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50-50 shot to make Omaha?
Posted on 6/1/12 at 12:20 pm
Posted on 6/1/12 at 12:20 pm
I had a conversation this morning with an Auburn dude, and he thought LSU was a long shot to make it to Omaha. I know, it is an Auburn grad....
Anyhoo, I told him we had about a 60% (just a random number indicating greater than 50-50) to make it based on #7 seeding, home field, experience, pitching, etc...
What is you all's guess. What liklihood would you put on it?
Anyhoo, I told him we had about a 60% (just a random number indicating greater than 50-50) to make it based on #7 seeding, home field, experience, pitching, etc...
What is you all's guess. What liklihood would you put on it?
17
Posted on 6/1/12 at 12:22 pm to therocketscientist
quote:
Anyhoo, I told him we had about a 60% (just a random number indicating greater than 50-50) to make it based on #7 seeding, home field, experience, pitching, etc...
I would say all that makes it upwards to 70-80.
Oregon St. is a good team, so is Miami and UCF. But if they knock us out in the regionals or super regionals at the box, it's a HUGE upset.
Posted on 6/1/12 at 12:22 pm to therocketscientist
That sounds right, maybe, if we were matched with the College Station regional.
But we got the Coral Gables regional. I'm pretty sure we're going to Omaha.
...and tell your Auburn friend that we're a lot better now than when they saw us in March.
But we got the Coral Gables regional. I'm pretty sure we're going to Omaha.
...and tell your Auburn friend that we're a lot better now than when they saw us in March.
Posted on 6/1/12 at 12:28 pm to therocketscientist
What regional is Auburn in? 
Posted on 6/1/12 at 12:28 pm to therocketscientist
70-30 bra.... We got a good draw if we get by the beavers.
Posted on 6/1/12 at 12:36 pm to therocketscientist
quote:
Auburn dude
Hahahaha
Posted on 6/1/12 at 12:39 pm to therocketscientist
quote:
Auburn dude
After setting him straight, did you insult his sweater vest?
Posted on 6/1/12 at 1:12 pm to therocketscientist
99 
Posted on 6/1/12 at 1:24 pm to therocketscientist
I'd say 2-to-1. (67% for the math challenged).
Posted on 6/1/12 at 1:32 pm to therocketscientist
Playing at home and being matched up with the Miami regional makes LSU a good bet to get to Omaha.
But having watched LSU hitting go anemic at times this year I'm not placing a bet.
But having watched LSU hitting go anemic at times this year I'm not placing a bet.
Posted on 6/1/12 at 1:35 pm to therocketscientist
It's always 50-50. Either we do or we don't.
Posted on 6/1/12 at 1:38 pm to therocketscientist
75% at worst. Homefield advantage is huge.
Posted on 6/1/12 at 2:47 pm to therocketscientist
100% chance that we have a chance to make it and Auburn doesn't.
I would say we have an 85% chance to make it to Omaha.
I would say we have an 85% chance to make it to Omaha.
Posted on 6/1/12 at 2:57 pm to therocketscientist
I'd say it's 60-40 we get to a SR. Then 50-50 again to make it to the CWS.
Posted on 6/1/12 at 3:18 pm to therocketscientist
Actually, Boyd Nation says we have a 49% chance.
LINK
But he is a Moo State grad, so no wonder he and Aubie are on the same page.
LINK
But he is a Moo State grad, so no wonder he and Aubie are on the same page.
Posted on 6/1/12 at 4:26 pm to therocketscientist
50-50. We either make it or we don't.
I think every game might be 50-50, too. We wither win or we don't.
I think every game might be 50-50, too. We wither win or we don't.
Posted on 6/1/12 at 4:40 pm to therocketscientist
quote:
I had a conversation this morning with an Auburn dude, and he thought LSU was a long shot to make it to Omaha. I know, it is an Auburn grad....
Anyhoo, I told him we had about a 60% (just a random number indicating greater than 50-50) to make it based on #7 seeding, home field, experience, pitching, etc...
What is you all's guess. What liklihood would you put on it?
50%-60% sounds about right to me.
But, some people don't realize how high of a percentage 50% is. It probably ranks us right about where we are seeded (7th) with the highest probability to advance.
Posted on 6/1/12 at 4:51 pm to therocketscientist
I would say 50/50 is fairly accurate.
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