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re: Penn 18th Dist. Lamb 49.8% ; Saccone 49.6% LAMB declares victory

Posted on 3/13/18 at 10:24 pm to
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35381 posts
Posted on 3/13/18 at 10:24 pm to
quote:

1) The opposite party of the sitting president

2) Always heavily skewed to the opposition party to the President (94, 98, 06, 10, 14)
I actually think the opposition phenomenon goes quite a ways back historically, like 100+ years. Regardless it shouldn’t be unexpected regardless of who is in office since it’s such a common phenomenon/
Posted by Little Trump
Florida
Member since Nov 2017
5817 posts
Posted on 3/13/18 at 10:24 pm to
quote:

by Little Trump

Democrats always steal the close ones like this

Notice how it’s stopped at 95-96%?

That’s when the theft of the close elections happens

Democrats sandbag just enough votes to push themselves over the top in the close ones!

Happens just about every single time

Let’s see how long it takes to get this final 4% counted

Democrats are criminals in stealing the close ones



Prophetic???

He’ll no, just my experience in watching this happen for about the last 20 years or so

Happened with Hillary and Trump. Remember when some deciding states got stuck for 3-4 hours right when it would have put Trump over the top. They couldn’t cheat enough to get it for Hillary as they had cheated all they could and couldn’t cheat no more
Posted by Iosh
Bureau of Interstellar Immigration
Member since Dec 2012
18941 posts
Posted on 3/13/18 at 10:25 pm to
Pelosi will probably be more than happy to let any 2018 candidates in Trumpland disavow her. She knows that even in a wave election there won't be enough freshmen to unseat her as leader.
This post was edited on 3/13/18 at 10:26 pm
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
140573 posts
Posted on 3/13/18 at 10:26 pm to
quote:

South carolina, Kansas, Georgia, what else?


Montana and Utah.
Posted by MastrShake
SoCal
Member since Nov 2008
7281 posts
Posted on 3/13/18 at 10:27 pm to


how does it take 3 hours to count to 1,200
This post was edited on 3/13/18 at 10:28 pm
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
140573 posts
Posted on 3/13/18 at 10:28 pm to
quote:

Roy Moore says hi!


Roy Moore was a senate seat.

Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
115400 posts
Posted on 3/13/18 at 10:29 pm to
Hand count.

Multiple counters.

Plus attestors.

Each one would probably take 30 secs to a minute.
Posted by dewster
Chicago
Member since Aug 2006
26608 posts
Posted on 3/13/18 at 10:30 pm to
quote:

Terrible to compare a presidential election to a special election before the mid-terms



And one in a district that is getting sliced and diced in less than a year.
Posted by Bunyan
He/Him
Member since Oct 2016
20931 posts
Posted on 3/13/18 at 10:30 pm to
Has Westmoreland counted the final 1% yet?
Posted by MastrShake
SoCal
Member since Nov 2008
7281 posts
Posted on 3/13/18 at 10:31 pm to
Posted by dewster
Chicago
Member since Aug 2006
26608 posts
Posted on 3/13/18 at 10:31 pm to
quote:

Conor lamb is not your average dem...he is conservative on social issues


Lamb and Saccone are basically the same candidate when it comes to platform.
Posted by Jack Bauers HnK
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2008
6078 posts
Posted on 3/13/18 at 10:31 pm to
How much did the media contribute that isn’t being reflected there?
Posted by VOLhalla
Knoxville
Member since Feb 2011
5132 posts
Posted on 3/13/18 at 10:31 pm to
quote:

Roy Moore was a senate seat.


Here’s your post:

quote:

This would be the 1st special Election congressional loss for the GOP since Trump took office FWIW. The score is GOP 5 and if Lamb wins, Dems 1 in congressional races.


The Senate is part of Congress.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 3/13/18 at 10:33 pm to
Did some rough math. Assumed the two Westmoreland districts equal 1% of the votes outstanding there and they follow the same split as the rest of the county. Then took the outstanding absentee votes in each county and pulled out ole solver on excel to estimate the percentage Saccone needs from the remaining absentee ballots.

He'd need roughly 61% of the absentee vote to swing this race, depending on just how that outstanding Westmoreland vote actually comes in.
Posted by dewster
Chicago
Member since Aug 2006
26608 posts
Posted on 3/13/18 at 10:33 pm to
quote:

They have to also get documents in for their new districts next week. Is it even worth forcing a recount?



Not really. Both of these guys will be running in different districts again in less than a year.
Posted by ShermanTxTiger
Broussard, La
Member since Oct 2007
11380 posts
Posted on 3/13/18 at 10:34 pm to
quote:

congressional

Congressional is always referred to districts as in "congressional district 18". Don't be a dck.
Posted by MastrShake
SoCal
Member since Nov 2008
7281 posts
Posted on 3/13/18 at 10:35 pm to
Trump at his Saccone rally:

quote:

"I won this district by like 22 points! ... This guy should win easily!"
This post was edited on 3/13/18 at 10:36 pm
Posted by OchoDedos
Republic of Texas
Member since Oct 2014
39921 posts
Posted on 3/13/18 at 10:35 pm to
the really sad thing about this is whoever wins this will be out of office in Jan 2019
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
115400 posts
Posted on 3/13/18 at 10:35 pm to
quote:

should
Posted by RebelExpress38
In your base, killin your dudes
Member since Apr 2012
14304 posts
Posted on 3/13/18 at 10:36 pm to
https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/data/mid-term_elections.php


If anyone is interested this chart shows Presidents have pretty much always gotten rocked in midterms after their election with the exception of Bush in 02 after 9/11. Even Reagan got shelled.
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