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Message

re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Posted on 9/8/17 at 1:15 pm to
Posted by Rhino5
Atlanta
Member since Nov 2014
30960 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 1:15 pm to
quote:

At this point... has the storm technically entered the GOM?



Fort Zachary Taylor State Park

quote:

the point where the Atlantic Ocean meets the Gulf of Mexico,

LINK
Posted by otowntiger
O-Town
Member since Jan 2004
16919 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 1:15 pm to
Uh oh Tampa! I'm not sure they're expecting this!
Posted by UAinSOUTHAL
Mobile,AL
Member since Dec 2012
5298 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 1:16 pm to
I think panhandle residents need to start preparing. I would expect to see some evacs near the bend.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 1:16 pm to
quote:

liz18lsu


FWIW, the Euro model puts Bonita Springs in the NE eye wall or quadrant of Irma between 48 and 72 hours.



Posted by UAinSOUTHAL
Mobile,AL
Member since Dec 2012
5298 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 1:16 pm to
Euro 00 thru 72

https://imgur.com
/CXVINCb
This post was edited on 9/8/17 at 1:18 pm
Posted by Nawlens Gator
louisiana
Member since Sep 2005
5960 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 1:18 pm to

if Liz is saying the hypot-nuse is 22 yds, then the tree is 38 ft tall.

Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 1:19 pm to
quote:

if Liz is saying the hypot-nuse is 22 yds, then the tree is 38 ft tall.


You can't spell, but your math checks out.
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14276 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 1:19 pm to
quote:

Topography has a huge impact.


Even local structures and vegetation make a big difference. My roof took a much worse beating several years ago before my subdivision was fully developed when my house was wide open to wind in all directions. More recently, with larger trees in the neighborhood and houses surrounding me, I have been provided some protection.
Posted by DoUrden
UnderDark
Member since Oct 2011
26159 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 1:20 pm to
We need to get JP to liz's house and film her tree during the storm!!!!!
Posted by RollTide1987
Baltimore, MD
Member since Nov 2009
71110 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 1:20 pm to
It's not gonna make that turn to the north.
Posted by wdhalgren
Member since May 2013
5222 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 1:20 pm to
quote:

If a tree is 18yrds from your house and the angle to the top (diagonal) is 22yrds, how tall is the tree?


Here's a quick and dirty method. Measure the length of the tree's shadow. Stand a yardstick upright and measure the length of the yardstick's shadow. The shadows will be the same proportion of the tree and the yardstick heights.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147072 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 1:20 pm to
quote:

We need to get JP to liz's house and film her tree during the storm!!!!!

will there be a blue shed or ratchet straps?
Posted by liz18lsu
Member since Feb 2009
18042 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 1:21 pm to
quote:

Sounds like y'all have it as much under control as possible given the circumstances. Prayers for safety for y'all.


Much appreciated. It is so beautiful here today, partly cloudy skies, hots as balls, and you would never know. Tensions are rising. My boss (ex-military) said they were evacing Macdill AFB in Tampa. That was not comforting.
Posted by sicboy
Because Awesome
Member since Nov 2010
79567 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 1:21 pm to
Navy track for when it makes landfall.

Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147072 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 1:22 pm to
NOAA9 has just taken off for Irma
Posted by Nawlens Gator
louisiana
Member since Sep 2005
5960 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 1:23 pm to

Might be good time to invest in some orange juice futures.

Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 1:24 pm to
The inner eye wall is just hanging on by a shred in the NE corner of the eye in the last frame. If/when it clears out, we could see more strengthening unfortunately.




Posted by NOLA Brew Bus
1129 Decatur St.
Member since Aug 2016
583 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 1:24 pm to
quote:

think panhandle residents need to start preparing. I would expect to see some evacs near the bend.


I feel like the volatility of the hurricanes is always overlooked. With Irma, every single model was plus or minus 100 miles or so from where the eye would hit.

Now, magically overnight we wake up and the entire storm has shifted further west than any projection. Now, we have a Solar flare that just happened this week. The largest solar flare since 2005 plus an earthquake. The panhandle needs to start prepping for the worst.
Posted by Lsuhoohoo
Member since Sep 2007
102302 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 1:25 pm to
A little bit of good news on my end. We were able to get in touch with a neighbor near our property and he's going to go over and put up the hurricane shudders on the house windows. The windows getting blown out was a big concern.

Posted by Festus
With Skillet
Member since Nov 2009
86127 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 1:25 pm to
Tampa is looking fricked. Not good.
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