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re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Posted on 9/3/17 at 7:35 pm to
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 7:35 pm to
think they dropped dropsonde #8 and have called it a mission
Posted by Ben Dare
A sandy beach with cold water
Member since Nov 2012
113 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 7:37 pm to
quote:

This appears to come in to North Carolina and leave South Carolina alone, for the most part. Being on the west side of the impact area will be good for S. Carolina, but the outer banks of North Carolina are going to be stripped bare if that comes in as a Cat 5.


Yeah. That model basically takes in over my house and into my bedroom. FML I'm the fartherest point of mainland south and east at the end of the sobx in NC.

Btw thanks to all you wx gurus who help inturrpret these models wo the drama. Waiting for the hook east and out to sea

Posted by TigerStripes06
SWLA
Member since Sep 2006
30032 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 7:40 pm to
quote:

At some point you have to think these ridiculous numbers might verify, similar to Harvey rainfall totals.

HMON takes it to 857 and 187 mph. HWRF takes it to 911 w/ 165 mph winds.

That is concerning.


I've always thought the time to start making preparations is when everything starts to come together in agreement. It's getting that way. That being said, no one really has any clue or wants to make any kind of projection until it sits on the tip of florida, so who the hell knows
This post was edited on 9/3/17 at 7:41 pm
Posted by Ben Dare
A sandy beach with cold water
Member since Nov 2012
113 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 7:43 pm to
Where're you at cajunangelle? ILM? Morehead City here

quote:

quote:

I would die if I didn't evac.
Posted by cajunangelle
Member since Oct 2012
166607 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 7:45 pm to
I think Hubba Bubba made that graphic up to frick with me.
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43290 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 7:45 pm to
they are still in the storm
Posted by cajunangelle
Member since Oct 2012
166607 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 7:46 pm to
the coast of ILM. I almost moved to Morehead so many times.
Posted by Ben Dare
A sandy beach with cold water
Member since Nov 2012
113 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 7:50 pm to
Here's to hoping this is a non event
This post was edited on 9/3/17 at 7:51 pm
Posted by FLObserver
Jacksonville
Member since Nov 2005
16061 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 7:50 pm to
quote:

Even hurricanes hate Florida.


This made me laugh and i'm good with this when it comes to hurricanes
Posted by cajunangelle
Member since Oct 2012
166607 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 7:54 pm to
evacuating with I-40 going West on both sides will be surreal. here's hoping she turns out to sea.
Posted by TigerStripes06
SWLA
Member since Sep 2006
30032 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 8:02 pm to
I just noticed something on the gfs....look at about 126 to 156, it looks like it head fakes toward the gulf right over the northern coast of cuba.
Posted by littlebaldman
North Carolina
Member since Oct 2006
119 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 8:15 pm to
quote:

The coast of ILM. I almost moved to Morehead so many times.


Hello fellow North Carolinian...I'm further inland..Southern Pines. I love the area south of Wilmington. My daughter is planning a wedding out on Bald Head this winter. Hope Irma is easy on the area
Posted by HubbaBubba
North of DFW, TX
Member since Oct 2010
51647 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 8:19 pm to
quote:

I would die if I didn't evac.
Yep. Afraid so. Kinda' like you around here so start looking to get out.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50512 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 8:22 pm to
someone needs to make that into a "NOPE" gif.
Posted by Wildcat In Germany
Metro Atlanta
Member since May 2017
3094 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 8:37 pm to
quote:

That last second track due North is crazy. It's like she's headed straight for Florida and then says "nah frick that".


Doesn't want competition with Florida man and Florida woman. I don't blame Irma.
Posted by tunechi
Member since Jun 2009
10574 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 8:38 pm to
quote:

I would consider cancelling that trip


Not really an option at this point. It's a 7 day cruise (trashy) leaving NOLA next Sunday. From what I understand Carnival almost NEVER cancels so I'm pretty much just along for the ride I suppose
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 8:39 pm to
quote:

Not really an option at this point. It's a 7 day cruise (trashy) leaving NOLA next Sunday. From what I understand Carnival almost NEVER cancels so I'm pretty much just along for the ride I suppose

bring the dramamine
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 8:40 pm to
NOW the Hurricane Hunters are heading home
Posted by Dick Jacket
Member since Nov 2016
1587 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 8:43 pm to
Posted by RazorBroncs
Possesses the largest
Member since Sep 2013
16126 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 8:49 pm to
Levi @ tropical tidbits has a new video out just now that explains the different ways this could set up and how. I'd highly suggest it to all of those that are randomly popping in this thread asking for synopses, opinions, what the more seasoned weather experts are seeing, etc. He does a good job of explaining cause and effect to the average layperson.

He makes it seem like the GOM isnt very likely at this point (knock on wood) but also goes on to say that the way the troughs are setting up over the US/east coast makes this one particularly difficult to forecast.
This post was edited on 9/3/17 at 8:51 pm
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