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re: Francine - Landfall in Terrebonne Parish as CAT 2 100 mph

Posted on 9/10/24 at 1:28 pm to
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177323 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 1:28 pm to
quote:

Agree that mid morning tomorrow would likely be the most intensity we will see?


Probably so at the 10 am advisory
Posted by Mr. Hangover
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2003
34925 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 1:29 pm to
quote:

Some people on here are thick. I am not talking about a specific instance, just the physics of it in general genius.


You’ve been acting like an arse all day. You deserve ALLLLLL the sarcasm you prick
Posted by lsufan112001
sportsmans paradise
Member since Oct 2006
11217 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 1:30 pm to
I bet this thing never makes it to a hurricane. And if it does probably a generous wind estimate
Posted by S
RIP Wayde
Member since Jan 2007
172318 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 1:30 pm to
Been steady raining here for 3 hours

Ground more saturated than LSUROCKS arteries
Posted by Festus
With Skillet
Member since Nov 2009
86128 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 1:31 pm to
Boat, thanks for your update. Very clear and understandable. It helps when you break it down and explain it the way you do, and include the maps with it.
Posted by ned nederlander
Member since Dec 2012
5901 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 1:31 pm to
quote:

On current recon flight pressure not dropping and flight level winds still around 60 kn


quote:

Its behind schedule on that front.


quote:

Duke


That’s enough for me. I’m breaking out my hurricane snacks now.
Posted by DhanTigers212
Member since Dec 2014
10497 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 1:32 pm to
Gonzales. No generator. Should one stay or leave?
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
134904 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 1:32 pm to
quote:

I bet this thing never makes it to a hurricane. And if it does probably a generous wind estimate
If you're right I certainly won't be upset...
Posted by S
RIP Wayde
Member since Jan 2007
172318 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 1:32 pm to
Baytiger was tBoat before tBoat was tBoat
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50747 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 1:32 pm to
Looking at Missions 7 and 8 on tidbits, it appears the area of stronger winds is expanding northward inside the core. Assuming this means the storm is getting its act together?
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131565 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 1:33 pm to
quote:

Baytiger


The prince that was promised
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
24715 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 1:33 pm to
quote:

The past couple days the knowledgeable people on here said a stronger storm would track more east and a weaker storm would track more west.

It seems that the western dry air is so strong that the storm has no choice but to move eastward AND weaken.

To move west would be to die out. So it takes the path of least resistance.

This is how I'm making sense of it. Could be wrong.

But just look how dry the low level air is in TX right now:
This post was edited on 9/10/24 at 1:40 pm
Posted by Mr. Hangover
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2003
34925 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 1:34 pm to
Depends on your situation honestly

Who is in your house with you?
Trees around house?
Ever had flooding issues there?



There’s a whole lot to consider when trying to decide to leave or not. We would need some more info from you
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
178955 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 1:34 pm to
who was the backflow flood guru?
Posted by Festus
With Skillet
Member since Nov 2009
86128 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 1:35 pm to
quote:

Baytiger was tBoat before tBoat was tBoat

Posted by TheRouxGuru
Member since Nov 2019
14271 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 1:36 pm to
quote:

who was the backflow flood guru?


This caught my eye because I just installed a backflow preventer about an hour ago
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
84309 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 1:36 pm to
BayTiger drowned. Should have had a Boat.
Posted by tigercraig
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2003
3823 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 1:37 pm to
quote:

who was the backflow flood guru?


I think it was a Russian sounding name iIRC
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50747 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 1:37 pm to
He was asking for the flood guru, not the roux guru.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177323 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 1:38 pm to
quote:

Gonzales. No generator. Should one stay or leave?

If you’re not on the coast in a surge area then it depends on your specific situation. Personally I would stay home and see what happens because you can always leave and go somewhere after the storm. Maybe you’ll get lucky and keep power. But that doesn’t apply to people with medical conditions or other factors. Or if you’re in a mobile home or have precarious trees near your house then I’d think about staying somewhere else.
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