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Started By
Message
re: 1/25-1/26 2026 Major Deep South Winter Storm Thread
Posted on 1/22/26 at 8:28 am to jimmy the leg
Posted on 1/22/26 at 8:28 am to jimmy the leg
2
Posted on 1/22/26 at 8:28 am to deltaland
quote:
Pretty much all models are in agreement on ice along the I-20 corridor and north.
Best of luck to those people. I've had to deal with that shite before on Oklahoma roads.
Both of my brothers live south of I-20 in Tarrant County, and my daughter lives off I-35 between Ft. Worth and Denton.
We're supposed to get between 8 - 12 inches. I'll take that any day rather than ice.
Posted on 1/22/26 at 8:29 am to cgrand
quote:
allowing Oklahoma into the SEC was a mistake
Agreed. But letting Texas in was much worse. Conference killers.
Posted on 1/22/26 at 8:29 am to C9
quote:
Even the gas tankless water heaters require electricity to run.
True. Its control circuit requires some power. Granted it isn’t much but still needs it.
Also note the components on the heater are more susceptible to water freezing since it isn’t a constant source of heat. Keep an eye on it.
Posted on 1/22/26 at 8:30 am to DVinBR
It looks like 4-6 inches in mid MO. I'm hoping some of the models predicting more don't come to fruition.
Posted on 1/22/26 at 8:37 am to C9
Damn. Yall and chatGPT just confirmed.
Just talked to my dad and he’s begging me to take the kids and go to Baton Rouge. He said we will lose power with freezing rain, and 4 kids, no power for possibly weeks plus no hot water is a nightmare. Very stressed atm.
Just talked to my dad and he’s begging me to take the kids and go to Baton Rouge. He said we will lose power with freezing rain, and 4 kids, no power for possibly weeks plus no hot water is a nightmare. Very stressed atm.
Posted on 1/22/26 at 8:40 am to bapple
quote:
True. Its control circuit requires some power. Granted it isn’t much but still needs it.
The old school ones use a thermo-electric power source, no electricity needed. Pilot light heat is all it takes.
So ha. Poor people 1 rich people 0
Posted on 1/22/26 at 8:44 am to tigerbandpiccolo
quote:
4 kids
If you can, leave. I send my wife and kids to the in laws if there's threat of a stiff breeze. The problem is two fold. Cold weather and no electricity is a nightmare with kids. Dealing with the problems associated with that with kids up your butt makes it all much much worse.
I can live in a 0* blizzard with no electricity for a week and be just fine. Introduce kids into that and it gets far worse for everyone.
Kinda late now, but tire cables are relatively cheap and with where you are, it'd be a good thing to have in your car in the spare tire holder during winter time, just in case. It can be the difference between trapped in your car on the highway and being able to limp down the shoulder safely.
Posted on 1/22/26 at 8:49 am to AHM21
Adjustments to the south? The ice line is damn near identical in all of those frames across much of that area with the exception of some small movement in Texas.
Posted on 1/22/26 at 8:49 am to tigerbandpiccolo
You should leave.
Posted on 1/22/26 at 8:51 am to SlowFlowPro
quote:
Adjustments to the south? The ice line is damn near identical in all of those frames across much of that area with the exception of some small movement in Texas.
That’s what I thought. Even watched it twice. You have to be doing some wish casting to see any significant movement south off of that
Posted on 1/22/26 at 8:52 am to TDsngumbo
For the Alabama folks.
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here. quote:
IMPACT FORECAST FOR THE WEEKEND: Here is the impact forecast for Alabama concerning the weekend storm system. Understand this is a complex setup where slight temperature variations can bring major changes in impact. A winter storm watch is in effect for the northern third of Alabama for the weekend. The winter storm watch does NOT include Tuscaloosa, Birmingham, Anniston, or points south.
BOTTOM LINE: For most of Alabama this will be simply a big rain event; greatest risk of ice accumulation from freezing rain will be over the northwest and northeast corners of the state. But, black ice could be an issue for the entire northern half of the state Sunday night and Monday as temperatures fall rapidly into the teens after the rain. Odds of any accumulating snow over the Tennessee Valley are very low, but a few flakes are possible Sunday afternoon.
Ice accumulation for Northeast and Northwest Alabama should be .10” or less; isolated power outages are very possible, but for now we aren’t expecting widespread outages.
Here is a breakdown of impact for different regions:
SOUTHERN 1/2 OF ALABAMA: Occasional rain over the weekend, maybe even a strong thunderstorm in spots. Rain amounts 1-2 inches. But some patchy black ice is possible early Monday morning.
BIRMINGHAM/TUSCALOOSA: Mostly rain; amounts of 2-3 inches are likely. There is a chance the rain could change to freezing rain or light snow before ending Sunday afternoon/evening as temperatures drop rapidly after reaching the 55-60 degree range early Sunday morning. The primary concern for the western half of the I-20 corridor in Alabama is Sunday night and Monday. Temperatures will drop into the teens, and a flash freeze/black ice situation will possibly bring hazardous driving conditions.
