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re: McMahon has the basketball program poised to make a quantum leap next season

Posted on 2/29/24 at 12:04 pm to
Posted by mmcgrath
Indianapolis
Member since Feb 2010
35459 posts
Posted on 2/29/24 at 12:04 pm to
Posted by NotaStarGazer
Member since Dec 2023
1126 posts
Posted on 2/29/24 at 12:05 pm to
I didn't cover every combination of overall record, SEC record, NCAA invite, NIT invite, etc. I'll stick with the general 12-6 SEC record. A losing or break even record getting an NCAA tourney invite is the exception not the rule. But yeah, 9-9 or 8-10 record in the SEC is obviously the definition of average or mediocre. LSU MBB should be better than mediocre. Maybe you disagree with that which is fine.
Posted by NotaStarGazer
Member since Dec 2023
1126 posts
Posted on 2/29/24 at 12:09 pm to
quote:

So if he goes 10-8 and makes the NCAA tourney he's still out?

Let's see if LSU goes 10-8 this season and gets an NCAA invite...my guess is no! But clearly it is possible for LSU to have that record.
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
28440 posts
Posted on 2/29/24 at 1:09 pm to
quote:

A losing or break even record getting an NCAA tourney invite is the exception not the rule.


Not necessarily. Since the 17-18 season the SEC has had a team (sometimes two) finish 9-9 or 8-10 and reach the NCAA Tournament. Every year.

17-18: Alabama (8-10); Texas A&M (9-9)
18-19: Florida (9-9)
20-21: Missouri (9-9)
21-22: LSU (9-9); Alabama (9-9)
22-23: Mississippi St. (8-10), Arkansas (8-10) [both got in ahead of 9-9 Florida and 11-7 Vanderbilt]

Clearly it's not that uncommon. So evaluating whether or not to fire a coach strictly on ONE metric is foolish.
Who had the better season?

Team A: 19-12 (8-10), lost in the Sweet 16
Team B: 18-13 (11-7), failed to reach the NCAA Tournament

Perhaps I'm just weird, but I'm taking Team A even though they finished 3 games worse in SEC play than Team B. Would you fire the coach of Team A in that situation?

quote:

LSU MBB should be better than mediocre.


That is the ultimate goal. But it has to be viewed in context. It would be ridiculous to fire an LSU HC who went, say, 20-11 (10-8), lost in 2nd round of the NCAA Tournament SOLEY because he didn't win 2 more SEC games. If that were the case, Bruce Pearl should have been fired after last season for being "mediocre". Would we all like to see a day where LSU is a Final Four contender every year? Of course! But LSU needs to start being "good" first. And a NCAAT appearance (even with an SEC record below 12-6) would be a "good" step in that direction. If, after 6-7 years LSU is stuck in that same spot then things can be reevaluated. But 12-6 next year or bust? That's absurd.

This post was edited on 2/29/24 at 1:12 pm
Posted by Galactic Inquisitor
An Incredibly Distant Star
Member since Dec 2013
15262 posts
Posted on 2/29/24 at 1:16 pm to
quote:

we’ll be on the bottom half of the standings for the 3rd straight season.




This is such a sandy vag take. He's literally one game from top half of the SEC with 3 games left. We have Vandy, Arky, and Mizzou. Moo U has Auburn, USCe, and Aggie. There is a distinct possibility we end the year over .500 in the SEC and in the top half of the league.
Posted by Galactic Inquisitor
An Incredibly Distant Star
Member since Dec 2013
15262 posts
Posted on 2/29/24 at 1:20 pm to
quote:

I am not understanding the down votes on this post. Are y'all not an LSU fan?


No, most of them traded in their LSU fandom for a Will Wade mancrush.
Posted by Galactic Inquisitor
An Incredibly Distant Star
Member since Dec 2013
15262 posts
Posted on 2/29/24 at 1:21 pm to
quote:

Yeah right...after 3 years, just stick with a coach who isn't doing the job. Or maybe you think mediocre/middle of the pack in SEC basketball is just fine. To blow something up being a bad thing, that assumes something is worth saving. If McMahon can't go 12-6 after 3 years, the job is obviously too big for him.


