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re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Posted on 9/3/17 at 7:00 pm to
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
105177 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 7:00 pm to
30+ inch rainfall for the SE. Harvey redux.

Posted by tunechi
Member since Jun 2009
10574 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 7:08 pm to
I'm supposed to be in the Bahamas on the 14th. Looks like there may not be a Bahamas by then
Posted by TigerStripes06
SWLA
Member since Sep 2006
30032 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 7:08 pm to
No way, huh? All those models show it moving through basically in a day.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 7:09 pm to


ETA: if the 2 dropsondes in the center (#s 2 & 5) mark the exact spot of the eye (as they should)... that means the storm is still very much headed SW
This post was edited on 9/3/17 at 7:11 pm
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 7:13 pm to
Speaking of the absurd.



HMON wants to shatter record for deepest low recorded on Earth.
Posted by TigerStripes06
SWLA
Member since Sep 2006
30032 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 7:14 pm to
Should level off tuesday and begin its turn wednesday if these things are accurate, This basically just confirms what the models are thinking.
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
178746 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 7:15 pm to
God of Mother
Posted by Lsuhoohoo
Member since Sep 2007
102294 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 7:16 pm to


Even hurricanes hate Florida.

That last second track due North is crazy. It's like she's headed straight for Florida and then says "nah frick that".
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 7:19 pm to
I mean, that is getting into fantasy land.
Posted by GEAUXT
Member since Nov 2007
30505 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 7:21 pm to
quote:

I mean, that is getting into fantasy land.


I sure hope so
Posted by TigerStripes06
SWLA
Member since Sep 2006
30032 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 7:21 pm to
Everything is fantasy until it happens.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91836 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 7:22 pm to
quote:

HMON wants to shatter record for deepest low recorded on Earth.





At some point you have to think these ridiculous numbers might verify, similar to Harvey rainfall totals.

HMON takes it to 857 and 187 mph. HWRF takes it to 911 w/ 165 mph winds.

That is concerning.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 7:24 pm to
Theres a 900 mb running through the Bahamas and then there's getting a pressure lower than Tip. The signal is for a powerful hurricane, likely a Cat 5 by that point.
Posted by RazorBroncs
Possesses the largest
Member since Sep 2013
16126 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 7:24 pm to
Very much headed SW, especially the last few frames:



Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 7:25 pm to
dropsonde #8 may mark a bit of a W wobble
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91836 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 7:27 pm to
quote:

Theres a 900 mb running through the Bahamas and then there's getting a pressure lower than Tip. The signal is for a powerful hurricane, likely a Cat 5 by that point.


I agree it is a stretch, but I'd also think the models don't just send it to 857 for the hell of it.
Posted by GetCocky11
Calgary, AB
Member since Oct 2012
53509 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 7:29 pm to
quote:

I still think this storm ends up hitting the Georgia-South Carolina area.


South Carolina has been relatively lucky when it comes to major hurricanes since 1989.

It is only a matter of time.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102429 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 7:29 pm to


Looks like they're trying to draw a biohazard sign

Wtf the image changed to a straight line? Weird
This post was edited on 9/3/17 at 7:44 pm
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102429 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 7:31 pm to
quote:

supposed to be in the Bahamas on the 14th. Looks like there may not be a Bahamas by then


I would consider cancelling that trip
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 7:32 pm to
quote:

Looks like they're trying to draw a biohazard sign

subtle message to Mr. Kim Jong-Un
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