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Registered on:11/4/2009
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It was a s###ty call that went in our favor.

Btw, no one is claiming that Bama hasn't benefitted from more than its fair share of missed calls. That doesn't mean that bad calls that went the other way can't be called out as well.

Pointing out the missed PI call also doesn't mean that Georgia fans have to apologize for getting the calls. They had nothing to do do with the missed call just as Alabama fans had nothing to do with the missed call on that LSU interception. Doesn't mean you can point out s###ty calls or non calls when they happen though

re: The real reason Bama lost…

Posted by Govt Tide on 10/11/26 at 4:09 pm to
quote:

Can’t have pass interference if ball isn’t catchable.


Uncatchable? The pass hit his leg as he was getting knocked down to rhe ground ...lol

All credit to Georgia though. They're probably the favorite to win it all and Stockton is playing at an elite level. They took advantage of all the good breaks and bounces that went their way and got it done.

On the other hand, the fact that Bama literally didn't get a single bounce or break go there way and was only one play away from winning bodes well for this Alabama team.
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Here is where the shear becomes a bad thing. It will help with tornado production as this moves onshore.


How does the the hurricane's forecasted bend from a nne to nnw motion in response to the high pressure in the traditional "wedge" influencing it at landfall affect the tornado threat?

Where the warm moist humid onshore flow begins to meet resistance from that area of relatively high(er) pressure and relatively dryer from the Carolinas down into Georgia would seem in my uneducated opinion to create a boundary and an enhanced area of shear over eastern Alabama and western Georgia as the hurricane shifts from nne to nnw through Alabama
Does anyone know of a link that shows modeled wind gusts?
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The current trajectory sure looks like it’s already headed straight north with a possible late N-NW turn at landfall. I don’t think it’s gonna make it all the way east to Destin. Straight at pcola


Although the overall setup is much different this has a bit of an Opal feel as far as a quick moving major hurricane expected to weaken some on approach as it veers just east if its projected track through Penscola.

The similarities with this one and Opal end after this one makes landfall close and enters Alabama. At that point this one slows for a bit and then starts bends back north/northwest in south Cental AL and then heads on a Geeneville to Centreville to Jasper, AL line.

Opal and Isaias were in very similar positions 12 to 18 hours before landfall and look to take similar paths thru FL. Opal got picked up by an approaching cold front and rocketed from the FL/AL border north of Destin and exited the northeast corner of the state in only about 8 or 9 hours. That why there was so much inland tree damage throughout the eastern half of Alabama and the western half of Georgia with Opal
quote:

And it’s top loaded - west and south is sheared


Sally was completely top loaded. It had a wicked looking northern semi circle eyewall with a completely exposed southern semi circle on radar as it made landfall.

This one looks to have a bigger eyewall but the southeastern quadrant of the center seems to be completely exposed at landfall (per the latest hurricane models at least)
A bit of encouraging news (at least for those in Pensacola) is that all the short term models are honing in on the right side of the cone. The bulls eye seems to be Ft Walton now.

All the models show a pretty wicked northern and western eyewall though so the area from Pensacola Beach to Navarre still looks to get rocked by the eyewall.

Everyone tends to focus on the eastern and northeastern eyewall (for good reasons especially with storm surge) but having experienced the northern and northwestern eyewall of Sally that part of the eyewall is no joke.

The highest wind gusts from Sally were in the northern and western eyewall including 121 mph at Fort Morgan and a 129 mph gust (about 40 feet off the ground) at the northern end of Wolf Bay
quote:

Convective bursts still firing along entire western side of eyewall. Eastern side is surprisingly weakest appearing eyewall on IR at the moment.


Most of the hurricane models like the HWRF, HMON, and HAFS A have actually been showing the western and northern eyewalls as the most intense parts of the eyewall at landfall so I'd still be preparing for 100+ mph winds gusts as far west as Pensacola. The edge of the western eyewall brushes close to Lillian (AL) and Perdido Key as well.
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In the mind of the left, these are just late -term abortions and it’s their right to kill their children


Liberal women and feminists went from a "safe and rare" mindset on abortion in the 90s to "my body my choice" in the 00s and 10s to now "my small child my choice" in the 20s.

I realize a lot of the crap we see on social media posts and many of the comment sections are rage bait from trollers for clicks and bot accounts but there are too many real people/women commenting with full support of LC and other violent mothers to write it all off as fake rage bait. Not to mention all the real cases (some copycatting the LC case) and real world consequences of children being murdered by their moms.

This crap is also a direct result of government, society, and emasculated fathers and their feminist wives coddling their daughters and society giving women in general full rights and special privileges while also giving them a complete and total exemption from any responsibility or accountability whatsoever.

I didn't think the entitled attitude a lot of women have to be able to violate a man's rights without any accountability could get any worse than the Door Dash girl claiming victimhood after falsely accusing an unconscious guy of SA while filming her own crime against him until the LC case became public.

