re: Helene - Recovery Begins...Devastating Flash Flooding in Western NC and Eastern TN

Regarding an eastward move once inland, it’s been two hurricanes in a row with an eastward move upon landfall. The interesting thing is the deterministic runs, gfs, and high res models, hrrr, etc have shown an eastward move relative to the plots and nhc cone. Nhc uses the plots to make the cone and it’s two hurricanes in a row where the high res showed it going east. So it shifted east or did what it was supposed to do…. Depending on what you were looking at.

Storms will often become east-side heavy with precip after landfall too, exacerbating the perceived eastern shift. You saw it with Helene and you saw it with Francine. While Francine shifted east it also was east loaded which brought the worst of it to New Orleans and the northshore without the center going directly through there.