re: Deep South winter storm and arctic outbreak - Jan. 20-23 timeframe

MSY does have deicing equipment but there is a limited amount of the liquid. I have flown out early when planes have been deiced.

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MSY does have deicing equipment but there is a limited amount of the liquid. I have flown out early when planes have been deiced.

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Flew out of BR January 1 2001 when we got snow. My flight was the first flight out that day and plane had to be de iced. It was a little unnerving watching the guy do it because it was probably the only time ever.

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Not sure if a generator can handle a all electric heat system

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I have a portable generator, 1800 watts or so, that can barely handle a coffee maker.

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If snow does indeed fall, do we expect a ton of power outages?

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Depends on how "wet" the snow is. It might start off as a little wet snow but if it plays out the way the models are showing, it would likely turn into more of a powdery snow since the temp would be dropping so much. Multiple models have us sitting in the low to mid 20's at noon in Baton Rouge.

Wet snow = power outages
Dry snow = a beautiful day outside and warm day inside

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Next run will flip and we will be in short sleeve and flip flop weather all next week.

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This is my perfect winter weather.

I live in the middle of nowhere and we'll lose power at odd times, but fortunately never more than a few hours at a time .
So, who knows?
But a severe icing event will cause widespread issues

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18z GFS with 5-7 inches for the Houston metro

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Ted Cruz was seen hastily leaving his River Oaks home. Texas fricked.

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WAFB uses it too and they’re contractually required to do so.

Which is fricking laughable and has no place in weather forecasting. Proprietary storm tracking software? Sure. Proprietary model programs with a contract binding you to use it in your public-facing forecasting over other models? Nah. They aren't the only ones who use it, either.

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That is why you always need to look at weather independently to the current conditions. Sometimes weather patterns are out there that the models miss or add certain biases. That was how good ole Nash operated, he was independent. He wasn’t even an employee of the station that he worked at. He operated as an independent contractor so he wouldn’t have to deal with station management to hype up a storm or particular model for business purposes.

Now everything in TV is so hyped up and wrapped up in contracts for advertising or special weather equipment that you may not be able to trust the guy in the fancy suit or gal with the big knockers telling you the weather.

The one that gets me now is WDSU, they hired a consulting firm to certify how accurate their forecast is. It is laughable that you would need to do such a thing. It is no different than when the cigarette companies advertised that more doctors smoked Camel cigarettes than any other cigarette.

It is not like WDSU posted the survey for any viewer to see the complete results, they are just paying for the right to advertise how accurate their forecast is because XYZ said it was. It is like some of those medical awards some hospitals essentially pay to win or be recognized for.


Rant on [OFF]

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NWS public forecast discussions are absolutely your best source for unbiased info.

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Yup anybody can learn how to read them too. They have links to all the weird terminology they use.