HAMILTON/RUSSELLVILLE/FLORENCE: There is a good chance freezing rain will move into the northwest part of the state late Saturday morning, which could result in some ice accumulation. Temperatures will likely be in the 29-32 degree range at the onset of the precipitation.
As the warm sector of the moves northward, temperatures will likely edge above freezing across Northwest Alabama by mid to late afternoon. And it looks like this part of the state will see mainly a cold rain Saturday night with temperatures rising into the mid to upper 30s during the night. This should ease icing conditions.
Then, on Sunday, temperatures will drop quickly and a another period of freezing rain is likely for a few hours. This could lead to more ice accumulation Sunday afternoon. A few snow flakes are possible as well. Black ice is likely on roads Sunday night into Monday morning.
CULLMAN/DECATUR/ATHENS/HUNTSVILLE: While some freezing rain/icing is possible Saturday afternoon with patchy ice accumulation, it looks like temperatures will be generally above freezing with just a cold rain Saturday evening through early Sunday morning. Then, with a rapid temperature drop Sunday, a period of freezing rain or light snow is very possible before it all ends. This could lead to hazardous driving conditions Sunday afternoon through Monday morning.
SCOTTSBORO/FORT PAYNE/GADSDEN/ANNISTON: A wedge of colder air (CAD, or cold air damming) will likely move into the northeast part of Alabama over the weekend from the east, and some freezing rain is possible late in the day or Saturday night. After a brief warm-up with just a cold rain Sunday morning, temperatures drop like a rock and more freezing rain is possible by midday Sunday before it ends. Icy travel is possible Sunday afternoon through Monday morning due to any freezing rain accumulation and the potential for black ice/flash freeze.
*Temperatures Sunday will fall from the 50s and 60s at daybreak into the 20s and 30s by afternoon. The northern half of the state should be below freezing by 2-3 p.m. Sunday. Icy travel is possible over the northern half of the state late Sunday, Sunday night, and into the day Monday.
Posted on 1/22/26 at 8:52 am to tigerbandpiccolo
I haven't been following... where are you located? If you're in one of the areas with half an inch of ice predicted, I'd 100% leave that area with 4 small kids unless you have a generator. No power for a week or so with all the cold air coming in will be miserable with young children. Having them stuck up your arse the entire time will only make things worse for you since you'll get zero alone time.
Posted on 1/22/26 at 8:53 am to DownshiftAndFloorIt
quote:
So ha. Poor people 1 rich people 0
I have two gas water heater tanks in parallel feeding my whole house. Unless my gas supply fails I’ll always have redundancy!
Posted on 1/22/26 at 8:54 am to AHM21
The model runs today will include the recon flight data so a southward shift is no good
Posted on 1/22/26 at 8:55 am to TDsngumbo
She’s in West Little Rock I believe.
Local weather here in little rock just said that it will be 2-4 inches of sleet and then 3-6 inches of snow.
The only freezing rain they mentioned was in south east Arkansas
Local weather here in little rock just said that it will be 2-4 inches of sleet and then 3-6 inches of snow.
The only freezing rain they mentioned was in south east Arkansas
Posted on 1/22/26 at 8:55 am to TDsngumbo
Choices of staying in Oxford Ms or going to friends in Jackson.
Which would you do??
Which would you do??
Posted on 1/22/26 at 8:55 am to Allthatfades
quote:
That’s what I thought. Even watched it twice. You have to be doing some wish casting to see any significant movement south off of that
Agreed! People get all worked up over this stuff, and admittedly I used to as well but the older I get the more I take up a mindset similar to what they do in China when bad weather threatens... let it happen!
If it's going to happen, it's going to happen. Just be logical and prepare the best you can and ride it out.
Unless you have 4 young children with no generator. Then I'd get the hell out
This post was edited on 1/22/26 at 8:56 am
Posted on 1/22/26 at 8:57 am to tiger91
quote:
Choices of staying in Oxford Ms or going to friends in Jackson.
Which would you do??
If she's in West Little Rock where it's just going to mainly be sleet and snow, I'd stay put. Oxford and Jackson are going to catch hell with freezing rain.
Luckily for those in Oxford, they've been preparing for the melt for nearly two months now so they actually should handle this well.
If you're in Oxford, you're gonna get fricked regardless of whether you stay or go to Jackson I believe. Jackson may get fricked less hard, though.
This post was edited on 1/22/26 at 8:59 am
Posted on 1/22/26 at 8:59 am to TDsngumbo
quote:
I'd 100% leave that area with 4 small kids unless you have a generator.
I think she should leave either way. If the generator quits, you could have a real life or death situation on your hands. Losing power for a week in the summer sucks arse, but nobody's going to die. Losing power for a week in an ice up with kids can be a real life threatening situation if you aren't geared up and prepped for it.
It's ok to trust them for comfort, but don't trust your kids lives to a standby natural gas residential generator.
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