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re: Hurricane Season - MDR Boiling, TS Bret and TS Cindy **No Gulf Threats**

Posted on 6/19/23 at 10:56 am to
Posted by soccerfüt
Location: A Series of Tubes
Member since May 2013
66032 posts
Posted on 6/19/23 at 10:56 am to
quote:

I ain’t never evacuating. I need to protect my freezers of meat and fish!!!
There's more meat and fish out there in the world but there's only one me.

Good luck with your strategy.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
55106 posts
Posted on 6/19/23 at 10:56 am to
@philklotzbach
quote:

Tropical Depression 3 is forecast to reach #hurricane strength. Only one Atlantic storm has formed in June in the tropical Atlantic (south of 23.5°N, east of 60°W) and gone on to reach hurricane strength on record: Trinidad (1933).

Twitter
Posted by GreenRockTiger
vortex to the whirlpool of despair
Member since Jun 2020
42786 posts
Posted on 6/19/23 at 10:58 am to
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19833 posts
Posted on 6/19/23 at 11:03 am to
quote:

Here We Go


quote:

Philip Klotzbach
@philklotzbach
·
6m
Tropical Depression 3 is forecast to be at #hurricane strength in eastern Caribbean. 7 years since 1900 have had eastern Caribbean (10-20°N, 75-60°W) hurricanes in June-July: 1926, 1933, 1961, 1996, 2005, 2020 and 2021. All were above-normal seasons, with 6 of 7 being hyperactive
Posted by GEAUXT
Member since Nov 2007
29301 posts
Posted on 6/19/23 at 11:04 am to
Christ on a cracker
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
120577 posts
Posted on 6/19/23 at 11:06 am to
I thought the thoughts going into the season were that june/july might be active before el nino really kicks in?
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
25416 posts
Posted on 6/19/23 at 11:07 am to
quote:

Tropical Depression 3 is forecast to be at #hurricane strength in eastern Caribbean. 7 years since 1900 have had eastern Caribbean (10-20°N, 75-60°W) hurricanes in June-July: 1926, 1933, 1961, 1996, 2005, 2020 and 2021. All were above-normal seasons, with 6 of 7 being hyperactive



Posted by LSUfanNkaty
LC, Louisiana
Member since Jan 2015
11144 posts
Posted on 6/19/23 at 11:09 am to
frick all that. They are trying to hype shite up more than ever these days. I say frick it
Posted by Ingeniero
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2013
18395 posts
Posted on 6/19/23 at 11:12 am to
quote:

7 years since 1900 have had eastern Caribbean (10-20°N, 75-60°W) hurricanes in June-July: 1926, 1933, 1961, 1996, 2005, 2020 and 2021. All were above-normal seasons, with 6 of 7 being hyperactive


How come when I use this logic at the roulette table I lose money but when Philip says it, everyone claps and a hurricane flies up my arse
Posted by BZ504
Texas
Member since Oct 2005
9684 posts
Posted on 6/19/23 at 11:12 am to
Be sure to charge your Teslas up and buy enough gas for your generator to charge them up.
Posted by BottomlandBrew
Member since Aug 2010
27182 posts
Posted on 6/19/23 at 11:14 am to
quote:

2005, 2020 and 2021


Phew. Nothing bad happened in LA in those years.
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
35674 posts
Posted on 6/19/23 at 11:15 am to
quote:


I thought the thoughts going into the season were that june/july might be active before el nino really kicks in?


Id think it turns off closer to September.

The El Nino isnt going to turn off the heat in the MDR or stop the wave train off Africa, and I expect that to be active.

The dry sinking air over the basin will hopefully help trim numbers but its not until we get into that season where stuff forms closer to home that Id think it really slows down.

Just my opinion.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
55106 posts
Posted on 6/19/23 at 11:17 am to
quote:

I thought the thoughts going into the season were that june/july might be active before el nino really kicks in?


Maybe, but forecasters are starting to revise their initial forecasts. Most who have updated have all increased the activity. This has the chance to he a very weird season following what was a very weird season last year.

ETA: Keeping in mind that an "active season", even a hyperactive season doesn't always equate to large impacts to land.
This post was edited on 6/19/23 at 11:21 am
Posted by GreenRockTiger
vortex to the whirlpool of despair
Member since Jun 2020
42786 posts
Posted on 6/19/23 at 11:18 am to
quote:

2005, 2020 and 2021

Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
55106 posts
Posted on 6/19/23 at 11:18 am to
quote:

frick all that. They are trying to hype shite up more than ever these days. I say frick it

How is that "hype" when he is just stating facts?
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
25416 posts
Posted on 6/19/23 at 11:24 am to
Posted by boxcarbarney
Above all things, be a man
Member since Jul 2007
22812 posts
Posted on 6/19/23 at 11:30 am to
quote:

Keeping in mind that an "active season", even a hyperactive season doesn't always equate to large impacts to land.


Fingers crossed
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
91057 posts
Posted on 6/19/23 at 11:44 am to
quote:

NHC coming out swinging with a Hurricane into the Caribbean.


That’s a spicy meatball
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
91057 posts
Posted on 6/19/23 at 11:46 am to
quote:

All were above-normal seasons, with 6 of 7 being hyperactive


I knew this would be a bad season. How? Because they finally predicted it to be a below average one. That pretty much guaranteed it
Posted by Traveler
I'm not late-I'm early for tomorrow
Member since Sep 2003
24322 posts
Posted on 6/19/23 at 11:48 am to
quote:

gas for your generator

And for the people that never drained the old gas out of their generator from the last storm and complain cause it won't start or run properly.
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