If you are over the age of 18, you really should read into emotional intelligence.
Posted by lsuson
Metairie
Member since Oct 2013
12227 posts
Posted on 2/29/24 at 1:32 pm to
quote:

Kept trying


Stopped reading right there
Posted by Galactic Inquisitor
An Incredibly Distant Star
Member since Dec 2013
15262 posts
Posted on 2/29/24 at 1:33 pm to
quote:

Only way to win in NCAA basketball is to recruit some of the one-and-dones


UConn had exactly zero one-and-dones last year.
Kansas had exactly zero in 2022
Baylor had exactly zero in 2021
Virginia had exactly zero in 2019
Villanova had exactly zero in 2018
UNC had one in 2017, Tony Bradley who was drafted 28th and has done nothing in the NBA.
Villanova had exactly zero in 2016

So, you have a much better chance of winning a championship if you have zero one-and-dones than having any at all.
Posted by NotaStarGazer
Member since Dec 2023
1126 posts
Posted on 2/29/24 at 1:59 pm to
quote:

Team A: 19-12 (8-10), lost in the Sweet 16
Team B: 18-13 (11-7), failed to reach the NCAA Tournament

Perhaps I'm just weird, but I'm taking Team A even though they finished 3 games worse in SEC play than Team B. Would you fire the coach of Team A in that situation

I would take Team B but it is a false choice. A coach has control over how many games a team wins but has little control over the whims of the NCAA selection committee. But as a fan, having essentially the same overall record but a much better SEC record where you are higher every time you look at the standings is much more satisfying. And of course what also counts as far as a coach status goes is how long has he been there, has he been improving, etc.

I am watching very closely the fate of one coach THIS season. He is Arkansas coach Eric Musselman. The last couple of years Arkansas has been highly touted and the last couple of years, he has not lived up to the billing. 20-12 (7-11)... 25-7 (13-4)....28-9 (13-5)...22-14 (8-10) ...14-14 (5-10). I get "Hawgbeat" in my Yahoo feed sometimes and the fans are ready to send him packing.
Posted by NotaStarGazer
Member since Dec 2023
1126 posts
Posted on 2/29/24 at 2:02 pm to
If you really want to talk about sports, you really need to take up one you might know more about...have you tried curling for example. Basketball is above your pay grade.
Posted by Galactic Inquisitor
An Incredibly Distant Star
Member since Dec 2013
15262 posts
Posted on 2/29/24 at 2:23 pm to
quote:

If you really want to talk about sports, you really need to take up one you might know more about...have you tried curling for example. Basketball is above your pay grade.




I've forgotten more basketball than you even think you know, but you're welcome to believe whatever you want. Who am I to stand in the way of your delusions?
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
28440 posts
Posted on 2/29/24 at 2:40 pm to
quote:

I would take Team B but it is a false choice. A coach has control over how many games a team wins but has little control over the whims of the NCAA selection committee. But as a fan, having essentially the same overall record but a much better SEC record where you are higher every time you look at the standings is much more satisfying.


You're right. The coach can't fully control the selections of the committee. But the committee takes the ENTIRE record into consideration. Not just the conference record and, more notably, conference standings. In fact, conference standings mean absolutely nothing to the selection committee. So much so that it it literally not a part of the data on the "Team Sheets" provided to the selection committee. Thus, basing the retention of a coach on one specific metric is foolish. For a time, Frank Martin was kind of the poster child for a decent conference record meaning nothing. In 18-19 he went 11-7 in the SEC and finished 5th in the standings. I guess to some degree that accomplishment may have been satisfying for the fans. But I suspect they probably would have enjoyed watching their team play in the NCAA Tournament more...which is what Miss. St, Ole Miss, and Florida (all teams that finished behind SC in the SEC) did.

quote:

I am watching very closely the fate of one coach THIS season. He is Arkansas coach Eric Musselman. The last couple of years Arkansas has been highly touted and the last couple of years, he has not lived up to the billing. 20-12 (7-11)... 25-7 (13-4)....28-9 (13-5)...22-14 (8-10) ...14-14 (5-10). I get "Hawgbeat" in my Yahoo feed sometimes and the fans are ready to send him packing.



He's had a terrible season this year. But it is a bit difficult to say he hasn't "lived up to the billing" when Arkansas has been the last SEC team standing in two of the last three NCAA Tournaments. His worst NCAA Tournament finish at Arkansas was last year...where they lost to eventual Champion, UConn. That represented the second time in the last three years Arkansas ended their season by losing to the eventual national champion.

Then again, maybe Arkansas fans know something the rest of us don't know and it's more than reasonable to fire a guy who has reached (at least) the Sweet 16 three years in a row. Obviously that is not good enough for Arkansas who, before Musselman, had not reached the Sweet 16 in FOURTEEN YEARS!

I guess the NCAA Tournament success was nice and all, but what about that conference record? That's what really matters!!!
Posted by King BRLA
Member since Jan 2024
236 posts
Posted on 2/29/24 at 3:45 pm to
And now they are downvoting us.
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