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re: LSU + 8 vs Bama...dafaq?!
Posted on 10/30/19 at 12:45 pm to 7nette
Posted on 10/30/19 at 12:45 pm to 7nette
quote:
Really not sure what empirical evidence has to do with the odds. If you flip a coin 100 times, just because you got 8 tails in a row doesn’t mean you’re more likely to get another
...is this a serious response?
0
Posted on 10/30/19 at 12:46 pm to Uncs
quote:
Home field is worth 3 so really bama -5????
except they actually are playing at Alabama, so really bama -8
Posted on 10/30/19 at 12:48 pm to Seaux_cal_tiger
quote:
- Heisman frontrunner
- Receiving corp about equal
- LSU is a proven commodity against again top teams (this season)
- Alabama largely untested so far this season
- Lesser opponents able to move the ball and score on Bama
- Bama lack of dominant pass rush this year
- LSU defense trending in the right
direction
You’re not wrong, but at the end of the day, it’s Bama. They’re at home playing the toughest opponent they have to face. It’s been this way for a long time.
The consensus expectation is that they’ll handle their business because they almost always do.
Posted on 10/30/19 at 12:49 pm to 7nette
quote:
Really not sure what empirical evidence has to do with the odds. If you flip a coin 100 times, just because you got 8 tails in a row doesn’t mean you’re more likely to get another
Uh...the outcome of football games isn’t random bro.
Posted on 10/30/19 at 12:51 pm to Seaux_cal_tiger
I know this year's production is different...but
These are the exact same players we had last year and got blown out at home
quote:
Heisman frontrunner
- Receiving corp about equal
These are the exact same players we had last year and got blown out at home
This post was edited on 10/30/19 at 12:53 pm
Posted on 10/30/19 at 12:54 pm to Seaux_cal_tiger
quote:
What's up with that nonsense?
What do you think it should be? LSU +2.5? Tell you what, for fun give me Bama -2.5 and let’s put 500 on it. Still feel comfy about a line smaller than 8?
Posted on 10/30/19 at 1:01 pm to Seaux_cal_tiger
quote:
- Alabama largely untested so far this season
I died on this hill last year, even starting a thread with stats about it...and yet Bama came in here and whipped LSU 29-0.
You're not wrong on any of your points, though, and I probably hold the same thoughts on many of them. But...it just doesn't matter until the final second ticks off the clock.
I thought LSU had a decent shot last year, and I for sure think the Tigers have a great shot this year. I hope I'm right this go around.
This post was edited on 10/30/19 at 1:04 pm
Posted on 10/30/19 at 1:06 pm to Seaux_cal_tiger
I wouldn’t touch this one with betting.
Posted on 10/30/19 at 1:07 pm to Seaux_cal_tiger
quote:
LSU + 8 vs Bama
betting lines are not exactly about who Vegas thinks will win, but about where the numbers need to be to get the money to fall as close to 50/50 as possible.
Posted on 10/30/19 at 1:10 pm to Seaux_cal_tiger
quote:
The line jumps to 10 if Tua plays. I didn't think we would be favored but damn. What's up with that nonsense?
The refs have been named for the game.
Posted on 10/30/19 at 1:11 pm to Seaux_cal_tiger
quote:
Receiving corp about equal
Their 4th receiver is Jalen Waddle
Our 4th receiver is Racey McMath
Posted on 10/30/19 at 1:15 pm to Sasquatch Smash
quote:
LSU are losers of 8 straight.
Have been outscored 63-10 over the last three games.
Alabama's current season margin of victory compared to LSU's.
Perception
Yeah but none of that gas to do with this years team. The MoV doesn't mean anything after you look at SoS compared to LSU's
Posted on 10/30/19 at 1:17 pm to Seaux_cal_tiger
When is the last time we scored a meaningful point against Bama?
Posted on 10/30/19 at 1:25 pm to Diesel88
You can't use a comparison like that. Realistically our 4th receiver is Moss.
If you put their 3 best against our 3 best it's pretty much a wash
If you put their 3 best against our 3 best it's pretty much a wash
Posted on 10/30/19 at 1:29 pm to SportTiger1
quote:
These are the exact same players we had last year and got blown out at home
Were they playing like this last season?
Posted on 10/30/19 at 1:31 pm to SportTiger1
quote:
These are the exact same players we had last year and got blown out at home
Chase and Burrow were sophomores last season? Burrow had a year of LSU experience already?
Posted on 10/30/19 at 1:38 pm to fjlee90
The line was made by someone that thought it was a good line to draw action on both sides. Honestly I expected it -10. Probably the only single digits underdog to bama in the last couple years is Clemson?
Posted on 10/30/19 at 1:40 pm to SportTiger1
That's a pretty stupid post comparing last year to this year as if nothing changes. Either you are trolling or you are pretty damn stupid.
Posted on 10/30/19 at 1:41 pm to Seaux_cal_tiger
Looks low to me.
Posted on 10/30/19 at 1:42 pm to Seaux_cal_tiger
One point for each consecutive loss.
I’m in.
I’m in.
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