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Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:52 pm to MontyFranklyn
quote:
Oct 5, 2020 — The liberal group Fair Fight Action said its analysis shows 800,000 new voters registered in Georgia in the last two years – 49 percent ...
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:52 pm to Eat Your Crow
quote:
This same guy's data has Republicans well ahead in early voting in Georgia.
So yeah, not sure this mean much of anything.
It either means nothing, or its enormous for Trump.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:52 pm to MillerLiteTime
quote:
If Trump loses a state like GA, that pretty much tells you it won't go well in the other battlegrounds either
That simply isn't true if we're talking about Democrats harvesting 200k votes which is the premise of the OP. I don't think too many people are sweating an organic vote.
I think everyone is concerned about some out of left field democratic strategy that skews a fair election.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:56 pm to moneyg
quote:
I think everyone is concerned about some out of left field democratic strategy that skews a fair election.
It's won't matter if we get really high turnout. What's gonna end up happening is the democrats are gonna get caught in election fraud. Someone is going to realize that when the mail-in ballots come in it puts the total number of votes over 100% of registered voters.
Fraud will be easy to spot. And I'm certain they are watching it very closely.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:57 pm to moneyg
I live in GA and have not be concerned once about losing GA, but these numbers.. Doesn’t add up.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:57 pm to HogBalls
They know the age and race of the voter how? I voted already in Georgia. Nobody asked me race and age.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:58 pm to dpd901
quote:
Even Wealthy suburbs like Druid Hills were loaded with Biden signs.
About half of DH is within the city of Atlanta, and it was always very liberal.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:58 pm to HogBalls
This happened due to the push for absentee ballots. Black family members were coached to request a ballot from grandparents and and anyone they knew who was alive or dead.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 5:00 pm to upgrayedd
quote:
Maybe GA is in play for the Dems
Yeah these numbers are not good for Trump, and that is not a concern troll. This is legitimately worrisome.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 5:01 pm to moneyg
Thanks for the source....I'm shocked they would tout the new registration #'s at 800K & it saddens me people can just make up things.
Granted , I could be wrong or the SoS website could be lying but that 800K number might not be so bad for Trump. Maybe she succeeded across the country.
2018 election in Georgia: 6,935, 816
11/1/2020: 7,235,584
Difference of about 300k new voters.
Maybe we can just give 100% of those to Biden and re-run the number hoping for increased turn out from those registered that didn't vote in 2016 or 18.
Fyi, not trying be a jerk either , I just like to see things with my own eyes first.
Granted , I could be wrong or the SoS website could be lying but that 800K number might not be so bad for Trump. Maybe she succeeded across the country.
2018 election in Georgia: 6,935, 816
11/1/2020: 7,235,584
Difference of about 300k new voters.
Maybe we can just give 100% of those to Biden and re-run the number hoping for increased turn out from those registered that didn't vote in 2016 or 18.
Fyi, not trying be a jerk either , I just like to see things with my own eyes first.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 5:04 pm to HogBalls
I don’t buy the Target Smart data and that’s not coming from a Trump supporter.
In 2016, 28% voters were black. In 2020, 27.6% of voters are black. If the black vote gets to 30%, Biden wins GA, but that’s not going to happen. If Biden wins GA, it will be because white women voted for him.
In 2016, 28% voters were black. In 2020, 27.6% of voters are black. If the black vote gets to 30%, Biden wins GA, but that’s not going to happen. If Biden wins GA, it will be because white women voted for him.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 5:05 pm to dpd901
Romney won Georgia by eight points.
Trump won it by about five.
200k votes.
I think Trump will win in Georgia but it's going to be very close.
100k votes or less.
Trump won it by about five.
200k votes.
I think Trump will win in Georgia but it's going to be very close.
100k votes or less.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 5:16 pm to HogBalls
I believe in the fact there is a silent contingency of voters in Georgia that will vote for Trump, despite not saying it outwardly.
However, as it’s been said in this thread, I think Trump will win, but by an ultra-slim margin.
Biden has a shocking amount of support here compared to HRC back in 2016.
Also, the Atlanta metro area is booming in size, while other, traditionally heavy-red towns in the state have cratered in size and GDP.
Don’t think Biden would carry the state, but I wouldn’t be shocked. Atlanta isn’t just the only economic engine in the state - it’s DMA is also 75% of the population now. It could be in play.
However, as it’s been said in this thread, I think Trump will win, but by an ultra-slim margin.
Biden has a shocking amount of support here compared to HRC back in 2016.
Also, the Atlanta metro area is booming in size, while other, traditionally heavy-red towns in the state have cratered in size and GDP.
Don’t think Biden would carry the state, but I wouldn’t be shocked. Atlanta isn’t just the only economic engine in the state - it’s DMA is also 75% of the population now. It could be in play.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 5:24 pm to HogBalls
quote:
239,822 African American voters over the age of 65 have already voted in Georgia.
This is just a lie. Georgia's population is 4M. And 31% of Georgia is black. That's 1.2M blacks in the entire state. The "over 65" category, just using basic actuary tables means there's about 230,000 black people in Georgia over the age of 65.
I promise you that not ever single black person over the age of 65 early voted.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 5:28 pm to HogBalls
Does Georgia actually release voting demographics? Or is this based on some polling extrapolation?
I think even releasing votes by party affiliation is shady. Releasing racial demographics is complete bullshite.
That's why I don't believe this.
I think even releasing votes by party affiliation is shady. Releasing racial demographics is complete bullshite.
That's why I don't believe this.
This post was edited on 11/2/20 at 5:30 pm
Posted on 11/2/20 at 5:29 pm to HogBalls
quote:
Tom Bonier (@tbonier) Tweeted:
239,822 African American voters over the age of 65 have already voted in Georgia. That's 124% of the total 2016 turnout for African American seniors.
More Latino voters have already voted in Georgia (106,292) than voted in the entire 2016 election in the state (96,465).
Meanwhile, white non-college educated voters in Georgia lag behind their 2016 total vote by 439,513 votes.
So they are declaring victory on partial data? Were is the rest of the data?
Posted on 11/2/20 at 5:31 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
So they weren’t motivated enough to get out and vote for a black woman for Governor but they were for this election?
Brian Kemp purged voters from the rolls, and it turns out, many of those voters never moved away from their locations.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 5:48 pm to ClientNumber9
quote:
This is just a lie. Georgia's population is 4M. And 31% of Georgia is black. That's 1.2M blacks in the entire state. The "over 65" category, just using basic actuary tables means there's about 230,000 black people in Georgia over the age of 65.
I promise you that not ever single black person over the age of 65 early voted.
Georgia has 10.6 Million people not 4M. Not sure where you got that. 4Million voted in the last election in 2018.
This post was edited on 11/2/20 at 6:00 pm
Posted on 11/2/20 at 5:50 pm to LCA131
quote:
Wouldn't that be the demographic that can remember TRUE voter suppression?
it's the demographic thats been voting Dem their entire lives and ain't changing now
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