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re: We still have a decent chance to make the NCAA tournament
Posted on 4/21/26 at 11:51 pm to SelaTiger
Posted on 4/21/26 at 11:51 pm to SelaTiger
Like most folks here I don’t feel we can get to 13 SEC wins. If we were somehow able to do so, however, we’d likely still need to win 3 or 4 ballgames in the SEC Tournament just to be on the bubble.
0
Posted on 4/22/26 at 1:48 am to SelaTiger
So a team with a .333 winning percentage that can barely get by Southland teams is going to suddenly go 7-5?
Posted on 4/22/26 at 5:09 am to Rainier Fog
quote:
So a team with a .333 winning percentage that can barely get by Southland teams is going to suddenly go 7
Yes, possibly.
Posted on 4/22/26 at 6:18 am to Datsmoneydude
quote:
Wrong
Why?
Posted on 4/22/26 at 6:51 am to mdomingue
It’s very simple really.
LSU has to play with nothing to lose, play loose and win 2 in Starkville. If they do not, the season is over unless they win the SEC tournament.
Season is on a case by case basis every game going forward.
LSU has to play with nothing to lose, play loose and win 2 in Starkville. If they do not, the season is over unless they win the SEC tournament.
Season is on a case by case basis every game going forward.
Posted on 4/22/26 at 6:57 am to SelaTiger
What's stronger than crack? Because you're smoking it, whatever it is.
Posted on 4/22/26 at 7:39 am to SelaTiger
Posted on 4/22/26 at 7:44 am to Choot em Tiger
quote:
LSU has to play with nothing to lose, play loose and win 2 in Starkville.
The current projection shows us at RPI 54 with a 12-18 record in the SEC, 32-24 overall, with the following wins and losses. A second win at Mississippi State will do a lot for our RPI. A single win at Georgia would go even further. All of that hinges on sweeping South Carolina.
I still think 13 gets us in, but I can see why it might not without a couple of SEC Tournament wins. 14 would be better. I am not sure LSU can do it, though.
@ Mississippi State 1-2
vsSoutheastern Louisiana W
vs South Carolina 3-0 (sweep)
vs Tulane W
@ Georgia 0-3
vs Florida 2-1
Posted on 4/22/26 at 8:02 am to SelaTiger
SEC teams especially LSU are held to. Higher standard by the committee. No way 13 gets them in
Posted on 4/22/26 at 8:20 am to SelaTiger
Does college baseball have a NIT? That's the only tournament this team will make.
Posted on 4/22/26 at 8:33 am to JerryTheKingBawler
quote:
Where those 7 coming from?
I don't think 13 get's it done and it is tough but not impossible...
1 from State
3 from USCe
1 from UGA
go into the final weekend at The Box needing 2 wins against UF...not likely but not out of the question.
There are 7 wins to be had...but things would need to change significantly to get them.
Posted on 4/22/26 at 8:34 am to SelaTiger
quote:
13 SEC wins should get us in.
Was talking about this with a LSU friend. Where would the RPI be with 13 wins, and where does the rpi need to be? In the past 13 wins gets you in, but the RPI was always sub 40. Warren Nolan has LSU predicted wins to be at 12. 12-18 and 54 RPI. With 1 more win where does the RPI go to? Going 4 out of 6 at MSU and UGA would be huge for the RPI.
I think the magic number is 14. 4 out of 6 against MSU and UGA, sweep USC and take 1 from Florida will get you in.
Post season baseball is better with LSU in it
Posted on 4/22/26 at 8:48 am to Insurancerebel
Two out of three ain't bad, but it would be more possible (not likely) vs Florida than Georgia. That Georgia team is a force to be reckond with, esp in Athens. They're like A&M and playing at a stellar level now
Posted on 4/22/26 at 8:56 am to tarzana
quote:
Two out of three ain't bad, but it would be more possible (not likely) vs Florida than Georgia. That Georgia team is a force to be reckond with, esp in Athens. They're like A&M and playing at a stellar level now
Agree it would be more possible, I was looking at the RPI side of it. Winning away games vs top 20 RPI would really jump you up.
SEC Tournament would need you to play and win a game or two against top 10 RPI teams.
Posted on 4/22/26 at 8:59 am to SelaTiger
Seasons over. Too many injuries and bad recruiting. The team just wants this shite over with.
Posted on 4/22/26 at 9:17 am to Insurancerebel
Anything can happen in the SEC tourney. There's precedent for LSU, and that goes back to 2010 when the Tigers were reeling in SEC play, having lost 5 of their last 6 series that year. The team did win four games in four days in the tourney, capturing the SEC title and then traveling to UCLA (I believe they were #1 at the time) for a regional.
Posted on 4/22/26 at 9:21 am to SelaTiger
I think we need a 2008 type run to get us in.
Posted on 4/22/26 at 9:24 am to SelaTiger
quote:Maybe you haven't been keeping track of current events.
If we can win 7 of the last 12
Posted on 4/22/26 at 10:22 am to SelaTiger
This is one of those things we shouldnt get excited about
If they get off their arse and make it, good.
But im not holding my breath, nor will I be impressed by anything.
We have expectations, get on with it or give up your NIL money and get out.
If they get off their arse and make it, good.
But im not holding my breath, nor will I be impressed by anything.
We have expectations, get on with it or give up your NIL money and get out.
This post was edited on 4/22/26 at 10:23 am
Posted on 4/22/26 at 10:25 am to SelaTiger
quote:
13 SEC wins should get us in.
It will not, not with our RPI
There's actually a decent chance 14 wins wouldnt get us in, despite that always getting SEC teams in
Fact is our RPI will be substantially worse than these previous 13-14 win SEC teams have been that have gotten in.
Warren nolan has our predicted RPI at 54 if we land at 12-18 SEC....13-14 SEC wins isnt going to get us into the 30s. They have us beating both Tulane and SELA as well mid-week. What they arent projecting is SECT at all and the impact that will have.
This post was edited on 4/22/26 at 10:29 am
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