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Started By
Message
re: Helene - Recovery Begins...Devastating Flash Flooding in Western NC and Eastern TN
Posted on 9/22/24 at 8:24 pm to TigerDat
Posted on 9/22/24 at 8:24 pm to TigerDat
quote:
Yes if I were evacuating and weren't heading to a week long non refundable vacation the likely won't be effected very much by this thing.
Understood. Best of luck on the vacation.
1
Posted on 9/22/24 at 8:25 pm to ticklechain
quote:
I went through Michael in Mexico beach. We didn't know it was cat five until about 12 hrs before landfall. All week long they were saying 1,2,or 3. I remember getting the alert on my phone at 1am saying 176 mph winds gusting to 197. Needless to say it was a hell of a day
Michael was an interesting one. In the case of Michael, the discussions a few days out talked about the potential high end strength likelihood, but they forecasted 120mph near landfall at 48 hours out and 125mph near landfall 24 hours out.
I always recommend people read the discussion each time it’s updated. The news stations just take the forecast locations and strength and typically do very little to discuss the confidence or lack thereof that the NHC discusses in each forecast update.
Posted on 9/22/24 at 8:26 pm to RummelTiger
A few runs through Hammond for good measure
Posted on 9/22/24 at 8:27 pm to Duke
quote:
Duke
Is this thing gonna hit Austin? Asking for a friend.
Posted on 9/22/24 at 8:27 pm to tiger91
Am I looking at this right? Some of the spaghetti plots I’ve seen have this thing in the very southern gulf at 72 hours and damn near making landfall 24 hours later. That thing will be absolutely booking it north, which would be a great thing for anyone in its path.
Posted on 9/22/24 at 8:28 pm to tiger91
quote:
Can you leave a day early?
Our checkin isn't till Saturday afternoon so we plan to Friday night Saturday morning.
On day early would out us in the storm if the Thursday landfall is correct.
Leaving 2-3 days early wouldn't be an option.
We will have check into routes and closures throughout the day Friday.
Hope the people in the oath stay safe and come away with as little damage as possible
Posted on 9/22/24 at 8:35 pm to LSUTiger23
quote:
That thing will be absolutely booking it north, which would be a great thing for anyone in its path.
The forward speed will help for rainfall and duration of winds. However, we’re probably looking at a storm that will “catch people off guard” because they won’t start caring until it’s a hurricane, which will only be 36 hours or so away.
This post was edited on 9/22/24 at 8:46 pm
Posted on 9/22/24 at 8:35 pm to Oates Mustache
quote:
Is this thing gonna hit Austin? Asking for a friend.
Arch Manning will be fine, baw.
Posted on 9/22/24 at 8:37 pm to stout
quote:
A few runs through Hammond for good measure
It's a way to get NO into the discussion without being too obvious
Posted on 9/22/24 at 8:37 pm to LSUTiger23
It’s good and bad. Places inland
100-150 miles could be facing some wind damage that normally wouldn’t happen.
100-150 miles could be facing some wind damage that normally wouldn’t happen.
Posted on 9/22/24 at 8:37 pm to Drank
This is going to be an annoying week
Posted on 9/22/24 at 8:38 pm to stout
Don’t forget Nola. Everyone waiting for it to happen again.
Posted on 9/22/24 at 8:40 pm to Scoper
Still a cat 2 at Atlanta would be fun
shite ton of trees in Atlanta
shite ton of trees in Atlanta
Posted on 9/22/24 at 8:40 pm to Jwho77
quote:
Arch Manning will be fine, baw.
Here's a recent pic of Rummy. He really needs some rain.
Posted on 9/22/24 at 8:41 pm to Oates Mustache
I wish I had that guy's head of hair!!!
Posted on 9/22/24 at 8:43 pm to RummelTiger
quote:
Quit being a dumbass...
It’s the first post in the thread Rummy.
And lighten up, it’s 5 days out lol
Posted on 9/22/24 at 8:44 pm to Meauxjeaux
quote:
It’s the first post in the thread Rummy.
I thought it was just you being you. I sowwy...
I fixed the first post after someone else brought it up in a better way.
Posted on 9/22/24 at 8:51 pm to RummelTiger
You really don't
I think he literally smoked shite and went years without bathing
I think he literally smoked shite and went years without bathing
Posted on 9/22/24 at 8:52 pm to Cosmo
Given the size, your typical pressure to category relationships are gonna be off. Lower pressures than you'd expect for the wind.
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