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re: 1/25-1/26 2026 Major Deep South Winter Storm Thread
Posted on 1/21/26 at 8:59 pm to holdmuh keystonelite
Posted on 1/21/26 at 8:59 pm to holdmuh keystonelite
There’s not much to get excited about in Oklahoma, you can’t blame him
0
Posted on 1/21/26 at 9:25 pm to SWLA92
quote:
Sure but a model showing a snow storm for Louisiana a week out is like saying that a model is showing a hurricane coming to Louisiana a week out. How many times does a model verify that far out? Could it happen sure but it’s not worth mentioning over a week out.
All you look for is model consistency
So I'm asking out of curiosity as I haven't really looked... is there consistency?
Posted on 1/21/26 at 9:31 pm to rt3
No, it's majorly moved north from the extended forecast.
Posted on 1/21/26 at 9:33 pm to KosmoCramer
quote:
No, it's majorly moved north from the extended forecast.
Thanks
I just looked at the 10-day (near BR) on Weatherbug & it says it will be essentially at or just below freezing for lows late next week
Posted on 1/21/26 at 9:47 pm to OU Guy
quote:
Why doesn’t Africa, Middle East, or Latin America have any weather models?
Because they will just say they created ours. Theres not one invention they didn’t create according to some looney folks
This is why I get my weather news here instead of TWC.
Posted on 1/21/26 at 9:48 pm to rt3
quote:
is there consistency?
For a deep south winter weather threat late next week? Absolutely.
Posted on 1/21/26 at 9:55 pm to LSUFanHouston
quote:
quote:
This would be a separate system, late next week/weekend.
Where are you seeing this, I don’t see it
Here’s one place reporting it
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Posted on 1/21/26 at 10:00 pm to OU Guy
GFS caved to the Euro. Still the most south but it caved hard
Posted on 1/21/26 at 10:00 pm to DVinBR
Great, more reasons to stay and home and not blow money
Posted on 1/21/26 at 10:04 pm to TigersHuskers
Is Dallas more or less in the crosshairs after this new model dropped?
Posted on 1/21/26 at 10:24 pm to TigersHuskers
quote:
Still the most south but it caved hard
Is it? The Canadian seems like it hasn't changed in 3 days
Posted on 1/21/26 at 10:26 pm to jmcwhrter
what have I missed,, someone catch me up
Posted on 1/21/26 at 10:27 pm to TigersHuskers
Seems like you are just wishcasting the snow line further north atp
Posted on 1/21/26 at 10:34 pm to TigersHuskers
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Posted on 1/21/26 at 10:35 pm to jmcwhrter
Don’t put too much stock into the Canadian for anything.
Posted on 1/21/26 at 10:36 pm to SWLA92
quote:
Don’t put too much stock into the Canadian for anything.
You'd think if anyone knows about winter weather it'd be the Canadians
Posted on 1/21/26 at 10:40 pm to rt3
Like everything Canada tries in they fail so it’s no surprise they couldn’t have a weather model that predicts an accurate winter forecast.
Posted on 1/21/26 at 10:40 pm to Mr Roboto
Nah, the GFS is "seeing" the same thing the Euro is.
Baja shortwave comes in a little more north and stronger as the SE ridge pumps up a bit bc if all the heat being transported in with the jet stream roaring out of the pacific.
Gets you a deeper surface low over MS/AL/GA before it gets in more classic noreaster position by the Carolinas.
That deeper surface low pulls more heat and moisture from the Gulf. Pushes the snow line north bc of the warm air nosing in aloft, riding over the dense arctic air at the surface.
And this is why the Euro moved north and why the GFS has trended that direction tonight. (though to be fair, the 00z isnt a lot farther north than the 18z was imho)
Baja shortwave comes in a little more north and stronger as the SE ridge pumps up a bit bc if all the heat being transported in with the jet stream roaring out of the pacific.
Gets you a deeper surface low over MS/AL/GA before it gets in more classic noreaster position by the Carolinas.
That deeper surface low pulls more heat and moisture from the Gulf. Pushes the snow line north bc of the warm air nosing in aloft, riding over the dense arctic air at the surface.
And this is why the Euro moved north and why the GFS has trended that direction tonight. (though to be fair, the 00z isnt a lot farther north than the 18z was imho)
Posted on 1/21/26 at 10:42 pm to Duke
Euro is the king for a reason. Every other model caves to it almost all the time.
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