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re: When do you predict vehicle prices will normalize?

Posted on 1/22/23 at 5:07 pm to
Posted by homesicktiger
High altitude hell
Member since Oct 2004
1382 posts
Posted on 1/22/23 at 5:07 pm to
quote:

Wholesale values are down 15% since mid 2022. They will continue to drop as the economy weakens

New vehicles will start offering big discounts again, some already are, with large rebates by mid 2023

Give it 6 months


From your lips to God's ears ...
Posted by Gorilla Ball
Member since Feb 2006
11873 posts
Posted on 1/22/23 at 5:10 pm to
Good luck - I was able to find one
I used numerous sites
Cars.com
Car guru
YAA.com
Posted by Weekend Warrior79
Member since Aug 2014
16645 posts
Posted on 1/22/23 at 5:10 pm to
As soon as you realize this is that “new normal” they kept trying to condition us for during the shutdowns
Posted by molsusports
Member since Jul 2004
36179 posts
Posted on 1/22/23 at 5:13 pm to
Wait a while


There are a bunch of repossessed vehicles "no saling" at auctions right now. Bunch of people bought stuff with covid money and then claimed forbearance.

Look up Lucky Lopez for week by week coverage of car auctions as they relate to bank losses and dealer losses.

Longer term a lot of forward consumer demand is going to be suppressed because most of the people who trade in vehicles after 2-4 years of ownership are going to be too far upside down on their notes to afford new vehicles (because of the inflated prices they paid in 21 and 22).
Posted by Gorilla Ball
Member since Feb 2006
11873 posts
Posted on 1/22/23 at 5:21 pm to
Good information
Posted by kywildcatfanone
Wildcat Country!
Member since Oct 2012
120034 posts
Posted on 1/22/23 at 5:22 pm to
Small rebates are back, but just off msrp. Next year probably for the $15k off a xlt trim.
Posted by DiamondDog
Louisiana
Member since Nov 2019
10677 posts
Posted on 1/22/23 at 5:27 pm to
Toyota's failure to stock is either intentional or their supply chain is full of retards.

Here is what the dealership told me caused the issues:

1. Chip shortage
2. Part shortage
3. Glass shortage- seriously.
4. Rubber shortage?

I'm trying to get a Sienna AWD Platinum. It's nearly impossible.
Posted by bulldog95
North Louisiana
Member since Jan 2011
20743 posts
Posted on 1/22/23 at 5:33 pm to
Probably around the end of summer or Christmas time 2023. They’ll be offering good rebates and low APR especially if there is a large influx of vehicles needing to be sold to make room for 2024 models
Posted by TigerWise
Front Seat of an Uber
Member since Sep 2010
35117 posts
Posted on 1/22/23 at 5:38 pm to
This summer after tax rebate season
Posted by Tempratt
WRMS Girls Soccer Team Kicks arse
Member since Oct 2013
13616 posts
Posted on 1/22/23 at 5:41 pm to
It would help a lot if ppl just refused to buy new vehicles, on principal. I’m including ppl that buy their new cars with cash or credit card.

Once a glut of cars formed, prices will start to go down.
Posted by USMEagles
Member since Jan 2018
11811 posts
Posted on 1/22/23 at 5:47 pm to
Prices basically ratchet upward in a growing economy. Muh new normal.
Posted by MMauler
Member since Jun 2013
19216 posts
Posted on 1/22/23 at 5:50 pm to
quote:

They are going to milk this shite as long as they can. Muh supply chain.



It just takes one dealership in any particular area to blow that apart. Remember, the manufacturers wanna sell as many vehicles as possible.
Posted by greygoose
Member since Aug 2013
11481 posts
Posted on 1/22/23 at 5:59 pm to
quote:

Wholesale values are down 15% since mid 2022. They will continue to drop as the economy weakens

New vehicles will start offering big discounts again, some already are, with large rebates by mid 2023

Give it 6 months

This. Demand is going to dry up as the economy tanks and interest rates continue to rise.
Posted by Greenie10
Member since Apr 2019
217 posts
Posted on 1/22/23 at 6:15 pm to
I just bought a new vehicle. Got $2k more for my trade than I paid for it in March of 2020(right when the shut downs happened and everyone was freaking out. This was before all of the shortages, so I got that car for about $5k off MSRP) plus I was able to negotiate $1850 off of MSRP. All in all, I think I timed it alright.

Dealers were a lot more interested in negotiating with me off MSRP and weren't adding on stupid dealer addon's for $$.

If I had waited another month to buy, I don't think I'd have gotten what I got for my trade in. Overall I'm happy.
This post was edited on 1/22/23 at 6:21 pm
Posted by Tigers58
Athens, AL
Member since Jun 2005
1076 posts
Posted on 1/22/23 at 6:19 pm to
quote:

When do you see thinks correct themselves?


When people stop paying the outrageous prices .. prices will come down. Until then, manufacturers and dealers will continue to inflate to maximize profit.
Posted by Robin Masters
Birmingham
Member since Jul 2010
30190 posts
Posted on 1/22/23 at 6:21 pm to
quote:

Seeing $50-$70k for low mileage used trucks and 80-100K for new.


What generic “truck” is $100k? Anything at that price is an exclusive limited production model.
This post was edited on 1/22/23 at 6:23 pm
Posted by PhiTiger1764
Lurker since Aug 2003
Member since Oct 2009
13961 posts
Posted on 1/22/23 at 6:25 pm to
quote:

Wholesale values are down 15% since mid 2022. They will continue to drop as the economy weakens

True.. and while 15% down sounds like a large number. We still have a long way down to go.

Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
58535 posts
Posted on 1/22/23 at 6:39 pm to
quote:

but there’s no denying how many cars they have sitting on their lots right now just from the dealerships I’m seeing locally


Which ones?
Posted by shutterspeed
MS Gulf Coast
Member since May 2007
63933 posts
Posted on 1/22/23 at 6:49 pm to
quote:

Give it 6 months


Every 6 months people seem to come along and say to give it another 6 months.
Posted by Gee Grenouille
Bogalusa
Member since Jul 2018
5058 posts
Posted on 1/22/23 at 6:53 pm to
Making more money on fewer vehicles with larger finance charges. This is the new normal.
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