Favorite team:LSU 
Location:
Biography:
Interests:
Occupation:almost retired
Number of Posts:40159
Registered on:12/30/2013
Online Status:Not Online

Recent Posts

Message
quote:

No one knows since immigration status is only recorded in Texas and no other state.
Correct. We don't even know what the denominator is.

And if 100% of illegals were stopped at the border, that would be 0% new crimes from that cohort. It's all negative lagniappe.
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I tell my wife, and her response is immediately "that's disgusting"
women are stupid
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Why did it take two months for the stay to be lifted? Flights should have fired up as soon as SCOTUS ruled.

These rogue judges have too much power and need a judicial bitch slap.
It's kind of like when you find these prisoners that have been wrongly convicted and have their sentences vacated. I'm always shocked at how they don't leave prison that very same day. :banghead:

re: SPCX IPO

Posted by Big Scrub TX on 8/5/26 at 6:01 pm to
quote:


Buy the company, not the stock price.
I'm not sure what this means. The part of the company one should care about is earnings, with the stock price indicating some value relative to that number.

If you want to talk about future earnings, that's fine.

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I think we'll probably see SpaceX become a $5 to $10 trillion company within our lifetimes.
How many years is that? 50? A 3-7X in 50 years is a lousy IRR.

Current money market rates can get you a 7X over 50 years.

But in any event, it's odd to scale your expectations off of the most maximalist interpretation of Musk's statements.

This might suit your needs as an investor, but for the average person taking a look at this name, there's no way anyone could recommend it as a buy.
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I like how they blame global warming yet both the Tacoma and Palisades fires were arson related
You might mean Spokane. And they are still blaming the WA fires on climate change.
Chicks only make 65 cents on the male dollar - should be easy to find the money somewhere.

re: SPCX IPO

Posted by Big Scrub TX on 8/5/26 at 2:16 pm to
quote:

NVDA has increased 58% from when you predicted it's crash in 2024. Good call.
NVDA has earnings.
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Convicted felon, murdered his father in AZ in 2010. Aaron Farinacci.



Liberal states
Arizona?
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They got $500MM in cash from private equity and immediately started cutting staff.
Looks like you guppied up the MSM version like the guppy you are intended to be.
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private equity screws up pretty much everything it touches for its customers
You have no idea what you're talking about.

re: Upcoming eclipses

Posted by Big Scrub TX on 8/3/26 at 12:19 pm to
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I plan to be there, south of Darwin in the outback, for whatever works out best. My brother and I improvised 2017 and 2024 and nailed both. A total eclipse is just completely awe inspiring. And I want to go explore Australia in a camper in 2028 anyway, so why not?
That sounds sweet.
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Difficult album to find now.
Do you mean like vinyl or something? It took me less than 15 seconds to find the full album on Youtubemusic, youtube and Spotify.

In any event, it's a great album. Losin' Your Mind got some MTV play if I recall correctly.

I played Found a Friend and Sweet Jesus on a loop when it first came out.
I don't know a surprising amount of these. And 2 Maidens??!?
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So you think it’s absurd, implausible, and foolish to think that Citadel released that note on rate hikes as a final dagger to Leopold’s portfolio?
Moving goal post. The original casual assertion was that this just obviously happened. I continue to think it's a preposterous "theory".
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How come every hotel I stay in is run by the Patel family?
Because in the early 70s, many of them were expelled by Idi Amin's brutal regime in Uganda, with a lot of them coming here. This was during the major energy-driven recession. They bought aged motel stock that nobody wanted at rock bottom prices, lived in one room in the motels with their families, worked their hands to the bone running the place and then got just enough cash to buy the next property. Wash, rinse, repeat.

I think it's crazy and un-American to hate them for this. It's the most American success story one can imagine.
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Its no “theory”
The "rates scare" angle is pure speculation.
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Yeah, Israel would never spy on us.

Idiot.
Yeah, they can only do that via Epstein.

Idiot.
Wine has always been a terrible business. No, even moreso.
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We have no idea how much impact Epstein/Mossad had in these areas.
Sure we do. Whatever your fevered imagination tells you - discount that by 99.9%.

re: SPCX IPO

Posted by Big Scrub TX on 7/30/26 at 11:01 am to
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I disagree about the stock price being irrelevant. The current stock price is relevant because it’s a psychological / institutional wall that is being formed and may be defended through the release on 8/6.

I agree about the floor showing up once the first 20% dump happens. I’m just betting the floor doesn't go below 100 (hopefully not even 110 as my cost basis is sitting in low 120s and I can’t risk buying any more shares).

If it drops super low like you're thinking then I’ve bought in too early.
You've got a lot of words that don't really say anything. The valuation is absurd. That's all that matters.
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Citadel scared the market stating that rates would be raised just to buy his book. You can't make this up.
This is a future movie.

You got a shot at NBIS at 140s and many,many others due to Leopold being margin called and Citadel buying his book.

WOW. Boy wonder got played.
This is a preposterous "theory".