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Started By
Message
1
Posted on 9/24/24 at 9:24 am to VCeagle2013
quote:
Has that rate of intensification ever even been observed? Seems insane
I remember Hurricane Wilma going from a TS to the strongest hurricane recorded in the Atlantic in like 24-30 hours.
Hurricanes "want" to bomb out. Its a positive feedback loop. We all know shear, dry air, structure play huge rolls. But no shear, good ventilation, and a deep pool of warm water. They'll intensify extremely fast.
Posted on 9/24/24 at 9:24 am to Chad504boy
quote:
you keep repeating this like it has anything to do with me. its not a gotcha like you think it is. quit being a dipshit. I never argued that there were men zipping off of the water towers.
Right...
quote:LINK
If tower guy did shoot 1 round
quote:LINK
If there was a shot taken from water tower, it was shot 6 in the 2nd volley. I'm not sure of who or what or why about the water tower.
quote:LINK
We have tracked the black SUV that had picked up our phantom water tower sniper that escaped using a zip line via the backside of the water tower into the trees
Posted on 9/24/24 at 9:26 am to deltaland
quote:I'm only a spectator in these threads, trying to learn new things. But I live in Indiana -- Cat ANYTHING sounds pretty major to me. At least when we hear the tornados are coming, we know they aren't likely to hit me personally.
It’s going to be a significant storm, I’m just not buying a major hurricane
Probably Cat 1-2 imo
Good luck out there, whatever it turns into.
Posted on 9/24/24 at 9:26 am to Chad504boy
quote:
What's this mean in OP Title? quote:CAGtion
Central American Gyre - basically rotating area of low pressure
Posted on 9/24/24 at 9:27 am to LSURussian
You are one fricking tard.
You post something that starts with the word "IF".
You post me reposting Seruga's tweets.
You are confirming your dumbassery.
This isn't the time or place neither.
You're still quite the false narrating dipshit.
Back to hurricanes.
You post something that starts with the word "IF".
You post me reposting Seruga's tweets.
You are confirming your dumbassery.
This isn't the time or place neither.
You're still quite the false narrating dipshit.
Back to hurricanes.
Posted on 9/24/24 at 9:29 am to Chad504boy
quote:
yea but saying "tropical storm" winds is a bit too vague for what i'm trying to figure out. If this thing catches fire, could make for a unique scenario where we get legit 80-90 mph hour up to 200-250ish miles inland. Huge difference between a very narrow 45 mph center vs a more organized low end cat 1 still churning.
Is this reality though? I think it's very common for the site of landfall never to experience sustained winds matching the storm strength at landfall, for a number of reasons. Immediate drops due to interaction with land, wind being measured at altitude and estimated, etc. Of course, recordings aren't perfect as presumably some break/can't measure accurately, etc. But we see plenty of hurricanes where we only have a few recorded gusts recorded at close to landfall sustained wind strength.
So I think trying to extrapolate 145mph as though it's going to be a consistent steady decline from that top number as it travels inland will give misleading results?
Posted on 9/24/24 at 9:29 am to slackster
quote:I was told there would be no math.
Multiply by 1.151.
Posted on 9/24/24 at 9:34 am to Pettifogger
quote:
Is this reality though? I think it's very common for the site of landfall never to experience sustained winds matching the storm strength at landfall, for a number of reasons. Immediate drops due to interaction with land, wind being measured at altitude and estimated, etc. Of course, recordings aren't perfect as presumably some break/can't measure accurately, etc. But we see plenty of hurricanes where we only have a few recorded gusts recorded at close to landfall sustained wind strength.
So I think trying to extrapolate 145mph as though it's going to be a consistent steady decline from that top number as it travels inland will give misleading results?
i sort of understand what you're trying to say BUT... is it not simple logic .... the stronger a storm... the further inland hurricane force winds will be seen?
Posted on 9/24/24 at 9:37 am to Chad504boy
What's a drive to Chattanooga from Louisiana on Friday going to look like?
Thing looks like it should be hauling arse. Would this be feasible without too many issues.
Prayers for those in the direct landfall path and sorry in advance for such a trifling query.
Thing looks like it should be hauling arse. Would this be feasible without too many issues.
Prayers for those in the direct landfall path and sorry in advance for such a trifling query.
This post was edited on 9/24/24 at 9:38 am
Posted on 9/24/24 at 9:37 am to rds dc
Posted on 9/24/24 at 9:38 am to Chad504boy
Serious question
Is this thing going to affect the Bama/UGA game?
Is this thing going to affect the Bama/UGA game?
Posted on 9/24/24 at 9:39 am to CarolinaGamecock99
that one shows a Yucatán landfall before it heads out
Posted on 9/24/24 at 9:39 am to Y.A. Tittle
probly pretty wet for part with Gusty winds. by the time you hit the AL/MS state line it should be pretty smooth sailing from there.
Edit: flip that around - from Bham on you will likely hit some rain and gusty winds - but shouldn't be too bad.
Edit: flip that around - from Bham on you will likely hit some rain and gusty winds - but shouldn't be too bad.
This post was edited on 9/24/24 at 9:46 am
Posted on 9/24/24 at 9:39 am to tgrbaitn08
Unlikely as far as play on the field at 7:30 Saturday night. Now it could impact many other aspects of the game.
Posted on 9/24/24 at 9:40 am to cgrand
Seems like that would help with breaking it up???
Posted on 9/24/24 at 9:41 am to tiger91
that model shows it getting hung up for a bit then slingshot through the channel…prob just TS at that point
Posted on 9/24/24 at 9:41 am to tgrbaitn08
the last I saw from James Spann was there was going to be rain and breezy, but nothing overly bad.
Posted on 9/24/24 at 9:42 am to Thracken13
quote:
probly pretty wet for part with Gusty winds. by the time you hit the AL/MS state line it should be pretty smooth sailing from there
he's heading to TN.
Posted on 9/24/24 at 9:43 am to Thracken13
No rain in the forecast Saturday in Tuscaloosa
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