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Message
re: McMahon has the basketball program poised to make a quantum leap next season
Posted on 2/29/24 at 6:43 am to ellessuuuu
Posted on 2/29/24 at 6:43 am to ellessuuuu
quote:we’re 8th place. Win 2 out of 3 or 3 out of 3 we likely finish in the top half of the sec
we’ll be on the bottom half of the standings for the 3rd straight season.
Posted on 2/29/24 at 7:40 am to extremelsu
quote:
we’re 8th place. Win 2 out of 3 or 3 out of 3 we likely finish in the top half of the sec
And we face the 3 worse teams in conference to close out the season.
Posted on 2/29/24 at 7:52 am to tigersbb
The sunshine pumping and glazing of MM is unreal. Dude is certified arse and going nowhere
Posted on 2/29/24 at 8:11 am to tigersbb
quote:
despite the handicaps he faced
This is why there are still so many Will Wade comments on the Tiger Rant. Because some of you make such asinine comments like this.
Matt McMahon wasn’t facing any handicaps when he arrived at LSU. Will Wade faced those same rumors for the last 3 years he was at LSU and he still brought in SEC level players.
Posted on 2/29/24 at 8:21 am to Choupique19
quote:
Matt McMahon wasn’t facing any handicaps when he arrived at LSU.
Looming sanctions
2 returning players
Yea I'm sure those 2 major negatives haven't impacted the program at all.
Posted on 2/29/24 at 8:22 am to Choupique19
quote:
Will Wade faced those same rumors for the last 3 years he was at LSU and he still brought in SEC level players
How was he able to do that I wonder?
Posted on 2/29/24 at 8:32 am to tigersbb
I like your glass half full opinion.
Posted on 2/29/24 at 8:34 am to tigersbb
I do believe if he can get the players he can coach them up. I think he would be a solid tourney coach also.
Posted on 2/29/24 at 8:35 am to redfishfan
quote:
Looming sanctions
And what were this sanctions?
Posted on 2/29/24 at 8:41 am to Choupique19
quote:
And what were this sanctions?
Is this where we play pretend that looming sanctions didn't impact recruiting at all after Wade's departure?
Posted on 2/29/24 at 8:50 am to ellessuuuu
quote:
especially considering his track record
His track record of what?
Posted on 2/29/24 at 9:00 am to Choupique19
quote:You guys botched and moaned how the negative press was affecting recruiting, but you think an actual NOA had no affect?
Matt McMahon wasn’t facing any handicaps when he arrived at LSU. Will Wade faced those same rumors for the last 3 years he was at LSU and he still brought in SEC level players.
Posted on 2/29/24 at 9:04 am to LSUTigerFan1996
quote:
Only way to win in NCAA basketball is to recruit some of the one-and-dones.
Not at all, especially in the portal era.
quote:
Having top-100 players come in can drastically make an immediate effect.
Yeah and like 90% of top 100 players won't be one and done.
Posted on 2/29/24 at 9:06 am to tigersbb
Getting back to the OP, I think that McMahon is bringing along recruits just fine and we may not need that special transfer player soon, although I wouldn't turn him away...
Next year Ward may very well be an all conference player for LSU.
Reed looks like he can take the next step into becoming a 15+ ppg guy.
Mike Williams III looks like he will be a solid contributor for years. If Givens III is as good as advertised, they will give us two 6'3" guards to anchor the backcourt.
I think most fans are completely unaware of what player development looks like and how it happens.
Next year Ward may very well be an all conference player for LSU.
Reed looks like he can take the next step into becoming a 15+ ppg guy.
Mike Williams III looks like he will be a solid contributor for years. If Givens III is as good as advertised, they will give us two 6'3" guards to anchor the backcourt.
I think most fans are completely unaware of what player development looks like and how it happens.
Posted on 2/29/24 at 9:08 am to tigersbb
quote:
the NCAA playoffs.
I can’t take anyone seriously that says this lol
Posted on 2/29/24 at 9:08 am to tigersbb
I admire your effort but you are wasting time talking to this bunch. McMahon has zero chance no matter what he does. Half of the fan base will never support him. This segment of the fan base don’t even want to win championships. They just want to win 18-20 games and win a few tournament games every few years and have a coach who cheats and snubs his nose to everyone.
Posted on 2/29/24 at 9:14 am to tigersbb
I sincerely hope you are right. But this is a LOT of optimism without a ton of objective basis to support it.
