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re: Harvey ***Catastrophic Flooding Event***

Posted on 8/24/17 at 7:58 am to
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91869 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 7:58 am to
quote:

hunters going back through the center of the storm again.




I wouldn't be surprised if we got a special advisory to upgrade it to a hurricane before the 10AM advisory.
Posted by geauxtigersgirl
Member since Aug 2016
1314 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 8:00 am to
(no message)
This post was edited on 5/11/21 at 8:41 pm
Posted by The Mick
Member since Oct 2010
45173 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 8:02 am to
quote:

I would love to be aboard the hurricane hunter aircraft as it does its recon
F that. I'd likely shite my pants.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91869 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 8:02 am to
Recon just measured 70 MPH 10s surface winds.
Posted by X123F45
Member since Apr 2015
29947 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 8:02 am to
Well shite. Now I have to go to Costco and tractor supply.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91869 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 8:03 am to
quote:

Honestly the sooner Harvey gets officially named a hurricane, the better. People will prepare more for a hurricane than a strong tropical storm and there isn't a ton of preparation time left.


Totally agree. By and large, people don't give a shite about flooding rain possibilities. They're worried about wind, and if they don't get the wind, they don't worry about the storm altogether.
Posted by StrongBackWeakMind
Member since May 2014
22650 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 8:04 am to
quote:

F that. I'd likely shite my pants.

I'm with you. I don't like flying in regular airplanes in regular weather. I'll pass on flying into a hurricane.

Has dukke weighed in with his opinion yet?
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21626 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 8:04 am to
quote:

Spaghetti models have shifted landfall to the north.


And more making the "right" turn vs. the 00z plot below:

Posted by LSUfanNkaty
LC, Louisiana
Member since Jan 2015
11967 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 8:04 am to
quote:

Sunrise on a growing storm


Holy shite that's amazing!!
Posted by StrongBackWeakMind
Member since May 2014
22650 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 8:05 am to
I apologize if this has already been discussed ad nauseam, but what should we expect in BR and NOLA?
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43310 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 8:05 am to
well that's no bueno
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21626 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 8:08 am to
Conditions look favorable for rapid intensification basically right up to landfall...

Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91869 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 8:09 am to
quote:

I apologize if this has already been discussed ad nauseam, but what should we expect in BR and NOLA?



Rain is a pretty good bet at the moment. BR and NOLA effects, if any, shouldn't be felt for another 5ish days.
This post was edited on 8/24/17 at 8:10 am
Posted by StrongBackWeakMind
Member since May 2014
22650 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 8:09 am to
Posted by RummelTiger
Official TD Sauces Club Member
Member since Aug 2004
93899 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 8:10 am to
quote:

rds dc


Hey, it's probably a good time to start an observation thread. Do you want to create another for that purpose?

Also, who else would be good to post info in it?

Thanks.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91869 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 8:10 am to
quote:

They are dying to name it a Hurricane and the buoy 70 miles to the east of it has 13 kt winds with gusts to 17kts. JS




This guy again.
Posted by LSU Wayne
Walker
Member since Apr 2005
4476 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 8:11 am to
Is there any indication as to when Houston will begin experiencing significant rainfall due to Harvey or is it too soon to tell?
Posted by LSUsmartass
Scompton
Member since Sep 2004
82750 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 8:12 am to
quote:

Also, who else would be good to post info in it?


Pj for sure, but according to him, don't take his predictions serious
Posted by HogX
Madison, WI
Member since Dec 2012
5657 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 8:13 am to
quote:

This guy again.


It's almost like it's their job to warn the public about impending disaster or something.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91869 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 8:13 am to
quote:

Is there any indication as to when Houston will begin experiencing significant rainfall due to Harvey or is it too soon to tell?




The latest model run from the GFS suggest the heaviest rains in the Houston area will begin ~96 hours out, but that is obviously subject to change and rainfall is difficult to nail down.
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