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re: Assuming most new cars will be EV's by 2030...how to future proof a new home's garage?

Posted on 2/5/21 at 3:42 pm to
Posted by billjamin
Houston
Member since Jun 2019
18082 posts
Posted on 2/5/21 at 3:42 pm to
quote:

The $10,000 batteries that have to be replaced every 80-100k for electric vehicles is the real issue.


Link?
This post was edited on 2/5/21 at 3:50 pm
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
112898 posts
Posted on 2/5/21 at 3:53 pm to
quote:

The $10,000 batteries that have to be replaced every 80-100k for electric vehicles is the real issue.

You posted the same exact thing pretty much word for word in a previous thread.

You were told you were wrong then, and yet you still chose to post incorrect information again.

This is simply not true.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
112898 posts
Posted on 2/5/21 at 3:55 pm to
quote:

Keep in mind that in 15 years you will probably not own a car at all. By that time, driverless cars will be obtainable via ride share, in every shape and size, cheap and fast.

Nah, we won't be there in 15 years.
Posted by billjamin
Houston
Member since Jun 2019
18082 posts
Posted on 2/5/21 at 3:56 pm to
quote:

This is simply not true.


you went in harder than I did. I was hoping to get some bullshite source, but had a feeling it was some regurgitated nonsense talking point.
Posted by Obtuse1
Westside Bodymore Yo
Member since Sep 2016
30520 posts
Posted on 2/5/21 at 3:56 pm to
quote:

How many outlets and how many amps would be required?


Trying to future proof is like you know trying to predict the future. I have literally miles of wire in my two houses put there initially to future proof, basically none of it is used.

To answer the question I would make sure the service panel is in the garage. This gives you fairly easy access to all of your power so that you could run any electrical service you need without having to deal with the walls in the living area.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
112898 posts
Posted on 2/5/21 at 3:58 pm to
quote:

Link?

It's incorrect info.

Tesla batteries are good for $300-$500k and cost $5k-7k to replace.

After 160k miles, your battery would still be around 90% of its peak performance.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
112898 posts
Posted on 2/5/21 at 3:59 pm to
quote:

you went in harder than I did. I was hoping to get some bullshite source, but had a feeling it was some regurgitated nonsense talking point.

I thought I kept it civil

EV/Tesla threads can go south very quickly.
This post was edited on 2/5/21 at 4:00 pm
Posted by billjamin
Houston
Member since Jun 2019
18082 posts
Posted on 2/5/21 at 3:59 pm to
quote:

To answer the question I would make sure the service panel is in the garage.


This and make sure that it has room for expansion. Main Panel Upgrades can be a royal PITA depending on where you live.
Posted by billjamin
Houston
Member since Jun 2019
18082 posts
Posted on 2/5/21 at 4:02 pm to
quote:

It's incorrect info.

Tesla batteries are good for $300-$500k and cost $5k-7k to replace.

After 160k miles, your battery would still be around 90% of its peak performance.


Yeah I knew that. I work with Tesla quite a bit on the home energy side. I'm not super familiar with the EVs but the cell tech is the same as the PowerWall and I have a lot of data on degradation, replacement cost, conditioning, cycling etc. on those.
This post was edited on 2/5/21 at 4:02 pm
Posted by Rekamyah
Ovadalevee
Member since Jun 2008
1866 posts
Posted on 2/5/21 at 4:19 pm to
quote:

I think the "special" home charger for the Teslas requires a 220V hookup, just build one out like you would for a washer/dryer.


How can you possibly assume this not knowing what load he charger requires. Also, generally the faster the charger is, the more current (amps) it will draw and repeated fast charging negatively affects the life of the battery.
Posted by BeepNode
Lafayette
Member since Feb 2014
10005 posts
Posted on 2/5/21 at 4:29 pm to
You aren’t needing to fully charge your car every night unless you drive 300 miles a day. Multiple cars will be fine with one 30 or 50 amp outlet so long as they can “talk” to each other. 60 amp would be even more future proof.
This post was edited on 2/5/21 at 4:30 pm
Posted by griswold
Member since Oct 2009
4326 posts
Posted on 2/5/21 at 5:05 pm to
The dipshit Dems will shutdown all power plants due to environmental concerns. So put a solar panel or wind mill on your garage.
Posted by Unobtanium
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2009
1920 posts
Posted on 2/5/21 at 5:14 pm to
I read up on the Tesla home charger. Input line voltage is 200-240 volts AC, rated output is 11kW, or around 50 amps line side load. About the same load as an electric oven, give or take.