Many keep saying this, but seem to completely ignore that his very first signing class at LSU (at this point) was still his best class. It's not like he brought in no one for two years and is just now starting to get the recruiting going. In fact, you can make an argument it's getting a bit worse relative to that first class. Currently he has two signees. BOTH are top 100 guys (which is great). But they may not be that in the final rankings as both have been dropping a bit.
McMahon hasn't done a bad job of HS recruiting at LSU. He's signed (currently) 5 top 100 players. For context, Wade signed 6 in his first 3 seasons. Arguably that has been the most encouraging part of his tenue.
He mentioned before this season he wanted to get "older". That's part of the reason why all of his transfers were 3,4, 5 year players. He comes from a mid-major background where older players win. So I'd be a little surprised if he brings in another HS player. Particularly when he's shown some reluctance to play them early unless he has no choice (Ward and Phillips didn't get significant minutes until very late last season; Chest is redshirting this year).
Like you said, I don't think we can ever project the minds of 20 year olds. On the surface you don't look at a guy on this team and think he's definitely out. But in the freedom-of-transfer era teams are having, on average, 3-4 players transfer OUT a year. Some are role players looking for more minutes. Some are entrenched starters. Thus, it's hard to say "this guy certainly isn't going anywhere". Contrary to the popular belief of some on here, the college basketball recruiting world is very seedy. Even more so than football. Only now you have "tampering" in the transfer market every bit as much as you've had "negotiations" in the HS recruiting market. College players see themselves now as perpetual "free agents". If a player on LSU's team is performing well you can bet other coaches see it too and (behind the scenes, of course,) may be inquiring whether a guy might be considering transferring. That's just the way it is. If you aren't "scouting" potential transfers then you aren't doing your job.
That's been a place of struggle besides KJ Williams. However, following last season's disaster he had very little positives to sell to potential transfers. That's why most of the transfers were Louisiana players. "Home" was the selling point as much, if not more than LSU.
Assuming he can get a couple of wins on the way in he should have a lot more positivity to sell to potential transfers. So it is entirely possible this could be his best transfer class of his tenure thus far (we'll see)
Even with the improvement since Jan. 1, LSU is still ranked 11th of 14 in the predictive data metrics. Some will probably say "that doesn't matter". But that data has been a pretty good predictor of success/strength of team since its introduction (which is why the NCAA uses it as an aspect of it's selection criteria). So it's hard to say LSU is "poised to make a quantum leap" next season. Particularly when you consider success in this era can drastically change from year to year (Missouri and South Carolina) are great examples of that.
I think the fairest thing to say is that LSU should have much more momentum going into this offseason than they had going into last offseason. Hopefully that will produce better results. I think you can also see McMahon seems to be finding more of a level of comfort in the SEC. Last year he seemed perpetually timid and robotic. This year you have seen some more emotion out of him and he seems a little more at ease when he speaks. That, in and of itself, doesn't mean he's poised for great success. But I do think he was trying to carry on the success LSU had in the years before he took over rather than being himself. Right, wrong, or indifferent, every coach has to be himself and not try to someone he's not. It is already, but next year there will be no doubt this is fully HIS program. Either he starts to produce (within reason) or it will be time for the powers that be to consider whether or not the program is progressing towards any degree of great success.
quote:
Matt Mahon program begins to step up its recruitment
Many keep saying this, but seem to completely ignore that his very first signing class at LSU (at this point) was still his best class. It's not like he brought in no one for two years and is just now starting to get the recruiting going. In fact, you can make an argument it's getting a bit worse relative to that first class. Currently he has two signees. BOTH are top 100 guys (which is great). But they may not be that in the final rankings as both have been dropping a bit.
McMahon hasn't done a bad job of HS recruiting at LSU. He's signed (currently) 5 top 100 players. For context, Wade signed 6 in his first 3 seasons. Arguably that has been the most encouraging part of his tenue.
quote:
if he can add a couple more 4 stars in late signing a solid foundation will be there .
He mentioned before this season he wanted to get "older". That's part of the reason why all of his transfers were 3,4, 5 year players. He comes from a mid-major background where older players win. So I'd be a little surprised if he brings in another HS player. Particularly when he's shown some reluctance to play them early unless he has no choice (Ward and Phillips didn't get significant minutes until very late last season; Chest is redshirting this year).
quote:
We cannot always project the minds of 20 year old athletes but it seems the players have bought into McMahon's system and he wont lose any key players to the portal.
