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Started By
Message
re: SPCX IPO
Posted on 6/16/26 at 9:01 am to UltimaParadox
Posted on 6/16/26 at 9:01 am to UltimaParadox
quote:dude. This is old news. They had to wait until after IPO
Well dilution news came even quicker than I anticipated didnt even make it a week.
1
Posted on 6/16/26 at 9:09 am to The Boat
Tesla is fake they sell like 10 cars a year
Posted on 6/16/26 at 9:37 am to castorinho
quote:
dude. This is old news. They had to wait until after IPO
They just announced it today. That they would pay the 60B basically in stock.
I would say that is pretty relevant news
Posted on 6/16/26 at 9:41 am to LEASTBAY
quote:
And everywhere you read the same stuff they have constantly said about TSLA for years now. Here we are many years later.
The narrative around Tesla is that it's an AI company not a car company to justify valuations.
Now that space X is the AI company under musk, not sure where that lands Tesla in the future.
I'm sure they are both AI companies now
Posted on 6/16/26 at 9:42 am to UltimaParadox
I didn't say it was irrelevant. I quoted a very specific part of your message. There's a reason the market isn't reacting negatively. They raised 75bn, no one was expecting them to spend that cash on this deal.
Posted on 6/16/26 at 9:43 am to el Gaucho
quote:
Tesla is fake they sell like 10 cars a year
Can you stop with the BS on the Money Board?
Do it in the OT.
Posted on 6/16/26 at 9:54 am to UptownJoeBrown
quote:
Can you stop with the BS on the Money Board?
Sorry somebody rolled coal on your tesla
How many shares do you have of space x
Posted on 6/16/26 at 10:00 am to el Gaucho
quote:
How many shares do you have of space x
600
Posted on 6/16/26 at 10:23 am to UptownJoeBrown
Dang that’s crazy I have less than that
What will you do when it goes to 55000
What will you do when it goes to 55000
Posted on 6/16/26 at 10:49 am to UltimaParadox
Would be curious to see what percentage of investors in either one know or care what the market cap is. People just don't care.
Posted on 6/16/26 at 11:08 am to dallastiger55
How will it affect the whole S&P?
Posted on 6/16/26 at 11:14 am to LEASTBAY
quote:True. I pretty much only talk about companies in terms of market cap. I can't take when people talk about share price without at least mentioning percentages.
Would be curious to see what percentage of investors in either one know or care what the market cap is. People just don't care.
Posted on 6/16/26 at 1:54 pm to Shamoan
119 shares at $159 cost basis, but these will be passed on to my grand kids. I'm not selling. I also bought into BPTRX a long time ago, so i'm feeling that bump. I'd sell the BPTRX eventually, but not the SPCX shares.
Now I'm on to the next IPO's and deciding how much to put into Anthropic and OpenAI.
First time in my life I have real $$ in what I call a YOLO investment account. It's primarily for IPO's like this.
Now I'm on to the next IPO's and deciding how much to put into Anthropic and OpenAI.
First time in my life I have real $$ in what I call a YOLO investment account. It's primarily for IPO's like this.
This post was edited on 6/16/26 at 2:35 pm
Posted on 6/16/26 at 4:01 pm to member12
Neauxla:
So $150 is the floor. What do you think will happen when the people who got in at $1, $5, $10 can sell?
BUT, for now, due to options, it could gamma squeeze. I wouldn't rule out $300 this week or next.
I bought two 7/17 calls just in case.
quote:It's a lot of fun now, but the only people who are able to sell are the ones who have bought over the last three days, which is 5% of the float.
Guess I should have tried to get in at 150. Oh well.
So $150 is the floor. What do you think will happen when the people who got in at $1, $5, $10 can sell?
BUT, for now, due to options, it could gamma squeeze. I wouldn't rule out $300 this week or next.
I bought two 7/17 calls just in case.
quote:.
Based on the options statistics provided and the market conditions you described, a gamma squeeze is entirely possible and the structural setup is highly favorable for one.
I. OPTIONS CHAIN DYNAMICS
The image provided shows total call volume at nearly 360,000 contracts, outpacing the 340,000 puts. More importantly, the distribution of the call deltas reveals a classic squeeze setup. There is a massive concentration of calls in the 41 to 60 delta range, totaling over 137,000 contracts. These represent at-the-money or near-the-money options. Additionally, there are nearly 200,000 out-of-the-money calls in the 0 to 40 delta brackets. When traders purchase these calls, market makers take the other side of the trade and must hedge their short call positions by buying the underlying stock. As the stock price rises, the delta of those out-of-the-money calls increases rapidly. To remain neutral, market makers are forced into a continuous loop of buying more shares as the price climbs.
II. THE LOW FLOAT CATALYST
The options chain alone is only half the equation. The true catalyst for a violent gamma squeeze is the constrained supply of shares. With 95 percent of the float locked due to the recent initial public offering, only a tiny fraction of total shares are freely tradable. Because insiders and early investors cannot sell, the only available sellers are retail and institutional investors who bought at or above the initial offering price. If these holders refuse to sell, market makers trying to hedge their rapidly growing call deltas will have to bid up the stock price to find liquidity. This extreme lack of supply supercharges the upward pressure caused by options hedging.
III. CONCLUSION ON SQUEEZE PROBABILITY
A gamma squeeze is highly possible under these conditions. The combination of constrained supply, massive day-one options volume, and high demand creates a positive feedback loop that can drive the price up aggressively. However, this market structure is fragile. If buying momentum stalls and out-of-the-money options lose their premium, market makers will unwind their hedges by selling shares into that same low-liquidity environment, which can cause an equally rapid price collapse
Posted on 6/16/26 at 5:09 pm to member12
quote:
Now I'm on to the next IPO's and deciding how much to put into Anthropic and OpenAI.
Nice. Wonder what price they will open to
Posted on 6/16/26 at 5:22 pm to Stamps74
Posted on 6/16/26 at 6:18 pm to UptownJoeBrown
quote:
Can you stop with the BS on the Money Board?
Do it in the OT.
Posted on 6/16/26 at 8:44 pm to LSURussian
So you want the Money Board to become the OT?
Posted on 6/16/26 at 9:36 pm to el Gaucho
quote:Tesla sells roughly 1.6 to 1.8 million vehicles globally each year. - simple google search
Tesla is fake they sell like 10 cars a year
Posted on 6/17/26 at 7:30 am to bayoubengals88
quote:
bayoubengals88
You talked me into it. I bought 1 share.
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