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Message

re: Deep South winter storm and arctic outbreak - Jan. 20-23 timeframe

Posted on 1/16/25 at 9:59 pm to
Posted by SWLA92
SWLA
Member since Feb 2015
5041 posts
Posted on 1/16/25 at 9:59 pm to
A good swath of 6 inches of snow basically all along 190 across all of Louisiana.
Posted by purple18
Lafayette
Member since Aug 2009
1772 posts
Posted on 1/16/25 at 10:00 pm to
I think it’s a safe bet now that most of South Louisiana up through CENLA will see 2-6” of snow on Tuesday with some place possibly seeing even more.
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
66950 posts
Posted on 1/16/25 at 10:03 pm to
quote:

safe bet

quote:

South Louisiana

quote:

2-6” of snow

No.
Never a "safe bet".
I live in central Alabama, and I would never consider snow a "safe bet", even if it's predicted to start snowing within the hour.
Posted by SWLA92
SWLA
Member since Feb 2015
5041 posts
Posted on 1/16/25 at 10:11 pm to
[/url][/img]
00z GFS
This post was edited on 1/16/25 at 10:12 pm
Posted by Sun God
Member since Jul 2009
51904 posts
Posted on 1/16/25 at 10:16 pm to
quote:

I think it’s a safe bet now that most of South Louisiana up through CENLA will see 2-6” of snow on Tuesday with some place possibly seeing even more.


Posted by DVinBR
Member since Jan 2013
15737 posts
Posted on 1/16/25 at 10:18 pm to
00z GFS upped the snow accumulations
Posted by Mr Roboto
Seattle
Member since Jan 2023
8153 posts
Posted on 1/16/25 at 10:21 pm to
quote:

I think it’s a safe bet now that most of South Louisiana up through CENLA will see 2-6” of snow on Tuesday with some place possibly seeing even more.

I have a gut feeling the heaviest totals shift northward giving CenLA and North the higher totals
Posted by SportsmanParadise
Member since Jun 2016
46 posts
Posted on 1/16/25 at 10:21 pm to
Any idea on the timing of this thing? Is this a start at 4 am snow or more like 9/10 am? Trying to rearrange my travel plans.
Posted by jmcwhrter
Member since Nov 2012
7971 posts
Posted on 1/16/25 at 10:22 pm to
TWC for Lafayette has pivoted from "1-3 inches of snow and ice" to "3-5 inches of snow"

I bring it up because they've always seemed to be the slowest to update forecasts for extreme conditions
Posted by metallica81788
NO
Member since Sep 2008
10545 posts
Posted on 1/16/25 at 10:27 pm to
Is this supposed to be a Tuesday morning thing - whatever it is?
Have to make some work decisions
Posted by SWLA92
SWLA
Member since Feb 2015
5041 posts
Posted on 1/16/25 at 10:28 pm to
Tuesday morning into midday Tuesday
Posted by SWLA92
SWLA
Member since Feb 2015
5041 posts
Posted on 1/16/25 at 10:30 pm to
[/url][/img]
00z Canadian for entertainment purposes. 0.1% this verifies
Posted by Herschal
USA
Member since Sep 2011
2200 posts
Posted on 1/16/25 at 10:36 pm to
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75077 posts
Posted on 1/16/25 at 10:36 pm to
quote:

Any idea on the timing of this thing? Is this a start at 4 am snow or more like 9/10 am? Trying to rearrange my travel plans.

As currently modeled from around 3am to 3pm on Tuesday, depending on how far east you are.
Posted by jcaz
Laffy
Member since Aug 2014
19282 posts
Posted on 1/16/25 at 10:38 pm to
Yeah I think 10 inches of snow in South Louisiana would be wild. I’m not going to work. I am taking a snow day and enjoying it with my kids
Posted by AverageJoe26
Hwy 42
Member since Sep 2012
365 posts
Posted on 1/16/25 at 10:43 pm to
Canadian is good for laughs, but several nights in a row of near zero lows in SELA...yikes!
Posted by SportsmanParadise
Member since Jun 2016
46 posts
Posted on 1/16/25 at 10:46 pm to
Driving from Covington to Baton Rouge then up to Arkansas starting at 9 am. How screwed am I?
Posted by Delacroix22
Member since Aug 2013
4537 posts
Posted on 1/16/25 at 10:50 pm to
I have lived in New Orleans for nearly two decades but am a chameleon yankee having grown up in Connecticut

…. I don’t think yall really realize …

SIX inches of snow??? SIX?

I know it flurried in like 2010 and maybe a year after that.

But ACTUAL snow accumulation of several inches?

That’s fricking insane it’s going to be a shite show here.
Posted by SportsmanParadise
Member since Jun 2016
46 posts
Posted on 1/16/25 at 11:02 pm to
Very likely. Hoping to get ahead of it if possible.
Posted by Govt Tide
Member since Nov 2009
9568 posts
Posted on 1/16/25 at 11:13 pm to
0z Canadian says screw it...it's Miller time...(as in Miller A for any of you weather nerds out there). He says he's going to keep upping the ante until the rest of the models fold

This time everyone along and north of a Galveston to Destin to Savannah to Myrtle Beach line gets between 6 and 18 inches whether you like it or not. lol:

0z run of the Canadian model snowfall totals
This post was edited on 1/16/25 at 11:15 pm
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