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re: Helene - Recovery Begins...Devastating Flash Flooding in Western NC and Eastern TN

Posted on 9/25/24 at 7:29 am to
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131557 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 7:29 am to
quote:

My mom, stepdad, and brother live about 100 miles west of where it’s supposed to make landfall.


Barely gonna rain
Posted by SippyCup
Gulf Coast
Member since Sep 2008
7002 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 7:33 am to
quote:

The 30A is going to find out which contractors are the best I’m afraid. Lots of new construction is about to be tested.




I'm here now picking up some outdoor furniture but lets not pretend some tropical storm winds and maybe a cat 1 gust is going to take down anything built in Florida in the past 15 years.
Posted by IT_Dawg
Georgia
Member since Oct 2012
26701 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 7:33 am to
quote:

How will the west side of the storm be? My mom, stepdad, and brother live about 100 miles west of where it’s supposed to make landfall. Should they leave? They live in a new and sturdy house (brick). Thanks weather baws.


depends on what you mean from "suppose to make landfall." If I were in the cone right now, I would have an evacuation plan and enact it now. If I am within 100 miles of the cone, I would have a plan and be ready to enact it at anytime this afternoon, based on the updates. Once this thing starts really building up, it will gain national attention, MSM, social media, etc. It will then be crowded to leave, hotels booked for hundreds of miles, groceries will be tough to come by, etc.



Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 7:36 am to
quote:

What is the likelihood this gets pushed east and we see hurricane level winds here?


Pretty decent chance you’ll see hurricane force gusts on any landfall on the current forecasted track.

Anything more east of that brings even higher winds into play.
Posted by TheosDeddy
Member since May 2024
1468 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 7:38 am to
Noted

Are we expecting a wide wind field on helene?
Posted by LPLGTiger
Member since May 2013
2710 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 7:41 am to
quote:

depends on what you mean from "suppose to make landfall."


I was referring to the black line in the center of the cone. This will be a strong storm and I understand anywhere inside the cone is in play for landfall.
Posted by GEAUXT
Member since Nov 2007
30513 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 7:44 am to
Yes, it's very large
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51701 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 7:44 am to
quote:

Are we expecting a wide wind field on helene?

Yes, that’s what the thinking is. NHC continues to mention that this will be a large storm in terms of its physical size, so the tropical storm force winds should extend a long distance from the center.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 7:48 am to
quote:

Are we expecting a wide wind field on helene?


NHC is forecasting sustained winds of 57mph extending 70-80 miles from the center right now at landfall. Catching a hurricane gust from that is pretty likely.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 7:50 am to
Looks like both the GFS and Euro are suggesting we might be doing this same thing from this same area in a week.
Posted by DomincDecoco
RIP Ronnie fights Thoth’s loafers
Member since Oct 2018
11939 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 7:51 am to
How bout One at a time chief?
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51701 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 7:55 am to
She’s really blowing up. Definitely organizing at a pretty fast pace.

Posted by PJinAtl
Atlanta
Member since Nov 2007
14448 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 7:56 am to
Has the timing of the low pressure system coming in from the west slowed down some?

I've been following the NHC interactive cone/track for the last 24 hours or so and it seems like that has slid to the west as it gets up around Atlanta. Initially it was showing the center of the track going between Atlanta and Athens, then pretty much right over Atlanta, now this morning has it west of the city.
Posted by MAXtheTIGER
Title town
Member since Dec 2006
1129 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 7:57 am to
I’ve got family in the Atlanta Metro area, should I tell them anything in particular. I know there will be a lot of rain, but what about wind?
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
178944 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 8:02 am to
quote:

but what about wind?


there will be wind. really depends on where the eye rolls through and location of people.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40227 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 8:04 am to
When they say wind field is xx miles .. they mean total across not out to each side from center, correct?
Posted by genuineLSUtiger
Nashville
Member since Sep 2005
77205 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 8:11 am to
That thing is going to blow up into a historic Cat 6.
Posted by TexasForever81
Member since Mar 2023
652 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 8:13 am to
Dad in Cancun texted and said “not as bad as it looks”.

I don’t know what that really means or if he does either (yet). He’s never been in a Hurricane.

I know it’s very small compared to how it will be when it gets to the states.

Just wanted to pass that (worthless?) information along.
Posted by RummelTiger
Official TD Sauces Club Member
Member since Aug 2004
93625 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 8:16 am to
quote:

Dad in Cancun texted and said “not as bad as it looks”.



Well, I mean...it's a TS or low 1 at this point.

Floridians will likely have a differing opinion.
Posted by Pettifogger
I don't really care, Margaret
Member since Feb 2012
87347 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 8:16 am to
Not really. Depends on what part of the metro most likely. Wind wise, it’s all about trees and power outages here. A mid strength TS through Atlanta will be a colossal mess in that regard.

We are doing minor prep and getting the basement bedroom ready, not sure what else you can do with 130 ft trees by the dozen on every lot.

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