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Posted on 9/10/24 at 12:53 pm to SmogkDeizKnutz
quote:
Seems some models are now steering back west a little.
Where do you see that?
Posted on 9/10/24 at 12:53 pm to Joshjrn
quote:
That's the opposite of what I would have intuitively thought. Do you happen to know why the water cools as you get closer to the coast?
Cooler freshwater runoff from all the rain last week.. those pockets of 27c right at the coast. Plus it rained a TON right off the coast and it's been cloudy. As said below the shallower depth will fluctuate in temperature quicker than the deep ocean. Now it's only a few degrees C, but it's not the bathtub it was earlier in the season anymore.
This post was edited on 9/10/24 at 1:00 pm
Posted on 9/10/24 at 12:53 pm to Joshjrn
quote:More shallow
Do you happen to know why the water cools as you get closer to the coast?
Posted on 9/10/24 at 12:55 pm to notiger1997
quote:
What are the realistic rain amount forecast?
I’m listening to a co-worker losing his mind and telling everyone they are predicting 12-24 inches in the Gonzales area.
I find that hard to believe
You work with Dyslexic don't you? Tell him not to worry. Cointment is in charge now. Nobody will have to take a pirogue to their front door ever again.
Posted on 9/10/24 at 12:55 pm to DhanTigers212
quote:
If I remember correctly Zeta was stronger than what Francine is projected to be.
Correct. Zeta was very similar to Hurricane Sally as far as it's minimum pressure goes although the two hurricanes couldn't have been any more different when looking at how fast each was moving.
For comparison sake, Hurricane Sally reached its minimum low pressure of 965 mb when it made landfall in Gulf Shores as a rapidly strengthening strong Cat 2 of 105 mph max sustained winds. Zeta had a similar minimum pressure to Sally but was officially at 110 mph at landfall. Those two hurricanes are the highest end potential for Francine in my humble opinion.
Posted on 9/10/24 at 12:56 pm to SmogkDeizKnutz
quote:Like which? I can got to tropical tidbits and see models like the HMON and HAFS-B taking it through New Orleans and into Mississippi.
Seems some models are now steering back west a little and pushing up to Cat 2 again
This post was edited on 9/10/24 at 12:57 pm
Posted on 9/10/24 at 12:56 pm to tigafan4life
quote:
So then who to believe or look at for accurate info on the track. My coworker just said it is moving so much east that MS is going to get hit now. I find that hard to believe but at the same time it does keep tracking east.
Where the hell do some of these people get their weather information?
Posted on 9/10/24 at 12:58 pm to Mr Breeze
Y'all are gonna get me in trouble. My wife has walked by multiple times and instead of spaghetti models and school closure arguments, Hannah Gard's fine arse is on my screen.
Posted on 9/10/24 at 12:58 pm to slackster
Euro is slight west outlier at this point
All models now central St Mary to Cocodrie
All models now central St Mary to Cocodrie
This post was edited on 9/10/24 at 12:59 pm
Posted on 9/10/24 at 12:58 pm to Wabbit7
quote:Most of them pull it outta their arse. Gotta love those water cooler convos.
Where the hell do some of these people get their weather information?
Posted on 9/10/24 at 12:58 pm to The Mick
quote:
More shallow
Wouldn't it be the other way around? Shallow water should heat up easier where are deeper water gets cold the deeper it gets?
Posted on 9/10/24 at 12:59 pm to The Mick
quote:
More shallow
I bet you think the kiddie pool is warm just because of all the piss.
Posted on 9/10/24 at 1:00 pm to back9Tiger
quote:
Wouldn't it be the other way around? Shallow water should heat up easier where are deeper water gets cold the deeper it gets?
Really doesn't matter. the northern gulf has been covered up with storms and cloud cover for a majority time since Labor Day.
Posted on 9/10/24 at 1:00 pm to back9Tiger
quote:Deep water retains summer heat for longer.
Wouldn't it be the other way around? Shallow water should heat up easier where are deeper water gets cold the deeper it gets?
Boat mentions lots of cooler fresh water runoff from a few days ago.
Posted on 9/10/24 at 1:00 pm to Joshjrn
quote:
Do you happen to know why the water cools as you get closer to the coast?
Upwelling. The shallower waters will cause the cooler waters below to rise to the surface.
This post was edited on 9/10/24 at 1:01 pm
Posted on 9/10/24 at 1:01 pm to notiger1997
quote:
24 inches in the Gonzales area.
They better start building an ark, then.
Posted on 9/10/24 at 1:01 pm to SlickRick55
Does anyone have the latest from the NYC fox guy that can interpret the latest 1pm update for us?
Posted on 9/10/24 at 1:01 pm to Motorboat
quote:
Really doesn't matter. the northern gulf has been covered up with storms and cloud cover for a majority time since Labor Day.
That's why it's cooler. I was commenting on Mick's shallow water thought process.
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