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2022 Season - Pre Storm Gulf Watch
Posted on 5/13/22 at 10:21 am
Posted on 5/13/22 at 10:21 am
GFS has been pretty consistent the last 3 or 4 days of a tropical system entering the southern gulf 10-12 days out.
This post was edited on 5/13/22 at 10:23 am
23
Posted on 5/13/22 at 10:23 am to Zephyrius
Posted on 5/13/22 at 10:24 am to Zephyrius
nothingburger
Posted on 5/13/22 at 10:24 am to Zephyrius
Any projected track on the low pressure I’m the gulf yet
Posted on 5/13/22 at 10:25 am to Zephyrius
Posted on 5/13/22 at 10:25 am to Zephyrius
We could use some rain in Texas.
Posted on 5/13/22 at 10:27 am to trussthetruzz
quote:
nothingburger
Get the bingo cards ready... have a feeling we will have a lot of winners this season
Posted on 5/13/22 at 10:27 am to Zephyrius
Yes but it goes to Mexico after entering the gulf
Posted on 5/13/22 at 10:30 am to Zephyrius
Crap
Posted on 5/13/22 at 10:31 am to Zephyrius
Wrote about it this morning.
The Gyre gets spinning next week, and this is a typical source of development this time of year. It might form in the Caribbean, but could form in the Pacific. It also might not form at all.
If it does form in the Caribbean, the subtropical jet is going to be far enough south to put a whole bunch of shear over it. The GFS is overly aggressive in development and outflow production early, which is why it has been letting it get somewhat strong.
It is coming back toward reasonable this morning.
My Thoughts This Morning
The Gyre gets spinning next week, and this is a typical source of development this time of year. It might form in the Caribbean, but could form in the Pacific. It also might not form at all.
If it does form in the Caribbean, the subtropical jet is going to be far enough south to put a whole bunch of shear over it. The GFS is overly aggressive in development and outflow production early, which is why it has been letting it get somewhat strong.
It is coming back toward reasonable this morning.
My Thoughts This Morning
Posted on 5/13/22 at 10:31 am to Zephyrius
We’ve discussed this in another thread already:
I was happy to see a local WWL weather guy share on Facebook that anyone pushing fear about something this far out should be deleted from your social media feed.
I was happy to see a local WWL weather guy share on Facebook that anyone pushing fear about something this far out should be deleted from your social media feed.
Posted on 5/13/22 at 10:34 am to Zephyrius
Dear God,
Can Louisiana catch a break this year please? I'm tired of living my life 10:00-4:00-10:00-4:00 during the summer.
Can Louisiana catch a break this year please? I'm tired of living my life 10:00-4:00-10:00-4:00 during the summer.
Posted on 5/13/22 at 10:36 am to Zephyrius
I think it’s just typical early season GFS bs. I wouldn’t put much stock in it, particularly in the idea of a significant system.
This post was edited on 5/13/22 at 10:37 am
Posted on 5/13/22 at 10:45 am to Zephyrius
Oh for frick's sake.......you could have put this in one of the other four threads from yesterday.
Posted on 5/13/22 at 10:48 am to Zephyrius
quote:
GFS
quote:
10-12 days out
Posted on 5/13/22 at 10:54 am to Zephyrius
The GFS always spins up a Category 5 monster 12 days out, even in December.
Anyone looking that far out using that model will die early from high blood pressure stress.
Anyone looking that far out using that model will die early from high blood pressure stress.
Posted on 5/13/22 at 11:22 am to Zephyrius
frick that bullshite. This will be the third time in four years i've gone to the Florida panhandle in May with a freaking low in the gulf.
Posted on 5/13/22 at 11:27 am to bigwheel
quote:
Any projected track on the low pressure I’m the gulf yet
Posted on 5/13/22 at 11:39 am to Zephyrius
This is the most threads started regarding a system that hasn’t even developed yet.
Posted on 5/13/22 at 11:42 am to TDsngumbo
You know how I know a strong hurricane hit SELA last year?
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