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re: Louisiana Ice Storm Thread *Winter Storm Warning*

Posted on 2/8/21 at 10:29 am to
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50540 posts
Posted on 2/8/21 at 10:29 am to
I'm honestly not worried about busted pipes at all. Of course, I'll try to protect them but if they burst, they burst. I won't be distraught over a whole home renovation on the insurance company's dime.
Posted by weadjust
Member since Aug 2012
15744 posts
Posted on 2/8/21 at 10:32 am to
Mississippi 1994 Ice Storm was a record breaker

From the National Weather Service
All told, up to 3 to 6 inches of ice accumulated in the hardest hit areas. One of the reports of 6" accumulation came from Mississippi Power & Light workers in Greenville who found a diameter of one foot of ice on some power lines (this is 6" of ice, measuring from the line through the ice). This ice caused 95 foot tall steel transmission towers with 42 inch concrete bases to collapse. Engineers estimated the lines would have been supporting up to 39 tons of ice!

Nearly 750,000 customers were without power at some point across North Mississippi, with some outages lasting up to a month. Over 8,000 utility poles were pulled down by the weight of the ice, and over 4,700 miles of lines were downed.

LINK
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
74957 posts
Posted on 2/8/21 at 10:41 am to
quote:

I still have it from the ice storm that hit Alabama in 1982.

I think that may have been the one when my Pops was stuck at work for several days. All they would get them to eat was McDonald's Big Macs....breakfast, lunch, and dinner. He was one of the last ones to get back home, too, because he had to cross a major bridge to get back. I don't recall seeing him ever eat McDonald's again in my lifetime.

ETA: It was the 1985 ice storm in North Alabama, not 1982.
This post was edited on 2/8/21 at 10:46 am
Posted by DownshiftAndFloorIt
Here
Member since Jan 2011
72034 posts
Posted on 2/8/21 at 10:41 am to
Man I am paranoid as hell about pipes busting. Raised house, exposed pipes all over my shop, etc

I've had to go under the house after a freezing night with a bucket of hot water and a rag to thaw some pipes before they busted. frick that. Never again.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51682 posts
Posted on 2/8/21 at 10:42 am to
With the shallow cold air, I have to wonder if the models may under do the cold. Could be a surprise in store if so.
Posted by lsugolfredman
Member since Jun 2005
1941 posts
Posted on 2/8/21 at 10:44 am to


This image reflects a combination of ice, sleet, or snow.



Only freezing rain here.
Posted by Impotent Waffle
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2007
10129 posts
Posted on 2/8/21 at 10:51 am to
Wait...... So winter apocalypse is back on??
Posted by DVinBR
Member since Jan 2013
15722 posts
Posted on 2/8/21 at 10:51 am to
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
61722 posts
Posted on 2/8/21 at 10:52 am to
quote:

Wait...... So winter apocalypse is back on??


Yes some MODELS are saying that. Forecast probably aren't yet though.
Posted by lsugolfredman
Member since Jun 2005
1941 posts
Posted on 2/8/21 at 10:57 am to
quote:

Yes some MODELS are saying that. Forecast probably aren't yet though.


It's very safe to say now, that it's going to get very cold for a few days. All models are on-board. Whether its record lows, TBD...

A major difference now is that the event is within the 5 day range. Models are VERY good at that timeframe. While details on frozen precip locations are still unknown, someone is going to have an issue in TX or LA.
This post was edited on 2/8/21 at 11:01 am
Posted by BallsEleven
Member since Mar 2019
6163 posts
Posted on 2/8/21 at 10:59 am to
quote:

Yes some MODELS are saying that. Forecast probably aren't yet though.


As they shouldn't. None of this is a lock. The agreement between the GFS, ICON, and CMC on current runs isn't a trend in the right direction though. No one should want anything to do with the situations they are putting out.
Posted by WeComin504
Member since Oct 2020
211 posts
Posted on 2/8/21 at 11:04 am to
What time does the new EURO come out? That will determine if forecasters decide to include this weather or not.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50540 posts
Posted on 2/8/21 at 11:09 am to
The new EURO comes out at 1:30.

The latest Canadian shows the potential for single digits in Baton Rouge.
Posted by SEC 440
Member since Jan 2021
283 posts
Posted on 2/8/21 at 11:32 am to
North Texas per NOAA: Saturday H of 27 and L of 13, Sunday H of 26....20% chance of snow. If that cold the snowfall unlikely to be slushy - more akin to fine powder
Posted by DVinBR
Member since Jan 2013
15722 posts
Posted on 2/8/21 at 11:36 am to
the canadian keeps SLA below freezing the weekend and most of next week
This post was edited on 2/8/21 at 11:36 am
Posted by trussthetruzz
Member since Sep 2020
9336 posts
Posted on 2/8/21 at 11:42 am to
damn.. I checked out over the weekend with the warming trends now it looks like models are suggesting Snowmageddon is back?
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50540 posts
Posted on 2/8/21 at 11:44 am to
The pattern is definitely there for a huge cold snap with some precipitation. It’s just a matter of how cold, how far south, and how much precipitation. And when.


Posted by The Spleen
Member since Dec 2010
38865 posts
Posted on 2/8/21 at 11:46 am to
quote:

The new EURO comes out at 1:30.



The meteorologists here in Bham have been pumping the Euro model all weekend, which is slightly warmer and drier than a lot of the other models. It's still showing a cold blast, but with lows in the low 20's, and highs in the mid 40's. I hope that pans out as I do NOT want an ice storm.
Posted by DVinBR
Member since Jan 2013
15722 posts
Posted on 2/8/21 at 11:51 am to
public forecasters aren't going to push something like this until around/less than 5 days out and hard consistency in models

and they're going to bode towards models that are closer to normal climate beforehand
Posted by Impotent Waffle
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2007
10129 posts
Posted on 2/8/21 at 11:54 am to
So are we talking days of not getting above freezing again?
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