Until some formal standards come out, car side and NEC (home wiring codes) side, I'd be leery of investing too much at this point for fear of having to redo it later.
Posted by Tigersonfire
Pville
Member since Oct 2018
3027 posts
Posted on 2/5/21 at 5:54 pm to
News flash the earth doesn’t contain enough materials to make all cars ev. Look it up. Lithium and Cobalt are very limited when it comes to the amount of batteries we are talking about. It’s a pipe dream that will never happen.
Posted by TDTOM
Member since Jan 2021
25893 posts
Posted on 2/5/21 at 6:06 pm to
Shhhh.
Posted by Higgysmalls
Ft Lauderdale
Member since Jun 2016
7963 posts
Posted on 2/5/21 at 6:09 pm to
quote:

News flash the earth doesn’t contain enough materials to make all cars ev. Look it up. Lithium and Cobalt are very limited when it comes to the amount of batteries we are talking about. It’s a pipe dream that will never happen.


Correct. They are already running into issues.
Posted by billjamin
Houston
Member since Jun 2019
18082 posts
Posted on 2/5/21 at 6:11 pm to
quote:

News flash the earth doesn’t contain enough materials to make all cars ev. Look it up. Lithium and Cobalt are very limited when it comes to the amount of batteries we are talking about. It’s a pipe dream that will never happen.


Link? I’ve only seen data on mining and processing capacity not raw material constraints.
Posted by bee Rye
New orleans
Member since Jan 2006
34582 posts
Posted on 2/5/21 at 6:11 pm to
Most chargers ate 50a/240v
Posted by DeCat ODahouse
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2017
1676 posts
Posted on 2/5/21 at 6:23 pm to
quote:

Yeah I knew that. I work with Tesla quite a bit on the home energy side. I'm not super familiar with the EVs but the cell tech is the same as the PowerWall and I have a lot of data on degradation, replacement cost, conditioning, cycling etc. on those.


Would appreciate if you would post more thoughts on the PowerWall. Not meaning to hijack this thread, maybe time for a new one on the H/G board?
Posted by lostinbr
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Oct 2017
12849 posts
Posted on 2/5/21 at 6:24 pm to
quote:

There are almost 300 million cars registered in the US, more than there are people.
even if you just assumed half of them were regularly in use, that's an extra 2.6 BILLION Kilowatts being used to charge them. Just for some comparison sake on what 2.6B KW of electricity is, NYC uses about 11 million KW of electricity a day, so you're talking about adding the equivalent of 236 New York City's to our electrical infastructure.
So sure, it's not insurmountable.

The thing that gets lost here is the turnover rate of existing vehicles. People are holding onto vehicles longer than they ever have before. The average vehicle on the road today in the US is 12 years old. 25% of vehicles in the US are >16 years old. A wholesale manufacturing shift to EV’s would only cause that age to increase as people hesitate to make the switch.

New vehicle sales accounted for ~6% of vehicles on the road in 2019, and were expected to fall to 5% in 2020 last time I checked.

That means that if pure EV’s made up 100% of all new vehicle sales right now, it would still take 10+ years for them to make up more than 50% of cars on the road and 15+ years to make up more than 75% of cars on the road.

So extrapolate that out - using that 2030 date, you’re talking about at least 20-25 years from now before even most of the vehicles on the road are EVs. And that’s not accounting for continued improvements in the lifespan of ICE vehicles in the interim or the hesitance of consumers to switch.

Now think about what infrastructure looked like 20-25 years ago. Telecom is a great reference point. How many miles of fiber have we installed since 1996? How many cell towers? Hell, do you think it’ll take 50 years to have nationwide 5G access? Because that’s an even more difficult task.

So no, it’s not insurmountable. Difficult, sure. But I don’t know why anyone would think it can’t be done.
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