You have a defendant and the defendant's attorney both admitting in writing that she killed her children in an effort to use a not guilty by reason of insanity defense in the first trial yet a lot of women literally ignore that fact and will argue that her husband Patrick was the real killer despite literally zero evidence existing that he had anything to do with it.

Feminism has literally gotten every right and special privilege it has ever asked for. Much like with racial discrimination there's literally no systemic discrimination left to fight so now feminists basically characterize mothers having to face any accountability whatsoever or even being criticized for killing their children as "patriarchal oppression". Not having sympathy for Lindsey Clancy or thinking she should be held accountable for murdering her children is "misogyny" or "internalized misogyny" if the criticism comes from another woman.
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Opel took basically the same route back in the 1990s. As far as Montgomery (which is not that far from Tuscaloosa), they got 90 mph winds, massive power outages, and tornadoes.

It's supposed to go up that way Saturday morning. They're not playing this game Saturday night


Opal made landfall near Navarre Beach moving north/northeast on a Montgomery to Gadsden to just west of Chattanooga line. This storm will be moving north/northwest on a Pensacola Beach to Demopolis to Columbus, MS line. Big difference

Opal was a high end Cat 4 that weakened to a low end Cat 3 (around 115 mph) at landfall and had a near record forward speed for a landfalling Gulf hurricane. It was moving at about 30 mph just after hitting Navarre Beach and accelerated even further in forward speed as it rocketed through the length of the state after that. That's why it was still a hurricane as the core of the storm clipped the eastern side of the Montgomery area. This one will weaken to down to at worst a high end Cat 2 and won't be moving inland quite as fast as Opal did.

This storm (as currently forecasted) will be crossing the Hwy 80/I-85 corridor about 100 miles west of where Opal did and barring it strengthening to a much stronger storm than is currently forecasted it shouldn't be anywhere as damaging as far inland as Opal was.
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I am 48 years old now. My father graduated from LSU Med School in 1979 and was a resident at USA hospital there in Mobile at the time. My father worked that night and said a wall of the hospital caved in. My mom held me and her bible overnight that night as the storm came in. Mobile was without power and water for 2 weeks.


I'm slightly older than you and was too young to remember Hurricane Frederic but that storm was a worst case scenario track for the city of Mobile.

Frederic was a rapidly intensifying high end Cat 3 as it made landfall on the eastern tip of Dauphin Island heading north/northwest with an eastern and northern eyewall driving storm surge the full length of Mobile Bay towards downtown Mobile.

A wind gauge on the Dauphin Island bridge (which was destroyed in the storm) measured a 147 mph wind gust before the instrument failed and stopped reporting data
quote:

Moved my baby girl to Fairhope in August for school. Now, I am an absolute nervous wreck. I know my wife or I are going down before sunrise to get her. I can't believe this shite. Ughhhh.


If it makes you feel any better I rode out Hurricane Sally in the Fairhope area. Sally which rapidly intensified from an 80 to 85 mph Cat 1 (about 980 mb) up to a very high 105 mph Cat 2 (965 mb) in the final 6 to 8 hours leading up to its landfall in Gulf Shores. It was "moving" at 2 to 3 mph and we spent a good 2 or 3 hours in the northern and northwestern eyewall in the Fairhope area 60 to 70 mph sustained winds with gusts up to 95 mph. It was a wild ride with a lot of tree damage but your daughter will have zero issues with any storm surge with Fairhope being on a bluff like it is.

Your daughter should be fine during the storm in Fairhope. The only caveat is I'd recommend riding it out somewhere that doesn't have a bunch of really large pine trees surrounding the house. Those trees don't hold up very well in hurricane force (74+ mph) wind gusts. There were hundreds of pine trees snapped in half in the Summerdale and Foley area after Sally.
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I have dealt with a whole lot of hurricanes in my long lifetime.
I can tell you without a doubt, it's the aftermath of the downed trees, the downed power lines, the flooding, the spinoff tornado damage and the power outages, inland as well as coastal, that is a nightmare. Just ask the fine people of the Carolinas who are still recovering and were hundreds of miles away from the impact zone of the hurricane.
So, I can't imagine that the local authorities would plan to allow a game for Saturday night, not knowing if any of those things are going to be severe, then try to cancel the last minute after people were on their way in those conditions.
But, hey, I could be wrong. We will see if i'm overreacting...


You act like inland areas of Alabama have never dealt with hurricanes...lol. Ivan, Opal, Dennis, and even Zeta to a a lesser degree were all major hurricanes at landfall that ripped through the state and did tremendous tree damage well inland. Those didn't shut down infrastructure to a degree that a major event like the Alabama/Georgia game would have to be cancelled

Worst case scenario js this produces 50 to 60 mph gusts if the core goes directly through Tuscaloosa and knocks down several large tree limbs and knocks down a few trees in the Tuscaloosa area. Most of the model runs have the center of the storm exit the state into Tennessee by mid to late Saturday afternoon

re: Weather

Posted by Govt Tide on 10/7/26 at 9:29 am to
quote:

I have never heard of a tropical system not having lightning with it. That alone will make it hard to play with the lightning rules the way they are.


