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re: Will Universal, High Income Work?
Posted on 4/17/26 at 8:11 am to AlterEd
Posted on 4/17/26 at 8:11 am to AlterEd
This will not work.
There is no difference between giving everyone a universal income to buy stuff and giving everyone no income and just giving them stuff. Same thing.
It’s a form of communism and makes money within the layer that is given to people worthless.
There is no difference between giving everyone a universal income to buy stuff and giving everyone no income and just giving them stuff. Same thing.
It’s a form of communism and makes money within the layer that is given to people worthless.
Posted on 4/17/26 at 8:19 am to WhiskeyThrottle
quote:
A world exists where AI CAN do those things, but it's not economical at the moment and I don't see how it can be for awhile.
Thing is though, AI development is actually outpacing Moore's "Law." AI capability doubles every 3 to 6 months, instead of every 2 years. Within even 5 years from now AI is going to be so much further advanced than it is right now that what we see currently will look like Atari's Pong.
Posted on 4/17/26 at 8:47 am to AlterEd
Any economist will tell you that it will not work as intended. Inflation would result and blunt the purchasing power of that "high" income, much like when blue states raise minimum wages for fast food workers.
Also, go look at "free" health care in socialized countries and imagine that same scarcity and low quality applied to every part of your life. Scarce, crappy housing, food, transportation, clothing, etc. We'd be right back to Feudalism with a large population of completely controlled serfs and a few oligarchs controlling everything.
Also, go look at "free" health care in socialized countries and imagine that same scarcity and low quality applied to every part of your life. Scarce, crappy housing, food, transportation, clothing, etc. We'd be right back to Feudalism with a large population of completely controlled serfs and a few oligarchs controlling everything.
Posted on 4/17/26 at 8:53 am to AlterEd
Call it inflation or whatever you like, but when money is freely distributed, money will become value-less.
So if you want to devalue your life’s savings, go right ahead.
Posted on 4/17/26 at 8:54 am to Gunny Hartman
quote:
Any economist will tell you that it will not work as intended. Inflation would result and blunt the purchasing power of that "high" income, much like when blue states raise minimum wages for fast food workers.
I mean, Elon Musk is an economist and he is stating the opposite. I would argue he is also the most successful economist in the world.
Posted on 4/17/26 at 8:56 am to TheHarahanian
quote:
So if you want to devalue your life’s savings, go right ahead.
You make it sound like I am doing this.
Posted on 4/17/26 at 8:58 am to AlterEd
I understand the basis of what Elon is saying. That AI will be exponentially more productive and efficient which will radically lower costs and produce an abundance.
The problem is that greedy corporations don't care about making folks lives easier. They will keep all the profits and not reduce the cost.
The problem is that greedy corporations don't care about making folks lives easier. They will keep all the profits and not reduce the cost.
Posted on 4/17/26 at 8:59 am to AlterEd
quote:
You make it sound like I am doing this.
No, that’s a general warning to anybody in favor of giving something of value for nothing of value.
The left has tried this with housing a few times since the 1960s. The “owners” didn’t sacrifice anything to get the house, and they acted like it. Those housing tracts are either gone or unlivable. Something that had value is destroyed.
This post was edited on 4/17/26 at 9:01 am
Posted on 4/17/26 at 9:00 am to AlterEd
There is no possibility of a eutopian society where everybody has plenty, r at least thinks they have plenty. Some will always have more than others. In the US the. “poor” are often obese from consuming too many calories while having free housing, healthcare, groceries, etc. They also have free access to internet along with cell phones and big screen TV’s., yet they are “poor”.
Posted on 4/17/26 at 9:02 am to bird35
quote:
Amazing that as the day when we don’t need as many people to work just begins to dawn all Western governments import millions of unskilled immigrants.
Yea, we are having two conflicting conversations:
1. What will we do with all the unskilled labor when AI takes over and creates mass unemployment?
2. Let's bring in millions of laborers that we cannot support now, much less in the future.
Makes no sense.
Posted on 4/17/26 at 9:26 am to AlterEd
You thought COVID restrictions were bad, wait until you have to comply with something or not get your Gubment Check!
Posted on 4/17/26 at 9:28 am to AlterEd
Financially, it could work. If robots can do all jobs, then there will be no need for people to work. Once the production costs are lowered as Elon says, shortages won't exist and everything can be cheap.
We will even be able to order goods at will and have them made custom, but consumption will have to be limited in some way.
The problem will be idle hands. Drug use and violence will rise. Look at black youths now. That problem will multiply.
