re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

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It's not gonna make that turn to the north.

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Let me know when you see a single model/forecast that suggests it won't make the turn.

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Am I the only that can't see that Navy tracking image?

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I couldn't see it on mobile, but it shows up on the desktop version for whatever reason.

On a side note, Hurricane Jose as of 2pm, Cat 4, 150mph winds, at 157mph becomes Cat 5. Those folks are living in hell.

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With Irma, every single model was plus or minus 100 miles or so from where the eye would hit. Now, magically overnight we wake up and the entire storm has shifted further west than any projection. Now, we have a Solar flare that just happened this week. The largest solar flare since 2005 plus an earthquake. The panhandle needs to start prepping for the worst.

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Where do these posts come from?

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Distance at ground level is 18 yrds, and 22yrds at an angle to the top.

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Liz,
Is someone at your house a golfer or hunter (or Marine Recon sniper)? I assume you took your measurements with an accurate laser range finder.

If the ground is level and the tree is perpendicular to grade (90 degree angle), and you ranged the base and top of the tree from the same point, it's just under 38' tall. Unless, of course, Pythagoras has been bullshitting us all these years.

If you're staying - and it sounds like you are - the more you prepare now, the "easier" it will be after the storm passes. A friend of mine in Cape Coral rode out Charlie. He lives on a canal about a 15 minute idle from the Caloosahatchie (sp?). He had no power for 8 days. Apparently it was very hot after Charlie. It was too hot to sleep inside, so he slept outside on a lounge chair in his slightly damaged Florida room by the pool. When the heat and/or bugs got too bad he jumped in the pool and went back to sleep wet. He had no generator, so he at frozen fish, meat and lobster from his thawing freezer. That lasted about 5 days, then he went to canned goods. He swears the worst part was his ice running out and having to drink hot rum and cokes.

My point is that you probably won't die, but it's almost certain you'll be uncomfortable for a period of time. Good luck and take care.

PS - This same guy was in N.O. for work this week. He drove back to Cape Coral Wednesday night. You won't be alone for Irma.

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My mother lives in Rosemary. Should I be concerned about the panhandle yet? This thing keeps shifting west and I have more faith in the EURO.

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Does your mother live in this cone?



If you're in that cone, or on the very outskirts, you should have an evacuation plan in place.

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I have a brand new house with a metal roof with hurricane strapping. We bought this house less than 3 months ago. *sigh* This is my SO's first 'cane.

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The weather update from the local ABC ch 7 Ft Myers has it coming Sunday 8am...so fwiw, at least the roughest part will be during the day and not night

, seriously, people simply don't get it.

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If you're in that cone, or on the very outskirts, you should have an evacuation plan in place.

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frick