re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

That is sure hell of a right turn north by the GFS. I wonder if the large storm's momentum would prohibit such an exaggerated turn ?

If i understood what Levi said in one of his last videos, the storms don't act independently of the atmosphere, everything acting together in the atmosphere controls it. The models have shown the storm slowing significantly over the last couple days...meaning, on one run it was making landfall in NC at a certain time and the next run of the model, it was still in the bahamas at that same point in time. I would imagine the slowing, working with the steering currents, would make it easier to turn.

I'm no expert and I may have misinterpreted what he said, but that's what I got from it.

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the storms don't act independently of the atmosphere, everything acting together in the atmosphere controls it.

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Indeed. It has a lot to do with why the particulars for Irma steering downstream are so difficult.

An ex typhoon distrubting energy to the northern jet will determine the nature of strength of the trough pushing into the eaestern US next week that will ultimately determine the nature of the ridge that will stear Irma. Long story short, it's a really difficult problem to accurately model and it's why the models are still so spread out on possible solutions.

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I still think this storm ends up hitting the Georgia-South Carolina area.

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Yeah, with all due respect, frick your thoughts

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My sister goes to school very close to the Georgia-South Carolina line.

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It's a shame this thing can't take out Florida-Georgia line

someone please translate my last 2 images from weather nerd to English, thanks

LINK

they are fricking terrible. any way you slice it.