The solution is to identify the people who can't handle freedom and responsibility and remove them from society. It will be even more critical to have a high trust society at that point, and that only comes with resolve. We can't let the left or soft conservatives set the rules. We will need a Bukele to maintain order.
We will even be able to order goods at will and have them made custom, but consumption will have to be limited in some way.
The problem will be idle hands. Drug use and violence will rise. Look at black youths now. That problem will multiply.
The solution is to identify the people who can't handle freedom and responsibility and remove them from society. It will be even more critical to have a high trust society at that point, and that only comes with resolve. We can't let the left or soft conservatives set the rules. We will need a Bukele to maintain order.
Posted on 4/17/26 at 9:29 am to AlterEd
AI will cause a lot of displacement but not enough to require UBI.
Now, when ROBOTS get better and start to use AI, that might "cure" our need for work.
But then again, we might have much bigger problems at that point.
Now, when ROBOTS get better and start to use AI, that might "cure" our need for work.
But then again, we might have much bigger problems at that point.
Posted on 4/17/26 at 9:34 am to AlterEd
It's an immoral practice. Period. The money has to come from somewhere. No one owes anyone anything.... and money only has value because we say it does. When that breaks, you have nothing to offer... you're not personally producing... then there should be nothing you get out of the pot.
Are there structures whereby government could stop INCINERATING our money and feed it back into the system to make it productive and functional? Yes.... but that counts on leaders that actually sincerely care about the welfare of our people. That is an absurd folly to fall into.
Wealth is not a finite resource. It can be generated and created by the mind. Kill the mind, kill the generation.
Are there structures whereby government could stop INCINERATING our money and feed it back into the system to make it productive and functional? Yes.... but that counts on leaders that actually sincerely care about the welfare of our people. That is an absurd folly to fall into.
Wealth is not a finite resource. It can be generated and created by the mind. Kill the mind, kill the generation.
Posted on 4/17/26 at 9:35 am to TheHarahanian
quote:
Call it inflation or whatever you like, but when money is freely distributed, money will become value-less.
So if you want to devalue your life’s savings, go right ahead.
Money is a substitute for finite resources, namely Labor and Materials. You're assuming that money freely given will continue to chase finite things. The future suggested by Musk is that those Finite things will be extremely abundant.
Posted on 4/17/26 at 9:42 am to AlterEd
quote:
Thing is though, AI development is actually outpacing Moore's "Law." AI capability doubles every 3 to 6 months, instead of every 2 years. Within even 5 years from now AI is going to be so much further advanced than it is right now that what we see currently will look like Atari's Pong.
A bit of pushback here, Moore's Law is expected to cease before the end of the decade & has been considerably more difficult to reach since the late 2000s. We're similarly starting to reach some of the limits with AI & seeing a pivot into different strategies.
AI also has more resources being thrown at it than anything short of WWII, if the bubble pops we'll likely see that investment & the corresponding pace of improvement decline.
This post was edited on 4/17/26 at 9:43 am
Posted on 4/17/26 at 9:42 am to TenWheelsForJesus
quote:
Financially it could work
The government had to inject trillions in 2020 to stave off what they thought would be two months of mass unemployment. What do you think happens if millions of high earning jobs are gutted within a short period of time?
If you believe Musk, we are barreling towards our own undoing in the name of some “progress” that would seemingly benefit a few dozen tech lords
Posted on 4/17/26 at 9:44 am to Demonbengal
quote:
There is no possibility of a eutopian society where everybody has plenty, r at least thinks they have plenty. Some will always have more than others. In the US the. “poor” are often obese from consuming too many calories while having free housing, healthcare, groceries, etc. They also have free access to internet along with cell phones and big screen TV’s., yet they are “poor”.
Poverty is unsolvable because it is categorized as the lowest economic rung based on certain percentages. There will always be a bottom percentage group no matter what.
Posted on 4/17/26 at 9:48 am to Bjorn Cyborg
quote:
Poverty is unsolvable because it is categorized as the lowest economic rung based on certain percentages. There will always be a bottom percentage group no matter what.
This is characterized by Tocqueville in Democracy in America. As long as some have what others do not, there will be "Poverty". AI won't fix that anytime soon. AI could solve the issue of Labor and Production of goods could skyrocket. But the Elites would pivot to things that are truly finite like Land, Rare experiences, Preferential/Premium treatments. In the future, Front row seats at a concert could be viewed with the same level of disgust as Slavery due to the perceived injustice that results from Tocqueville's observations.
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