You haven't experienced many tropical systems then because cloud to ground lightning is actually the one major hazard that is almost completely absent from tropical systems.

There's mostly cloud to cloud lightning and the occasional cloud to ground lightning strike in really intense eyewalls but being struck by lightning is the very least of your concerns if you get caught outside in one of those. Dodging flying debris, not getting blown off your feet, and getting swept away in storm surge if you're too close to the beach rank way way ahead of the unlikelihood of being struck by lightning

re: Isaias - Clean Up and Recovery Begins

Posted by Govt Tide on 10/7/26 at 8:44 am to
If the official NHC forecast is correct the wind and rain with the core of the storm will be north of Tuscaloosa by mid to late Saturday afternoon.

Tuscaloosa could very well get high end tropical storm force wind gusts when/if the core of the storm passes through but it shouldn't be enough to cause widespread power outages.

The core of the storm passes through around noon so tailgating weather could be a bit wild. Could be some issues for any tents that aren't well secured
quote:

We’re supposed to be going to Fairhope Friday afternoon through the weekend for our anniversary. Looks like it’s getting the eye late Friday night.

Is this one weak enough to chance it?


I think you'll be fine as long as you're staying in a hotel which should obviously have a generator. Very good chance of losing power in an Airbnb, house, apartment, etc though.

Judging strictly by the very latest forecast this one shouldn't be as bad as Hurricane Sally which rapidly intensified from a minimal Cat 1 to a high end Cat 2 (105 mph max sustained winds) as it crawled through the area at 3 mph.

This one looks to peak at a Cat 3 before weakening to a borderline Cat 1/Cat 2 at landfall as it races through the area. The weather may actually be fairly nice by late Saturday afternoon. All depends on how many restaurants, bars, etc lose and therefore may not have power while you're over there
quote:

Is this the longest thread in the history of Tigerdroppings


Hahaha..Not even close..



The Deepwater Horizon thread (throwing up a little bit in my mouth at the thought of that spewing well) might be the record holder
quote:

Greetings all,

I’m brand spanking new to this hurricane business. Now that this storm is a 100% certainty, at what point is a good time to go to my local Publix to stock up on bread and milk? I’m hearty midwestern folk used to heavy snowstorms, so I’m not scared about some wind and rain. Lol!


Minnesota native eh? There aren't any Publix locations west of the AL/MS border so you must either be in the Mobile, AL area or the Florida panhandle between Pensacola Beach and Destin.

I'd make a store run and would go ahead and top off your fuel tank when this storm gets a name. Get some batteries and candles too in case you lose power. A lot of the posters on this board will tell you from experience that getting gas after a big storm is one of the biggest pains in the arse. Lines can be very long at the few stations that have power and fuel. That and being without power for an extended period of time.

Riding out thw core of a Cat 2 or higher hurricane is no joke if you've never experienced one. I rode out the eyewall of Hurricane Sally (high end Cat 2) in Daphne, AL which is about 20 miles inland from Gulf Shores.

Power was out and my cell phone was almost dead at about 5:00 am when we finally got into the calm eye of the storm. Went outside hopped in my car and drove about a half mile away to the edge of my neighborhood to the first street light that was working. The storm shifted northeast bringing my suddenly back into the edge of the northwestern eyewall and all hell broke loose again. Had to turn my Honda Accord parallel to the wind because I could feel my car wanting to lift up from the 90 to 100 mph wind gusts hitting my car roadside. Sat there for a solid hour in the chaos waiting for "daylight" because I wasn't about to head back past the heavily wooded area between my house and risk having one of those massive pine trees come down on top of me. It finally lightened up and a modular building about 250 yards yards from where I was riding out the worst part of the storm there in my car had been destroyed by either a brief spin up tornado or from the 90 to 100 mph wind gust themselves.

Moral of the story. Don't get out and about in your car when you're in the eyewall of a hurricane like my dumbass did...lol
Just doing my best Willy impression ??
Lane's ex husband (Ole Miss) did everything asked of him supporting Lane during their time together. Ole Miss adored Lane and was loyal to the point that she repaid that loyalty by monkey branching to the shiny new object and the perceived greener grass in Baton Rouge taking 3 of his ex husband's kids with her in the process.

Lane decided to show back up at her ex husband's house yesterday to prove that she picked the better suitor. Lane couldn't understand why her ex husband's friends and family members were being so mean and saying mean things about her. After all, what's wrong with still being friends?

Ole Miss responded by having its way with Lane and kindly reminding her when she left that while he appreciated the visit they weren't going to be friends and he bet on the inferior man (LSU) and she would have to live with her choice.