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re: Riley to LSU seems far-fetched...you rarely see lateral moves at the top level of CFB
Posted on 10/25/21 at 11:48 am to RazorBroncs
Posted on 10/25/21 at 11:48 am to RazorBroncs
Possibly, but proximity to blue-chip talent plays a major factor in a program's longterm success.
Two of CFB's greatest coaches (Saban/Meyer) are responsible for 4 of those titles that've been won since 2013. The other 3 championships belong to Dabo & Ed who both benefited from special quarterbacks.
There's a reason Saban left Michigan State for LSU and it wasn't because of red beans & rice.
quote:
You kinda proved my point there, the top 4 most talent-producing states haven't had an NC team since 2013
Two of CFB's greatest coaches (Saban/Meyer) are responsible for 4 of those titles that've been won since 2013. The other 3 championships belong to Dabo & Ed who both benefited from special quarterbacks.
There's a reason Saban left Michigan State for LSU and it wasn't because of red beans & rice.
Posted on 10/25/21 at 11:52 am to GeorgeReymond
I'm not saying that being smack-dab in the middle of a recruiting hotbed doesn't help, it certainly does.
Just that the right coach at the right program makes 1000x more of a difference than that. If it were solely about recruits in your backyard, UF or FSU would be killing it and UGA wouldn't have gone 41 years without an NC.
Posted on 10/25/21 at 11:55 am to Chicken
I think we’re looking at Jimbo, Franklin, Tucker, Napier, or BoB with an outside shot at Cristobol.
Posted on 10/25/21 at 11:56 am to RazorBroncs
I agree, both definitely matter. 
Posted on 10/25/21 at 12:03 pm to Chicken
quote:
Going from Oklahoma to LSU is a lateral move.
I couldn’t disagree more with that statement. LSU obviously gives coaches a better chance to win titles than OU and that’s a proven fact. LSU has won three and played for another since OU won their last. How is that a lateral move?
Posted on 10/25/21 at 12:07 pm to Chicken
I agree it’s far-fetched. It’s Scott Woodward’s job to try to convince him it’s the right move. We shall see! If Riley gets a raise, we know SW at least tried.
LSU certainly looks like the better place to win championships considering the success of multiple coaches over the last 20 years.
LSU certainly looks like the better place to win championships considering the success of multiple coaches over the last 20 years.
Posted on 10/25/21 at 12:13 pm to Chicken
OU gets Texas kids that for whatever reason aren’t man enough for SEC ball. Now that won’t be an option. They either stay at Texas or A&M instead of going out of state. Whenever he goes the top QB will follow because of his history. LSU makes a lot of sense.
Posted on 10/25/21 at 12:44 pm to Chicken
I don't think it's going to happen because it's too close to lateral and those moves don't happen without impetus historically, but I would definitely disagree about it being a true lateral move. Booster and administrative support is equal. Conference is equal. They have similar levels of access to Texas. The big difference is that LSU's Louisiana is Central Oklahoma for OU, and obviously Louisiana is a much better high school football state than Oklahoma, and Oklahoma's footprint is relatively weak in the part of the state that plays the best high school football (though still strong).
I'm pretty sure Woodward's plan here though is to give Riley not much time to give an answer, make the price so high that OU recoils in horror at its sight, and the deadline is too fast approaching for them to really do the calculation and realize that saying yes to an equally high counter offer makes sense. I assume OU's athletic department is competent enough for that to not work, but it's a plan that has a non zero chance of working.
I'm pretty sure Woodward's plan here though is to give Riley not much time to give an answer, make the price so high that OU recoils in horror at its sight, and the deadline is too fast approaching for them to really do the calculation and realize that saying yes to an equally high counter offer makes sense. I assume OU's athletic department is competent enough for that to not work, but it's a plan that has a non zero chance of working.
Posted on 10/25/21 at 12:46 pm to Chicken
quote:
Going from Oklahoma to LSU is a lateral move. Riley is already paid a lot and Oklahoma can afford to match anything that LSU can pay. Oklahoma will be in the SEC within the next four years, and, if we move to pods, will likely be in the easiest pod.
I agree with you although if it’s true he is getting 10 mil thrown at him then I’m not sure he could turn that down and I don’t think OK would match. That’s a big If though, obviously.
Posted on 10/25/21 at 12:55 pm to GeorgeReymond
TBH I would rather him stay at Ole Miss and alienate them the way he alienates just about everyone else he has worked for after leaving Pete Carroll's staff at USC
Posted on 10/25/21 at 12:59 pm to RazorBroncs
quote:
This in itself isn't as big of a deal as some make it, the importance of in-state recruits is largely overblown. Especially now with the transfer portal and NIL.
