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re: Delta Moves On...Cleanup Begins

Posted on 10/6/20 at 1:55 pm to
Posted by fishfighter
RIP
Member since Apr 2008
40026 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 1:55 pm to
quote:

Hurricane forecasting to breast milking tips. Only in an OT Hurricane tracking thread.


Post of the Year. Best quote to be made.
Posted by LSUJML
Central
Member since May 2008
55759 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 1:56 pm to
quote:

five mile wide tornado over the water.


Posted by K2LAW
Lake Charles, LA
Member since Jun 2007
1805 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 1:56 pm to
quote:

Could take Laura’s track


Lovely. My SF adjuster is supposed to be here Saturday a.m. That'll work out just great
Posted by Dizz
Member since May 2008
16122 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 1:57 pm to
quote:

I've got to be able to cold store breastmilk, pump the stuff, wash the ridiculous assembly and keep bottles sanitized and clean. What I'm concerned about is electricity and very few of you will have my exact concerns.


I have had to transport frozen breastmilk to houses with generators three different times this year. You would have thought it was the Covid vaccine. We ditched the sanitizer after the first one, hot water and soap does the job.
Posted by jimbeam
University of LSU
Member since Oct 2011
75703 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 1:58 pm to
You want my address?
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 1:59 pm to


It won't be that for most of the journey, but that's the best way to understand the conditions when they have tiny eyes like this. That tiny eyewall will collapse at some point and it'll look like a normal hurricane afterwards.

For reference, Hurricane Wilma in 2005 had a two mile wide eye at it's peak intensity (which was like 882 mb IIRC).

ETA: Thanks all for all the milk storage and equipment advice. And yes, wasn't expecting to type this out in a hurricane thread.
This post was edited on 10/6/20 at 2:01 pm
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
181946 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 1:59 pm to
Are these the current models? If so, good news for Lake Charles but sorry to all of those about to be affected by the storm.


The models are still pretty in line unlike they normally are.

Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
115141 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 2:00 pm to
quote:

I have had to transport frozen breastmilk to houses with generators three different times this year. You would have thought it was the Covid vaccine. We ditched the sanitizer after the first one, hot water and soap does the job.


I bet if you offered it from the tap, the demand would be higher.
Posted by jimbeam
University of LSU
Member since Oct 2011
75703 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 2:01 pm to
So that pink and blue line is how they make the cone right?

Posted by Prominentwon
LSU, McNeese St. Fan
Member since Jan 2005
95010 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 2:02 pm to
quote:

The GFS model and the Euro model are trending more west. The Euro actually has it all the way to the LA/TX state line.


If you read the thread, you’d see that this has been discussed and how much of a dogshit outlier the GFS has been.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102521 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 2:02 pm to
It’s crazy a storm this powerful hasn’t cleared the eye out yet
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 2:02 pm to
Shift west toward Vermillion Bay at 4 pm based on that. TVCN and TVCX are what the NHC will typically hug for their path. They will probably only do a half measure of a move but that's the direction the consensus is taking us.
Posted by soccerfüt
Location: A Series of Tubes
Member since May 2013
74689 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 2:02 pm to
That CTCI model can eat a bagful of dog dicks.

Just sayin’
Posted by lsugolfredman
Member since Jun 2005
1941 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 2:03 pm to
quote:

Are these the current models? If so, good news for Lake Charles but sorry to all of those about to be affected by the storm.



TVCX (gray line) is a predictor of the next NHC track. Take note of it as it's the consensus or average weighted model.
Posted by GeauxGutsy
Member since Jul 2017
5960 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 2:04 pm to
quote:

LMAO. If you think this thing is going anywhere west of Lafayette at the most, you are dead wrong. I wouldn't even bank on that.


Define “at the most” in your sentence por favor.

Also,
quote:

I wouldn't even bank on that.


Ok then.





Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102521 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 2:05 pm to
quote:

I've got to be able to cold store breastmilk, pump the stuff, wash the ridiculous assembly and keep bottles sanitized and clean.


Serious question, i don’t have kids yet. Why go through this much trouble? Just put the baby directly on the tit if you have to
Posted by Zephyrius
Wharton, La.
Member since Dec 2004
9565 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 2:05 pm to
quote:

Climatology indicates that an eastern jog is way more likely to happen as we hone in the 24-36 hour timeframe. i.e. Sally.

This is a west trending storm as Sally was an east trending storm and before that Laura was a west trending storm.

Let's let this thing get into the gulf instead of meaningless "way more likely" conjecture.
Posted by MikeBRLA
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2005
17192 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 2:06 pm to
The only thing somewhat settling me at ease is that the models are rarely very accurate as to a storm’s path this far out.

They are currently all going right over Baton Rouge, so odds are the track will shift over the next couple of days, but who knows? The storm isn’t even in the gulf yet.
Posted by GeauxTigers0107
We Coming
Member since Oct 2009
10984 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 2:06 pm to
Is that the latest and greatest model?
Posted by tigafan4life
Member since Dec 2006
50971 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 2:06 pm to
Mine wouldn’t. He was a premie. I could never get him to latch correctly so I pumped. Trust me wanted to.


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