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Price of Oil - Nuclear Iran?

Posted on 3/13/26 at 8:20 am
Posted by geauxturbo
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2007
4423 posts
Posted on 3/13/26 at 8:20 am
For shits and giggles...

ChatGPT, what would the price oil be if Iran backed by nuclear weapons shut down the Straight of Hormuz?
quote:


If Iran actually used nuclear weapons and shut down the Strait of Hormuz, the oil market would go into immediate shock. That strait is the single most important oil chokepoint in the world.

Roughly 20–21 million barrels of oil per day pass through the Strait of Hormuz.
That’s about 20% of global oil consumption.

Major exporters using it include Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait, United Arab Emirates, and Qatar.
If shipping stops, the world instantly loses access to a massive chunk of supply.
Likely price reaction (very rough estimates)

Economists usually model scenarios like this:
Immediate panic spike:
Oil could jump to $150–$250 per barrel within days.
If the strait stayed closed for weeks:

Prices could push $250–$350+ per barrel because global inventories would start draining.

...



How would panicans and commies solve this?
Posted by Adam Banks
District 5
Member since Sep 2009
37468 posts
Posted on 3/13/26 at 8:21 am to
quote:

How would panicans and commies solve this?



When did Iran get nuclear bombs and when did they shut down the straight of Hormuz prior to the assassination of their leader?
Posted by RollTide4547
Member since Dec 2024
4402 posts
Posted on 3/13/26 at 8:21 am to
quote:

How would panicans and commies solve this?
They wouldn't even try. They'd just whine, bitch, gripe and complain about anything/everything that someone tried to do about it. Kinda like now.
Posted by TygerTyger
Houston
Member since Oct 2010
10987 posts
Posted on 3/13/26 at 8:23 am to
By sending them pallets of cash like Obama did.
Posted by td01241
Savannah
Member since Nov 2012
29473 posts
Posted on 3/13/26 at 8:23 am to
He deserved it. Glad he’s dead
Posted by RollTide4547
Member since Dec 2024
4402 posts
Posted on 3/13/26 at 8:24 am to
quote:

When did Iran get nuclear bombs and when did they shut down the straight of Hormuz prior to the assassination of their leader?
What part of "if Iran backed by nuclear weapons" seems to be confusing for you? Is it the I or the F?
Posted by RCDfan1950
United States
Member since Feb 2007
39385 posts
Posted on 3/13/26 at 8:32 am to
"How would panicans and commies solve this?"

By kicking the can down the road. The Dems and RINOS are Globalists and like it.

It is akin to how long MAGA can kick the can of Judicial Corruption before dysfunction creates chaos and collapse and requires either a violent response or acquiescence to the Ideological Opposition. Fascist Authoritarian Marxism or Theocratic Rule per Iran. The Two now unite to take down the Constitutional Republic but note how many Sharia Muslims are in China.
Posted by WeeWee
Member since Aug 2012
45275 posts
Posted on 3/13/26 at 8:33 am to
quote:

How would panicans and commies solve this?


By impeaching Trump.
Posted by theballguy
Un-PC for either side
Member since Oct 2011
35988 posts
Posted on 3/13/26 at 8:34 am to
quote:

How would panicans and commies solve this?



They would be orgasmic right now if that were the case.

I'd rather they be where they are now: purple with rage in apoplectic fits.
Posted by ragincajun03
Member since Nov 2007
28882 posts
Posted on 3/13/26 at 8:39 am to
I'm certainly not mourning the assassination of Iran's leader who ruled with Sharia Law, and agree that a pre-1979 or so Iran would be better for the entire region, and likely, the world.

That said, we were fed that regime change in Iraq was needed because of weapons of mass destruction. To this day...I'm not sure there's been any definitive proof one way or the other as to whether those things existed or not when we went in there. No doubt Saddam Hussein was an evil dictator who deserved to be hanged, but at what cost to the United States and the soldiers who died?

I just don't want us in another Iraq situation, but I would agree that the current temporary surge in oil (and gasoline) prices is worth it IF, IF, the Iranian people themselves can seize this opportunity to take their own country back and install leadership that isn't so hell bent on "death to infidels".
Posted by Adam Banks
District 5
Member since Sep 2009
37468 posts
Posted on 3/13/26 at 8:48 am to
quote:

What part of "if Iran backed by nuclear weapons" seems to be confusing for you?



Well it’s a threat that has been used to justify things for 40 years.


If they haven’t done it by now I don’t think it’s as imminent to spend time pondering scenarios that would be absolutely extreme measures where they would knowingly isolate themselves from the entire world.
Posted by Nosevens
Member since Apr 2019
18588 posts
Posted on 3/13/26 at 8:58 am to
So you are not familiar with scenarios that make people develop alternatives
Posted by tketaco
Sunnyside, Houston
Member since Jan 2010
21700 posts
Posted on 3/13/26 at 9:00 am to
Hard to take ChatGPT seriusly when it keeps telling me that my $387 limit buy on Microsoft is still good.
Posted by geauxturbo
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2007
4423 posts
Posted on 3/13/26 at 9:07 am to
quote:

Well it’s a threat that has been used to justify things for 40 years


For this experment lets stick with the IF statement being true. How would you solve it?

Grit and bear the $7+ a gallon gas price? Go in hot and hope for the best? Send in the CIA and hope to topple from within?

Curious. How would the mental giant known as Kamala solve this problem.

This post was edited on 3/13/26 at 9:07 am
Posted by DeathByTossDive225
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2019
7944 posts
Posted on 3/13/26 at 9:08 am to
GOP continues to lean hard into this whole WMD narrative & is too dumb to realize how bad a look that is lol.

Consensus was already that pulling out of the JCPOA = incredibly dumb. Add the assassination of Soleimani in 2020 + this conflict & you’re onto the biggest US diplomacy frickup in a long time.
Posted by RollTide4547
Member since Dec 2024
4402 posts
Posted on 3/13/26 at 9:21 am to
quote:

If they haven’t done it by now I don’t think it’s as imminent to spend time pondering scenarios that would be absolutely extreme measures where they would knowingly isolate themselves from the entire world.

Were they working toward having a Nuke? Yes or No. Assuming they build them, would they use it to hurt/threaten the "Little Satan" and the "Big Satan"? Yes or No. Now answer if Americans are better off with Iran having a nuke (which they most certainly were working toward. because Trump offered to provide them power plant level uranium material for life and they said NO to his offer) or are they better off with Iran NOT having a Nuke.

Liberals never seem to understand the concept of "Hoping for the Best, but PLANNING for the worst."
This post was edited on 3/13/26 at 9:22 am
Posted by TigerAxeOK
Where I lay my head is home.
Member since Dec 2016
37389 posts
Posted on 3/13/26 at 9:21 am to
quote:

How would panicans and commies solve this?

By bUiLdiNg mOaR WiNdMiLLs.
Posted by TrueTiger
Chicken's most valuable
Member since Sep 2004
81711 posts
Posted on 3/13/26 at 9:24 am to

The cost of taking the action we are taking less the cost of doing nothing, is the correct question.
Posted by Earnest_P
Member since Aug 2021
5411 posts
Posted on 3/13/26 at 9:26 am to
We could “what if” our way into nuking the entire planet. That’s not how you justify wars.
Posted by geauxturbo
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2007
4423 posts
Posted on 3/13/26 at 9:35 am to
quote:

We could “what if” our way into nuking the entire planet. That’s not how you justify wars.


Was Iran not trying to develop a nuclear weapon? So, if they did and they shut down the straight, like they are doing now, what would you do to solve $350 barrel prices?

This post was edited on 3/13/26 at 9:36 am
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