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re: Harvey ***Catastrophic Flooding Event***

Posted on 8/24/17 at 7:21 am to
Posted by When in Rome
Telegraph Road
Member since Jan 2011
36238 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 7:21 am to
quote:

Where are you seeing this?
In the post I replied to, there was a predicted path gif entitled "Euro" which has dates to go along with each shot of the gif. Unless I'm reading it incorrectly, it seems to have the majority of the storm over central LA into SELA August 31.
This post was edited on 8/24/17 at 7:23 am
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
51446 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 7:28 am to
Can you post that.
Posted by When in Rome
Telegraph Road
Member since Jan 2011
36238 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 7:41 am to
Sure. Per Geaux Medic

Overnight:

00z Euro:

00z NAVGEM:
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
51446 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 7:43 am to
So models are still pointing toward it coming back into Louisiana? I thought they were backing off of that overnight?
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91869 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 7:45 am to
00z Euro run. The Euro has been pretty consistent with this general track for 3 days now, but we'll see if it verifies.

Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14558 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 7:47 am to
Zoomed version of map on previous page...

Posted by jimjackandjose
Member since Jun 2011
6774 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 7:47 am to
Euro has been correct in the past when models are all over the place
Posted by bbap
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2006
97264 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 7:47 am to
now that's a shitty path. Would suck.
Posted by St James Infirmary
too far from Storyville
Member since Apr 2015
145 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 7:48 am to
Spaghetti models have shifted landfall to the north.

Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91869 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 7:48 am to
quote:

Overnight:


The big takeaway there is both of those models were way off on the pressure at this point. It will be interesting to see what the next runs look like.
Posted by ColoradoAg03
Denver, CO
Member since Oct 2012
6681 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 7:48 am to
hunters going back through the center of the storm again.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21626 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 7:49 am to
Sunrise on a growing storm

Posted by GetCocky11
Calgary, AB
Member since Oct 2012
53509 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 7:50 am to
Yeah, I wouldn't want to be in Port O'Connor or Port Lavaca.
Posted by ABucks11
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2012
1243 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 7:51 am to
Intensity tracks over at Tropical Todbits showing this storm being a Cat 2 or even a Cat 3?
"Expecting big intensity forecast changes from the NHC with the 10AM advisory. Real time & model data is alarming in respect to wind speeds." Hurricane tracker app
Posted by Klark Kent
Houston via BR
Member since Jan 2008
75695 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 7:52 am to
beautiful.... in a way.
Posted by StinkBait72
Member since Nov 2011
2072 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 7:52 am to
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91869 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 7:52 am to
6z GFS total accumulated rainfall amounts through 156 hours.



Keep in mind that this is a GFS model run that suggest the storm sits and stays between Brownsville and Corpus Christi, yet the rainfall totals from Houston to Lafayette are pretty significant nonetheless.
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43490 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 7:54 am to
That's a hurricane.

No way in hell its still a TS
Posted by HogX
Madison, WI
Member since Dec 2012
5657 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 7:54 am to
Holy crap.
Posted by phil good
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2013
1707 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 7:56 am to
I would love to be aboard the hurricane hunter aircraft as it does its recon.
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