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re: Francine - Landfall in Terrebonne Parish as CAT 2 100 mph

Posted on 9/10/24 at 1:08 pm to
Posted by maisweh
Member since Jan 2014
4222 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 1:08 pm to
quote:

Boat

MY MAN
Any chance this can get torn apart if it doesn't get it's shite together now?
Posted by Tigahs24Seven
Charlie Kirk's America
Member since Nov 2007
15172 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 1:08 pm to
The weather channel is showing some new non-spaghetti models that literally LOOK to show an east of NOLA landfall moving moving from the SW sideways towards the NE, then moving into into MS above the coast. Dont shoot the messenger...
Posted by Sev09
Nantucket
Member since Feb 2011
15868 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 1:09 pm to
I wonder how this will impact BR compared to… wait, has anyone said the “G” word yet?
Posted by Navajo61490
Baton rouge
Member since Dec 2011
6888 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 1:10 pm to
Can someone link the site that shows the path over a satellite image?
Posted by lucaslsu
LSU!
Member since Oct 2007
8646 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 1:10 pm to
Link?
Posted by back9Tiger
Island Coconut Salesman
Member since Nov 2005
18099 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 1:10 pm to
quote:

How much sun have you seen since the rain last week?


Some people on here are thick. I am not talking about a specific instance, just the physics of it in general genius.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
25938 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 1:11 pm to
quote:

Can someone link the site that shows the path over a satellite image?

Use the Interactive Map
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 1:11 pm to
quote:

Any chance this can get torn apart if it doesn't get it's shite together now?


The less together it is after the next 18-24 hours, the more that shear is going to get to it and faster.
Posted by Nguyener
Kame House
Member since Mar 2013
21057 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 1:12 pm to
Anyone have posts or proof about when the wind and rain is projected to start hitting Nola metro area? Is it moved up from noon/1 estimates?
Posted by Navajo61490
Baton rouge
Member since Dec 2011
6888 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 1:12 pm to
Posted by DVinBR
Member since Jan 2013
15915 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 1:12 pm to
Somewhere, Jay Grymes' sleeves are rolled up
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
178313 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 1:13 pm to
quote:

Can someone link the site that shows the path over a satellite image?


Not sure what site but this is the CIMSS UW site. Click on the storm icon then you can play around with the buttons to look at overlays and learn about the environment.

LINK
Posted by Mr. Hangover
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2003
34932 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 1:15 pm to
I gather that tornados are about as random as it gets weather wise.. but I appreciate your input. Eased the nerves a little












For now
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
80798 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 1:15 pm to
quote:

The weather channel is showing some new non-spaghetti models that literally LOOK to show an east of NOLA landfall moving moving from the SW sideways towards the NE, then moving into into MS above the coast. Dont shoot the messenger...
The HMON and HAFS-B show the storm crossing new orleans into very eastern Slidell and on to diamond head. But I wouldn't think those are more than outliers at this point.
Posted by LSUfan4444
Member since Mar 2004
57339 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 1:17 pm to
It's been explained multiple times. I honeslty don't know what you're missing.

The shallower the water, the more ambient air and climate conditions will impact the water temp.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
135363 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 1:18 pm to
quote:

Thank you, LSURussian. I hope all is well where you are.
We're just waiting for the storm. Whole house standby generator is standing by.

This is not a gripe, just an observation: As I was scrolling down the posts and came to your post with all the graphics, your text at the top of your post said, "The environment gets pretty bad in the northern gulf."

My first thought was, "Oh, shite! If the environment is "pretty bad" it might mean it's going to RI as it moves north!"

Then as I scrolled through your graphics I understood that you meant "pretty bad" to mean the conditions for strengthening were unfavorable.

To me, that means the environment is "pretty good" for us in the path of the storm.
Posted by jaytothen
Member since Jan 2020
8833 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 1:18 pm to
Any chance this first 'blob' consolidates to form a separate system, and it does a little Fujiwara Effect with Francine and we get the ultimate frick you this hurricane season?


*This is an official doomcast post.
Posted by The Mick
Member since Oct 2010
45189 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 1:20 pm to
quote:

Wouldn't it be the other way around? Shallow water should heat up easier where are deeper water gets cold the deeper it gets?
That's what I'm saying
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
178313 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 1:20 pm to
quote:

My first thought was, "Oh, shite! If the environment is "pretty bad" it might mean it's going to RI as it moves north!"

There's a lot of good/bad descriptors with this stuff that can mean either good for the people in the path or good for the hurricane.

Or good/bad for the people who root for the hurricane.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
132581 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 1:21 pm to
On current recon flight pressure not dropping and flight level winds still around 60 kn
This post was edited on 9/10/24 at 1:22 pm
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