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Message
re: SPCX IPO
Posted on 6/14/26 at 9:35 pm to lsuconnman
Posted on 6/14/26 at 9:35 pm to lsuconnman
Yes I don’t understand why regular individuals are buying SPCX now instead of waiting for it to dip.
I understand those that want to just say they have shares, but not those trying to make money with holding long term at current price.
I understand those that want to just say they have shares, but not those trying to make money with holding long term at current price.
2
Posted on 6/14/26 at 10:29 pm to Stamps74
quote:
Yes I don’t understand why regular individuals are buying SPCX now instead of waiting for it to dip.
Well, if you were someone who got in at the IPO price, you can make money on the initial retail bump and sell "at the top". Then after lock out period is over and there's a big sell off with profit taking by those who got in early, you can get back in and collect more than before.
Posted on 6/15/26 at 3:47 am to Snoopy04
This feels like one of those stocks where conventional wisdom goes right out the window.
Posted on 6/15/26 at 4:52 am to Stamps74
quote:
Yes I don’t understand why regular individuals are buying SPCX now instead of waiting for it to dip.
If you’re so sure of a dip, sell calls. Naked if you’re 100% positive.
Posted on 6/15/26 at 5:42 am to UptownJoeBrown
I’m not sure of anything, just going by what I read. I want shares of the stock, but seems like most are saying to wait until the price goes down for regular investors / holding long term.
Posted on 6/15/26 at 6:40 am to Shamoan
I’ll wait six months and buy it for a lot cheaper than it will hit at any point on I.P.O. day
Posted on 6/15/26 at 7:05 am to Stamps74
quote:
I’m not sure of anything, just going by what I read. I want shares of the stock, but seems like most are saying to wait until the price goes down for regular investors / holding long term.
A lot of brokers have lock-up periods or penalties for any retail that sells early on their IPO shares. So they have incentive to hold before dumping usually between 30-90 days.
Curious to see where it falls, as it was expected that almost 25% of all issuance went to retail, which is probably 5X the normal for an IPO.
Posted on 6/15/26 at 7:46 am to UltimaParadox
13 billion
that’s the number to keep front of mind
there are 13 billion shares of SPCX outstanding
they’ve been public for one trading day. The risk is immense to retail. And retail investors making statements after one day such as “this is a long hold for me” or “buying these for my kids” or the guy earlier forecasting a 13,000x in six months is insanity to me.
I hope SPCX becomes a transformational company…but as a public company it still comes down to market cap vs future earnings and while there is a long track record of Elon musk doing well at that, there is still so much going on with this situation that has nothing to do with the business. Billionaires are in the middle of a plan to make more billions on the IPO transaction…not the business
I would wait
that’s the number to keep front of mind
there are 13 billion shares of SPCX outstanding
they’ve been public for one trading day. The risk is immense to retail. And retail investors making statements after one day such as “this is a long hold for me” or “buying these for my kids” or the guy earlier forecasting a 13,000x in six months is insanity to me.
I hope SPCX becomes a transformational company…but as a public company it still comes down to market cap vs future earnings and while there is a long track record of Elon musk doing well at that, there is still so much going on with this situation that has nothing to do with the business. Billionaires are in the middle of a plan to make more billions on the IPO transaction…not the business
I would wait
Posted on 6/15/26 at 8:00 am to cgrand
It is clear as day that based on commitments and loans owed by the Space X prospective. IE 20 billion of the 70 billion raised has gone to pay existing debt.
We are looking at multiple rounds coming up of dilution. Demand will need to stay peaked to absorb all the new shares coming ahead
We are looking at multiple rounds coming up of dilution. Demand will need to stay peaked to absorb all the new shares coming ahead
Posted on 6/15/26 at 8:11 am to UltimaParadox
quote:and how will they keep demand high before the first earnings report? HYPE
Demand will need to stay peaked to absorb all the new shares coming ahead
this might be a 30-50 stock when all is said and done. Or it might be 500. Or whatever. Buy 10 shares just to say you did? Insanity but whatever, it’s just money. I respect the grift. And that has nothing to do with spaceX as a company
Posted on 6/15/26 at 8:14 am to cgrand
quote:
future earnings and while there is a long track record of Elon musk doing well at that
WTF, where? Where is this track record?
Tesla, overvalued to hell, hasn't grown revenues in 3 years.
Posted on 6/15/26 at 8:22 am to j1897
quote:
Tesla, overvalued to hell, hasn't grown revenues in 3 years.
2025: $94.83 Billion
2024: $97.69 Billion
2023: $96.77 Billion
2022: $81.46 Billion
2021: $53.82 Billion
2020: $31.54 Billion
yes its overvalued but there is a premium being paid for future revenues, a premium you might not be comfortable paying but many are. dont derail the thread please with hysterics
Posted on 6/15/26 at 8:31 am to cgrand
Elon has a long history of growing revenues
Tesla isn't growing revenue
DONT DERAIL THE THREAD WITH YOUR HYSTERICS
You are confusing facts with hysterics. Tesla has declining revenues, and they are set for another big drop this year. It is very likely they merge with spacex. This is pertinent to this thread.
Tesla isn't growing revenue
DONT DERAIL THE THREAD WITH YOUR HYSTERICS
You are confusing facts with hysterics. Tesla has declining revenues, and they are set for another big drop this year. It is very likely they merge with spacex. This is pertinent to this thread.
Posted on 6/15/26 at 8:33 am to j1897
back to the thread.
here is a simple case for SPCX the company
quote:
$SPCX looks expensive but also remember market is paying for what SpaceX could earn by 2028 if Starlink keeps scaling, launch remains the toll road to orbit and Starship starts lowering the cost curve of space. If EBITDA grows toward ~$50B by 2028 then a $2T valuation is closer to ~40x EBITDA which isn't crazy for a monopoly-like launch business with a high-margin Starlink engine and upside from AI infrastructure and orbital compute.
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here.Posted on 6/15/26 at 8:37 am to cgrand
Posted on 6/15/26 at 8:45 am to cgrand
Posted on 6/15/26 at 9:10 am to j1897
Please take it to the tesla thread, ty
Posted on 6/15/26 at 9:17 am to TheOcean
Posted on 6/15/26 at 11:48 am to Snoopy04
I know I don't have as much as many others but I'm glad I picked up 10 shares of the IPO. I'm going to add this one to my monthly investment portfolio
Posted on 6/15/26 at 2:13 pm to Falco
Is it just gonna keep going up
Not sure if I should full port
Not sure if I should full port
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