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Started By
Message
O/U 25,000 COVID-19 deaths in the US.
Posted on 4/7/20 at 9:51 am
Posted on 4/7/20 at 9:51 am
Under, but just so.
Posted on 4/7/20 at 10:01 am to Gaston
Currently at around 12,000 if I recall correctly, so I will say slightly over.
Posted on 4/7/20 at 10:04 am to Fun Bunch
11008 is what’s on CNN right now. Been linear for a bit though.
Posted on 4/7/20 at 10:04 am to Gaston
Too early to tell yet...could be under and could be over. IF the current trend continues and we don't see any additional flare-ups or hot spots emerge, I think it will be under or just at.
Posted on 4/7/20 at 10:06 am to Gaston
According to my calculations a while back, it will be about 52k.
Posted on 4/7/20 at 10:09 am to Gaston
Over how long? By end of April, under... by end of June? Over.
Posted on 4/7/20 at 10:09 am to Gaston
Over, but no where near 80k....there are just too many cases out there to not think we still see a bunch of deaths.
Posted on 4/7/20 at 10:13 am to Gaston
quote:We’ll likely cross 25,000 sometime next week.
O/U 25,000 COVID-19 deaths in the US.
Posted on 4/7/20 at 10:13 am to wfallstiger
quote:
Under at 20k, max
Just curious where you're coming up with this number. We've been losing over a thousand a day the last several days. Even if we're at peak that's a very optimistic number.
Posted on 4/7/20 at 10:15 am to Powerman
Out of thin air, truth be known.
Was my gut belief 3 weeks ago.
Was my gut belief 3 weeks ago.
Posted on 4/7/20 at 10:16 am to Gaston
Over, but it tops out around 30K by June.
Posted on 4/7/20 at 10:17 am to wfallstiger
We did the math in another thread. At this point you look at attack rate, death rate, and now you you can factor in daily new case growth rate.
This isn't that complicated if everything holds (in terms of social distancing) for like a month or two.
This isn't that complicated if everything holds (in terms of social distancing) for like a month or two.
Posted on 4/7/20 at 10:17 am to wfallstiger
quote:We’re likely to be approaching close to 3,000 deaths daily next week (902 already today) and we’ll be we’ll be well over 12,000 by the end of the day today.
Out of thin air, truth be known.
Was my gut belief 3 weeks ago.
And you think we’ll max out as 20,000?
Posted on 4/7/20 at 10:18 am to Gaston
By when?
End of the year? Definitely over.
End of April? Closer, maybe under.
End of the year? Definitely over.
End of April? Closer, maybe under.
Posted on 4/7/20 at 10:18 am to Gaston
Over.
I think we top out somewhere between 40-60K by August.
I think we top out somewhere between 40-60K by August.
Posted on 4/7/20 at 10:19 am to Gaston
Actual death because of covid? Well under.
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