Like you said, I don't think we can ever project the minds of 20 year olds. On the surface you don't look at a guy on this team and think he's definitely out. But in the freedom-of-transfer era teams are having, on average, 3-4 players transfer OUT a year. Some are role players looking for more minutes. Some are entrenched starters. Thus, it's hard to say "this guy certainly isn't going anywhere". Contrary to the popular belief of some on here, the college basketball recruiting world is very seedy. Even more so than football. Only now you have "tampering" in the transfer market every bit as much as you've had "negotiations" in the HS recruiting market. College players see themselves now as perpetual "free agents". If a player on LSU's team is performing well you can bet other coaches see it too and (behind the scenes, of course,) may be inquiring whether a guy might be considering transferring. That's just the way it is. If you aren't "scouting" potential transfers then you aren't doing your job.
quote:
If McMahon can bring in a hammer or two from the portal like Mark Sears , Dalton Knecht or Tari Eason to combine with the core group this program will easily be a top 25 program.
That's been a place of struggle besides KJ Williams. However, following last season's disaster he had very little positives to sell to potential transfers. That's why most of the transfers were Louisiana players. "Home" was the selling point as much, if not more than LSU.
Assuming he can get a couple of wins on the way in he should have a lot more positivity to sell to potential transfers. So it is entirely possible this could be his best transfer class of his tenure thus far (we'll see)
Even with the improvement since Jan. 1, LSU is still ranked 11th of 14 in the predictive data metrics. Some will probably say "that doesn't matter". But that data has been a pretty good predictor of success/strength of team since its introduction (which is why the NCAA uses it as an aspect of it's selection criteria). So it's hard to say LSU is "poised to make a quantum leap" next season. Particularly when you consider success in this era can drastically change from year to year (Missouri and South Carolina) are great examples of that.
I think the fairest thing to say is that LSU should have much more momentum going into this offseason than they had going into last offseason. Hopefully that will produce better results. I think you can also see McMahon seems to be finding more of a level of comfort in the SEC. Last year he seemed perpetually timid and robotic. This year you have seen some more emotion out of him and he seems a little more at ease when he speaks. That, in and of itself, doesn't mean he's poised for great success. But I do think he was trying to carry on the success LSU had in the years before he took over rather than being himself. Right, wrong, or indifferent, every coach has to be himself and not try to someone he's not. It is already, but next year there will be no doubt this is fully HIS program. Either he starts to produce (within reason) or it will be time for the powers that be to consider whether or not the program is progressing towards any degree of great success.
Posted on 2/29/24 at 9:17 am to Ponchy Tiger
quote:
I admire your effort but you are wasting time talking to this bunch. McMahon has zero chance no matter what he does. Half of the fan base will never support him. This segment of the fan base don’t even want to win championships. They just want to win 18-20 games and win a few tournament games every few years and have a coach who cheats and snubs his nose to everyone.
Not a very nice way to describe Dale Brown.
Posted on 2/29/24 at 9:27 am to Ponchy Tiger
quote:
I admire your effort but you are wasting time talking to this bunch. McMahon has zero chance no matter what he does. Half of the fan base will never support him. This segment of the fan base don’t even want to win championships.
Well this is just absurd.
100% of the fanbase will support any coach that wins. That has been proven over and over. People that have been critical of McMahon haven't done so because they dislike him personally (In fact, I don't think anyone has ever said he is a bad guy). They've been critical because he has lost more than he's won. Unfortunately for him it follows the most consistent period of winning in the last 30 years of LSU basketball.
quote:
They just want to win 18-20 games and win a few tournament games every few years.
That's not the ultimate hope of the fanbase and you are being completely disingenuous to suggest otherwise. But fans were thrilled with consistent NCAA Tournament appearances because until 2019 - 2022, LSU had not had such sustained success since the early 90's. There was real reason to believe there could be progression to an even higher level of success. THAT is why the former HC is more revered than any of the other HCs since Dale Brown left. If McMahon starts putting together consistent NCAA Tournament appearances the fanbase will love him too. Until then many will remain skeptical. That doesn't make LSU fans "bad". That makes them the same as EVERY OTHER FANBASE IN THE COUNTRY.
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