WoWyHi
Member since Jul 2009
23339 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:25 pm to
quote:

I'm in Orlando, so I think no matter what, I won't get the worst of it.


Make it so, number one.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:25 pm to
plane NOAA2 went into the eye and found a pressure of 944 mb
Posted by bigpapamac
Mobile, AL
Member since Oct 2007
22592 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:26 pm to
quote:

I have a vacation in Jamaica on the 12th..am I fricked?


Probably not.
Posted by Dizz
Member since May 2008
16120 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:27 pm to
When the forecast has the storm going somewhere else they come out and say "well that's just a forecast anything can happen."

When the storm is forecast to come their way "it's the end of the world the forecast can't be wrong."
This post was edited on 9/4/17 at 5:30 pm
Posted by Kcoyote
Member since Jan 2012
12050 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:28 pm to
Oh god nevermind, I'm gonna get fricked.
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