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re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Posted on 9/3/17 at 5:02 pm to
Posted by jmarto1
Houma, LA/ Las Vegas, NV
Member since Mar 2008
38655 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 5:02 pm to
Yea...my mother is supposed to fly from Ft.Lauderdale to Staniel Cay Monday. Thinks the storm will be behind them...
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21443 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 5:07 pm to
The SW trend continues on the 18z GFS



moving westward at this point...

This post was edited on 9/3/17 at 5:08 pm
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43290 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 5:07 pm to
That looks terrifying.
Posted by DavidTheGnome
Monroe
Member since Apr 2015
31511 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 5:09 pm to
So how far out are we to knowing when/where this thing is going to hit?
Posted by cajunangelle
Member since Oct 2012
166607 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 5:12 pm to
I use maxthon browser the graphs came out odd.
This post was edited on 9/3/17 at 6:03 pm
Posted by the paradigm
Moon Township, PA
Member since Sep 2017
5417 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 5:12 pm to
Outer Banks gonna get hammered again
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21443 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 5:21 pm to
Trough is a little stronger moving out of the NE vs 12z but the storm is farther SW before making the turn north. So it might be a wash in the end. Regardless, another close call for Miami before the turn.

Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21443 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 5:30 pm to
quote:

Trough is a little stronger moving out of the NE vs 12z but the storm is farther SW before making the turn north. So it might be a wash in the end.


Landfall is basically in the same spot. Odd how that works out over 204 hours with run-to-run changes in the overall setup.
Posted by GetCocky11
Calgary, AB
Member since Oct 2012
53509 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 5:31 pm to
Outer Banks if you had to guess?
Posted by RollTide1987
Baltimore, MD
Member since Nov 2009
70987 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 5:33 pm to
Let me make sure I have this correct, the GFS is forecasting this thing to have 886-893 mbs of pressure off the coast of Florida?

That's a Category 5...easily.
Posted by TigerStripes06
SWLA
Member since Sep 2006
30032 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 5:40 pm to
That is an EXTREME category 5. There haven't been more than 2 or 3 storms like that in recorded history.
This post was edited on 9/3/17 at 5:41 pm
Posted by HubbaBubba
North of DFW, TX
Member since Oct 2010
51647 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 5:42 pm to
This appears to come in to North Carolina and leave South Carolina alone, for the most part. Being on the west side of the impact area will be good for S. Carolina, but the outer banks of North Carolina are going to be stripped bare if that comes in as a Cat 5.

Posted by doublecutter
Member since Oct 2003
7137 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 5:45 pm to
Has Peej made his misprediction yet?
Posted by TigerStripes06
SWLA
Member since Sep 2006
30032 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 5:46 pm to
Seems like even though it's getting farther and farther to the SW every run, the latest GFS is showing the hardest turn yet. The models must be gaining faith in that trough.
Posted by JimMorrison
The Peninsula
Member since May 2012
20747 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 5:47 pm to
Irma is going to be a bad bitch.
Posted by HubbaBubba
North of DFW, TX
Member since Oct 2010
51647 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 5:48 pm to
quote:

another close call for Miami before the turn.
So far. If they keep moving this South and West it could easily take out the tip of the peninsula. I'm especially watching because I have to fly in to Ft. Meyers on Monday of next week and drive down to Naples. Something's telling me my plans may change.
Posted by HubbaBubba
North of DFW, TX
Member since Oct 2010
51647 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 5:52 pm to
quote:

Has Peej made his misprediction yet?
Hey Peej.....

Posted by TigerStripes06
SWLA
Member since Sep 2006
30032 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 5:55 pm to
quote:

Has Peej made his misprediction yet?


Yall giving him shite is WAY more tired than his predictions.
Posted by GeorgeTheGreek
Sparta, Greece
Member since Mar 2008
69091 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 5:58 pm to
Florida should go ahead and cancel their next home game.
Posted by cajunangelle
Member since Oct 2012
166607 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 6:04 pm to
quote:


I would die if I didn't evac.
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