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Texas Voting update - It is tied between R vs. D
Posted on 10/28/26 at 11:20 am
Posted on 10/28/26 at 11:20 am
The no primary history will need to break for Democrats, to get over the R heavy election day turnout
-Cruz's entire 2018 vote: 4.261 million
-O'Rourke's entire 2018 vote: 4.046 million
-2018 total Senate vote: 8.372 million
-2026 early votes already reported through the first eight days: ~5.14 million.
So the current 2026 early-vote count alone is already equivalent to roughly 61% of the entire number of votes cast in the 2018 Senate race, with several early-voting days plus Election Day still remaining.
-Cruz's entire 2018 vote: 4.261 million
-O'Rourke's entire 2018 vote: 4.046 million
-2018 total Senate vote: 8.372 million
-2026 early votes already reported through the first eight days: ~5.14 million.
So the current 2026 early-vote count alone is already equivalent to roughly 61% of the entire number of votes cast in the 2018 Senate race, with several early-voting days plus Election Day still remaining.
Posted on 10/28/26 at 11:22 am to DarthRebel
Libs on the board - "Bush Republicans are crossing over in droves".
Posted on 10/28/26 at 11:24 am to BHTiger
quote:
"Bush Republicans are crossing over in droves".
Trump republicans definitely are. You're smoking crack if you think Trump is keeping 100% of the Rs.
Posted on 10/28/26 at 11:26 am to Bonkers119
Not 2 of them in the Falls....
Posted on 10/28/26 at 11:30 am to BHTiger
Well Bush Jr was a liberal more than a Republican.
Posted on 10/28/26 at 11:30 am to DarthRebel
The prediction market is telling a different story.
Posted on 10/28/26 at 11:37 am to DarthRebel
Texas is about to do what Georgia did in 2020, and will be blue from here on out.
Posted on 10/28/26 at 11:44 am to DarthRebel
Republicans need to start showing up . It’s close enough democrats have a chance to win . It’s going to come down to republican turn out of Election Day and how the independents vote. Republicans beat democrats in turn out on Election Day over the last 2 elections by 13% and 7% .
Posted on 10/28/26 at 11:47 am to DarthRebel
1,647,658 vs 1,647,451
I 100% refuse to believe the country is that closely divided.
It's not.
I 100% refuse to believe the country is that closely divided.
It's not.
Posted on 10/28/26 at 11:48 am to tjv305
Rs have closed the gap then. Ds have been leading up til now. Ds need a big lead going into Election Day.
Posted on 10/28/26 at 11:52 am to DarthRebel
Early polls showed pretty much unbelievable crossover numbers - like 30% of Republicans going towards Talarico.
Recent polls put the number under 10%.
If Talarico gets less than 10% of Republican votes then he will need a huge turnout from Democrats and, of course, a pretty massive lead amongst independents. For example - the CBS poll a week or so ago put 5% of Republicans going to Talarico.
Not sure how mathematically accurate it is, but I have read quite a few people who seem knowledgeable say that Talarico would most likely need 12-15% of Republican voters in order to win.
Recent polls put the number under 10%.
If Talarico gets less than 10% of Republican votes then he will need a huge turnout from Democrats and, of course, a pretty massive lead amongst independents. For example - the CBS poll a week or so ago put 5% of Republicans going to Talarico.
Not sure how mathematically accurate it is, but I have read quite a few people who seem knowledgeable say that Talarico would most likely need 12-15% of Republican voters in order to win.
Posted on 10/28/26 at 11:54 am to bluestem75
2,4 M voted in the D primary
2.2M in the R primary
in March
Both parties have a lot of votes out there
But Independents don't vote in a primary
I's are breaking 60 plus % for D's
Typically it's 70% for R
its over for paxton
totally toast
2.2M in the R primary
in March
Both parties have a lot of votes out there
But Independents don't vote in a primary
I's are breaking 60 plus % for D's
Typically it's 70% for R
its over for paxton
totally toast
Posted on 10/28/26 at 12:05 pm to UnoDelgado
quote:
The prediction market is telling a different story.
Prediction markets can be wrong and they are very often wrong until you get to the day or 2 before the election, at which point they usually (but not always) converge on what actually is going to happen.
Posted on 10/28/26 at 12:16 pm to DarthRebel
Get out and vote if you live in Texas.
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here.Posted on 10/28/26 at 12:19 pm to JimEverett
quote:
Early polls showed pretty much unbelievable crossover numbers - like 30% of Republicans going towards Talarico.
Why would any Republican switch allegiance to insert candidate X from the DSA because they believe Socialists want to give hard working conservatives a better life.
This post was edited on 10/28/26 at 12:20 pm
Posted on 10/28/26 at 12:20 pm to JimEverett
quote:And what about independents?
f Talarico gets less than 10% of Republican votes then he will need a huge turnout from Democrats and, of course, a pretty massive lead amongst independents. For example - the CBS poll a week or so ago put 5% of Republicans going to Talarico.
Not sure how mathematically accurate it is, but I have read quite a few people who seem knowledgeable say that Talarico would most likely need 12-15% of Republican voters in order to win.
1/3 of the voters are independent
paxton will get 95% of R votes and still lose
Because of independents
Posted on 10/28/26 at 12:28 pm to DarthRebel
I hope.
Talafreako is bad news because he pretends to be a man of the cloth. I don't want to see his views validated.
Talafreako is bad news because he pretends to be a man of the cloth. I don't want to see his views validated.
Posted on 10/28/26 at 1:05 pm to OWLFAN86
quote:
Approximately 15.2% of registered voters in Texas are identified as Independent or No Party Preference. This figure is a modeled estimate because Texas does not record party affiliation on its official voter registration forms; analysts derive these numbers from primary ballot participation and statistical modeling.
Nowhere near 1/3 of the voters are independent. You and a LOT of people like you put WAY too much emphasis on the supposed "independent vote".
This post was edited on 10/28/26 at 1:07 pm
Posted on 10/28/26 at 1:11 pm to Bonkers119
(no message)
Posted on 10/28/26 at 1:15 pm to OWLFAN86
You ready for the false claims that you got the result you wanted when you never said you wanted the DSA fruit to win?
It’s coming.
It’s coming.
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