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Message
re: 239,822 African American voters over the age of 65 have already voted in Georgia.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:35 pm to crazyatthecamp
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:35 pm to crazyatthecamp
quote:
Lose Georgia and we have to have Michigan to offset and still win Wisconsin or Minny or Penn.
If Trump loses a state like GA, that pretty much tells you it won't go well in the other battlegrounds either. If Trump can't win a traditional Republican state like GA where he is only behind in the polls by 2%, he isn't winning traditional Dem states like Michigan where he is behind 6-8%.
1
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:36 pm to dpd901
I'll say this about Georgia, the fact that Trump has visited there recently and Dems have spent a good bit of time tells me GA might be closer than we think.
I expect it to go red but this would be the one red state that I think could surprisingly flip. Meanwhile, Minnesota could be the blue state that goes red.
We gone see
I expect it to go red but this would be the one red state that I think could surprisingly flip. Meanwhile, Minnesota could be the blue state that goes red.
We gone see
This post was edited on 11/2/20 at 4:40 pm
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:37 pm to Tridentds
quote:
239K blacks over 65? You know they have been lied to and promised so many things by Dems over the last 50 years that they are probably ready to support someone that has actually done some things for the black community.
No, that's more like ballot harvesting. The ballots are delivered to a nursing home and a worker at the facility either paid by the harvester either "helps" the residents fill out the ballot or does it for them.
It was explained by the anonymous democratic operative that did an interview with the NY Post a few months ago.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:37 pm to HogBalls
THis is very bad news for Trump. I know his share of black voters is looking better but it’s the younger black generations that are more open to voting R. The elderly blacks are solidly on the D plantation and will never leave
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:38 pm to dpd901
Druid hills is a liberal haven...like all the other ITP areas
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:39 pm to dpd901
quote:This jives with some of my friends who live in Kennesaw and inexplicably turned low-key woke within the past year.
Guys,
I’ve been traveling to GA for work for 10 years. I was in ATL metro in 16 and there weren’t near the number of Hillary signs than there are of Biden signs. Even Wealthy suburbs like Druid Hills were loaded with Biden signs.
I’m not making a prediction that GA turn Blue. I’m just telling you Biden will get more votes than HRC did in 16
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:40 pm to aujerm
quote:
Could it be as simple as white non college educated voters are the demographic lost likely to
Vote on Election Day?
I don't know about you guys, but I know several folks who have been voting since they turned 18 and are electing to sit this one out. I figure though that these people will be offset by first time voters. I think we are going to see record high turnout across all demographics.
I've emplored with those I do know who are sitting this one out to go vote anyways, but these folks are thoroughly disgusted with all of this nonsense. They don't like Trump and they don't like Biden either, and the behavior of both candidates, plus the obvious ridiculousness of the media, plus everyone around them arguing about politics has turned them off to all of it.
I'm not too worried about it, though. Someone reported last night there have already been 8 million votes cast by first time voters. I'm one of those 8 million. I figure the few people in my orbit that have turned their backs on all of it will be offset by folks like me.
I'm not surprised the elderly are voting early either. Covid weighs on their mind more so than we younger folk. They're trying to avoid waiting in line.
I still think we see record turnout and the mail-in ballots will be irrelevant.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:40 pm to deltaland
quote:
THis is very bad news for Trump
Easily the worst poster on the board. Low-T
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:40 pm to Tridentds
quote:
239K blacks over 65? You know they have been lied to and promised so many things by Dems over the last 50 years that they are probably ready to support someone that has actually done some things for the black community.
Look I’m totally MAGA but you’re assumption is wrong. That ain’t happening with the strongest don’t trust whitey group among blacks.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:41 pm to lowhound
quote:
That doesn't sound like voter suppression to me
That all depends on whether or not progs get the results they want.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:42 pm to HogBalls
This is pretty misleading.
It compares “already voted” AA metrics to “vote total” uneducated whites metrics in a covid 19 era.
I would expect AAs over the age of 65 to have voted more by now as they are a high risk demo and are voting early. Their total may not go up much on Election Day. Granted, their total is up entirely versus 2016.
However, the tweet declines to tell us how “lagging behind 440k the 2016 total” compares to early voting for uneducated whites. For all we know, it may be up insanely high from 2016.
Roughly 1.6m uneducated whites voted in Georgia in 2016. If they’re off 440k from their total, that means 1.1-1.2m have already voted in a demographic that typically shows up heavily on Election Day.
I can’t find any data describing just how much of that particular demographic shows up on Election Day, but I’d imagine they’ll make up ground.
It compares “already voted” AA metrics to “vote total” uneducated whites metrics in a covid 19 era.
I would expect AAs over the age of 65 to have voted more by now as they are a high risk demo and are voting early. Their total may not go up much on Election Day. Granted, their total is up entirely versus 2016.
However, the tweet declines to tell us how “lagging behind 440k the 2016 total” compares to early voting for uneducated whites. For all we know, it may be up insanely high from 2016.
Roughly 1.6m uneducated whites voted in Georgia in 2016. If they’re off 440k from their total, that means 1.1-1.2m have already voted in a demographic that typically shows up heavily on Election Day.
I can’t find any data describing just how much of that particular demographic shows up on Election Day, but I’d imagine they’ll make up ground.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:42 pm to NIH
quote:
But muh Blexit!
Can have blexit and voter fraud happening at the same time.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:43 pm to upgrayedd
It is! Abrams lad a campaign that registered over 800k new black voters in Georgia
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:44 pm to Big Jim Slade
That's a lot of base to move.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:45 pm to HogBalls
How do they know the race and age of the voter?
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:45 pm to Tiguar
quote:
Roughly 1.6m uneducated whites voted in Georgia in 2016. If they’re off 440k from their total, that means 1.1-1.2m have already voted in a demographic that typically shows up heavily on Election Day.
Exactly. We are going to see record turnout in every demographic. And full participation favors Trump.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:46 pm to MontyFranklyn
MontyFranklyn,
I'm trying to validate your numbers.
On the Ga SoS website they show total of about 325k+ new voters since 2018.
That means she got the other 500K in 2016 and still lost?
I'm having trouble making the math work, can you point me in the right place? I don't trust threads until I validate the number myself.
I'm trying to validate your numbers.
On the Ga SoS website they show total of about 325k+ new voters since 2018.
That means she got the other 500K in 2016 and still lost?
I'm having trouble making the math work, can you point me in the right place? I don't trust threads until I validate the number myself.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:47 pm to HogBalls
This same guy's data has Republicans well ahead in early voting in Georgia.
So yeah, not sure this mean much of anything.
So yeah, not sure this mean much of anything.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:49 pm to Rsande63
I heard it on Fox 5 this morning
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:50 pm to Bunyan
quote:
Easily the worst poster on the board. Low-T
He's pretty dumb
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