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re: Louisiana Ice Storm Thread *Winter Storm Warning*

Posted on 2/8/21 at 6:52 am to
Posted by Adam4LSU
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2008
13760 posts
Posted on 2/8/21 at 6:52 am to
Coonasses are not ready for that

My alaska clothes will make their first appearance in 10 years
Posted by aggiegeog
Tyler, TX
Member since Feb 2013
51 posts
Posted on 2/8/21 at 6:59 am to
The ICON has been consistent in showing near all time record cold in Texas. It has been the most consistent model for this outbreak. I am going with a blend of GFS and ICON for my forecast. I expect the GFS to start going wacky though and the Euro to take its place over the next 48 hours. This looks like single digits for the I-20 corridor with isolated sub zero temps in rural areas of N and NE TX this weekend. In NW TX I expect much below 0 temps.
Posted by BallsEleven
Member since Mar 2019
6163 posts
Posted on 2/8/21 at 7:21 am to
quote:

That'll bust some pipes around here


It would be a shite show for sure if that played out. Especially in in SWLA where there are quite a few homes gutted from the hurricanes and lots of exposed pipes.
Posted by SEC 440
Member since Jan 2021
283 posts
Posted on 2/8/21 at 7:39 am to
The forecast services are having one heck of a time sorting this out. I live in North Texas and next Sunday ranges from 22/11 to 47/17 and a high of 26 (NOAA).

Don't enjoy the cold but am more preoccupied about moisture
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
99799 posts
Posted on 2/8/21 at 7:47 am to
So, if I am understanding this, there's a very good chance it's going to be cold as a witch's titty in the BR area for a number of days, but the chance of snow is remote.
Posted by HurricanesArentReal
Atlantic Ocean
Member since Jul 2020
10 posts
Posted on 2/8/21 at 7:53 am to
Kinda, the models are still all over the place, it really depends on how long the moisture stays around once the cold air hits us.
Posted by GITiger66
Member since Dec 2019
234 posts
Posted on 2/8/21 at 8:00 am to
Was planning to spend the weekend on Grand Isle but that island is COLD when it’s cold! Any idea when these models will get into agreement? They are alll over the place
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
91219 posts
Posted on 2/8/21 at 8:37 am to
My phone forecast says snow Monday Tuesday and Wednesday here in the Ms delta.

Posted by TigerstuckinMS
Member since Nov 2005
33687 posts
Posted on 2/8/21 at 8:41 am to
quote:

It would be a shite show for sure if that played out. Especially in in SWLA where there are quite a few homes gutted from the hurricanes and lots of exposed pipes.

That's when you shut the water off at the shutoff and just open every fixture and hope for the best.
Posted by Tigah D
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2008
1412 posts
Posted on 2/8/21 at 8:46 am to
Local mets here in BR (WAFB this morning) don't appear to be buying this, showing highs in 50's, lows in mid and upper 30's for weekend.

LINK /

Posted by TDsngumbo
Alpha Silverfox
Member since Oct 2011
41906 posts
Posted on 2/8/21 at 8:57 am to
None of the forecasts are going to reflect it until both the EURO and GFS are in agreement again.


It’s like some of you have never read a weather thread before.
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
146214 posts
Posted on 2/8/21 at 9:02 am to
quote:

Local mets here in BR (WAFB this morning) don't appear to be buying this, showing highs in 50's, lows in mid and upper 30's for weekend.


None of the local mets in nola are even mentioning anything..neither is TWC or Accuweather or any other major weather outlets.

This thread was started 5 days ago about weather that was 2 weeks away
Posted by HeadSlash
TEAM LIVE BADASS - St. GEORGE
Member since Aug 2006
50127 posts
Posted on 2/8/21 at 9:04 am to
OP is sofa king retarded
Posted by winkchance
St. George, LA
Member since Jul 2016
4157 posts
Posted on 2/8/21 at 9:27 am to
And totally wrong LINK
Posted by 50_Tiger
Dallas TX
Member since Jan 2016
40337 posts
Posted on 2/8/21 at 9:31 am to
All models are showing DFW getting smacked with 2 rounds of snow!!!!

Yeeehhhawww

I sure as hell aint driving on any elevated road (which is practically all of them in NTX)
Posted by purple18
Lafayette
Member since Aug 2009
966 posts
Posted on 2/8/21 at 9:39 am to
So when will we have a good handle on this forecast?
Posted by Park duck
Sip
Member since Oct 2018
396 posts
Posted on 2/8/21 at 9:44 am to
another couple days from now
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
58492 posts
Posted on 2/8/21 at 9:47 am to
Probably will have a firm forecast on temperature by Wednesday. Guessing they won’t know how the precipitation will play out until later in the week
Posted by BallsEleven
Member since Mar 2019
6163 posts
Posted on 2/8/21 at 9:54 am to
It is all a complicated mess which is why the forecasts are sticking with milder temps than what many of the models are showing (some have been pretty inconsistent).

I think tomorrow or wednesday is when you would see any changes only if we start getting some consistency across the board.

Example, the ICON spit out some records lows yesterday with S La getting near single digits. The 12z now shows some more realistic numbers in the low 20s but also has us getting snow on Monday.

Really the only consistency has been the GFS and ICON showing sub freezing temps. Euro isn't quite onboard with that and the Canadian has been all over.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Alpha Silverfox
Member since Oct 2011
41906 posts
Posted on 2/8/21 at 9:58 am to
Models were originally in lots of agreement then a large divide opened between the GFS and the Euro, with the GFS showing bitter cold and the EURO showing 70 degree weather.

Now it appears the EURO is cooling things down a little but still nowhere near the bitter cold the GFS is showing. The Canadian is showing very cold but nothing we don't experience every couple years or so but the difference is it shows quite a bit of ice (although Wednesday the 17th now).

The GFS is showing bitter cold but starting on Saturday night and lasting though the middle part of the following week.

The GFS has been the most consistent in showing bitter cold but it has indeed pushed it back (along with other models) a few days. When models begin to push back events, it usually doesn't pan out.


Saturday at noon




Sunday morning




Sunday at noon




Monday morning




Monday at noon




Tuesday morning





Tuesday at noon



Wednesday morning



Wednesday at noon



ICON doesn't go any further as of this update.
This post was edited on 2/8/21 at 10:01 am
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