Heavily, heavily, heavily disagree. You can make it work without in state recruits, but the SEC really only recruits the SEC. The big thing Louisiana has going for it that the other talent rich states not named Ohio don't is that all the Louisiana kids bleed purple and gold. Nick Saban is the only person who has had even a small amount of success taking top Louisiana kids from the state, and he's literally a former LSU coach that still had his Louisiana high school football connections when he first started doing that, and as those coaches retired he became the monster we now know.
It's overrated for states like Texas, Florida, and California because those kids have consistently proven that they have no real loyalty to regional programs and will go anywhere, but that's not the case for Louisiana and Ohio. The recruiting rankings don't lie. If you get every Louisiana blue chip, you have a top 5 recruiting class that also probably has a few skill position future pro bowlers. You definitely still throw your hat in for the top recruits in FL, TX, CA, and GA and will need to go out of state some to round out your recruiting class, but LSU and Ohio are really unique here and you can't point to a program like UF or UT to say it doesn't matter (though UT in particular would be way worse than they are right now if they were anywhere else).
quote:
I had a boss years ago from Massilon, Ohio , who used to tell me how Woody had developed the pipeline and kept tabs on all these kids. Physicals, coaches that ran the same offense. Times on the box drill. What injuries they may have had in High School and for Woody.....grades. He would start off talking about a recruit's grades. There was a joke that Woody knew your grades before you did if you were a recruit. That process continues to this day apparently.
No inside info here, but looking at their recent classes I don't think that pipeline still exists. It seems like Urban Meyer killed it by recruiting nationally instead. I personally think that's a colossal mistake, but I have no power and I can't say I would miss having Ohio State be nationally relevant if Day leaves for the NFL and their next coach kind of sucks.
Like hell, LSU got a Mr. Football. I really doubt that Kiner didn't get seriously recruited by Ohio State.
Posted on 10/25/21 at 1:06 pm to cas4t
quote:
Semi agree. But OU hasn’t won a title in, what, 2 decades?
LSU is certainly a better job
A position can't just be "better" to justify uprooting your family. It has to be clearly better. This either means a larger role (moving from assistant to head coach) or significantly stronger program and/or more money. Without these things it can only happen if the person has some emotional attachment to another school.
Going from OU to LSU will not happen.
Posted on 10/25/21 at 1:10 pm to Chicken
I'll bet Owlies left arm that it ends up being Napier or aranda. Matt ruhle is outside chance.
Posted on 10/25/21 at 1:33 pm to Chicken
Y'all felt the need to delete my thread about Riley's agent, and now you're going out of your way to declare you don't think it's going to be Riley... If you know something since last week, share it.
Posted on 10/25/21 at 1:34 pm to Chicken
quote:
Sorry, but the idea of Riley to LSU doesn’t make sense.
Gotta disagree with you Chicken.
The goal is to reach one of the 4 spots in the CFP. There is currently 5 Power Confrences, SEC, Big 10, ACC, Big 12, and PAC 12.
28 teams have been chosen so far in 7 years. The SEC champions have made all 7 with 5 #1 seedlings, and Bama as a double SEC playoff (total 8). The ACC Champions have made all 7 with 2 #1 seeds with covid Notre Dame as a double ACC playoff (total 8). Big 10 has put 4 champions in with Ohio State in as non-champion 4 seed (total 5). Big 12 4 appearances all OU. PAC12 total 2 appearances. And lastly an independent Notre Dame.
Now with OU joining the Saban dominated SEC, Riley’s WORST decision would be staying at OU. Next worse is Notre Dame, and a little better LSU. BEST choice would be a PAC 12 school.
But if he’s going to coach SEC, LSU is best opening because Bama and Georgia aren’t looking.
If CFP goes to 6, LSU becomes even more viable as well as a non-power confrence school. This would also reward Aranda at Baylor.
Posted on 10/25/21 at 1:36 pm to Magician2
quote:
We will end up with a Aranda or Napier type coach.
I honestly think we do too, which is disappointing. Scott can’t afford to swing and miss on too many big names and damage the brand. I think he’ll go hard after a couple big time coaches, and if he can’t hit, he’ll settle for Aranda or Napier.
Posted on 10/25/21 at 1:39 pm to Laman1978
Not sure why it was deleted but I do know that threads with incomplete titles often get anchored or deleted… Try posting it again with a better title… Thanks
Posted on 10/25/21 at 1:55 pm to Laman1978
Yeah post it again so we can see what you are talking about.
Posted on 10/25/21 at 1:55 pm to Bjorn Cyborg
quote:
In the highest levels of college football, the top 25 overall programs, only 1 coach came from another top 25 program -- Jimbo Fisher.
And who was the AD when that happened? The same AD that just pulled a women's basketball coach, not to a "lateral move", but to a big step down move.
Not saying it's going to happen, but I feel like Lloyd Christmas in knowing that there is a chance.
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