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Started By
Message
re: New Polls: Translation Country is FRICKED
Posted on 7/23/24 at 3:17 pm to RAB
Posted on 7/23/24 at 3:17 pm to RAB
quote:
. And if the GOP hasn't gotten better at ballot harvesting and poll watching, then they deserve to lose.
I think they have gotten better from an awareness, money and resource point of view. They have not gotten better from a dispel your morals point of view. The GOP needs to cheat in these swing states and not feel bad about it.
0
Posted on 7/23/24 at 3:17 pm to Covingtontiger77
Man, this board is going to be a shitshow come morning after. People here are so blindly, passionately convinced Trump is locked in.
Posted on 7/23/24 at 3:18 pm to TigerFanatic99
quote:
People here are so blindly, passionately convinced Trump is locked in.
Not me. This was always going to be a fight to the death.
Posted on 7/23/24 at 3:19 pm to Covingtontiger77
the footage of Kamala's event made it look like it was PACKED and a large crowd.
I just saw it cleared out. It was a small gym sectioned off with people that were probably rent a crowd to SCREAM
FREEDOM.
That is all she said FREEDOM.
I just saw it cleared out. It was a small gym sectioned off with people that were probably rent a crowd to SCREAM
FREEDOM.
That is all she said FREEDOM.
This post was edited on 7/23/24 at 3:21 pm
Posted on 7/23/24 at 3:21 pm to Covingtontiger77
In this poll 37% of those surveyed said they did not vote in 2020. It is also D+4. Turnout will not be D+4 in November.
Posted on 7/23/24 at 3:22 pm to Covingtontiger77
She is going to need to get 42-44% of the white vote in order to win. Obama received 39% in 2012 but there was a large AA turnout where he received 93%. The more AA vote Trump gets then she will have to pull more from other groups. Jewish voters usually vote 70-30 Democrat. That number is likely to change in R favor as well.
This post was edited on 7/23/24 at 3:25 pm
Posted on 7/23/24 at 3:24 pm to Covingtontiger77
Reuters was D+6 and underestimated Trump by 10.
Richard Baris on twitter correctly kills their methodology
Richard Baris on twitter correctly kills their methodology
Posted on 7/23/24 at 3:30 pm to Covingtontiger77
I’m old enough to remember when folks were saying we’d have to wait at least 1-2 weeks to see if the attempted assassination would have any effect on the ‘polls’.
I guess the ‘polls’ have got real speedy reacting to completely unlikely events since that long ago time…
I guess the ‘polls’ have got real speedy reacting to completely unlikely events since that long ago time…
Posted on 7/23/24 at 3:36 pm to Covingtontiger77
Some of you will roll over at the slightest breeze. It’s really unbelievable.
Posted on 7/23/24 at 3:37 pm to Covingtontiger77
Posted on 7/23/24 at 3:38 pm to MightyYat
quote:
You can't possibly believe that.
While I agree with you 100% it’s what they’re gonna use try and push her over the top with cheating.
This post was edited on 7/23/24 at 3:43 pm
Posted on 7/23/24 at 3:39 pm to MFn GIMP
quote:
In this poll 37% of those surveyed said they did not vote in 2020.
Registered voter polls are useless
Likely voter polls give you more accurate numbers
This post was edited on 7/23/24 at 3:40 pm
Posted on 7/23/24 at 3:40 pm to Covingtontiger77
Hate to sound like Josh but this is a D+5 poll. 2020 was D+1. Those numbers are brutal for dems
Posted on 7/23/24 at 3:41 pm to cajuntiger1010
Explain what d +6 and undercount R by 10 means.
Posted on 7/23/24 at 3:45 pm to Old1937
If y'all didn't expect this I don't know what to tell you.
Posted on 7/23/24 at 3:47 pm to Old1937
quote:
Explain what d +6 and undercount R by 10 means.
It means they expect turnout to be somewhere around 38% Democrats, 32% Republicans, and 30% Independents. Hard to tell because they didn't explicitly say what the spread is, but basically they're projecting Obama 2008 turnout which is absurd.
2020 was 37D/36R/26I
Posted on 7/23/24 at 3:50 pm to Bama Bird
Thanks, that seems they just throw numbers out , I don't see the authenticity of a poll like that. Are all polls that way ?
Posted on 7/23/24 at 3:50 pm to MightyYat
That age demographic is hardcore anti Israel. Kamala has given occasional legitimacy to the Palestinian cause. It’s not surprising she’s polling well with them.
Posted on 7/23/24 at 3:59 pm to Old1937
quote:
Thanks, that seems they just throw numbers out , I don't see the authenticity of a poll like that. Are all polls that way ?
They probably will be for the time being. This is why they're always so far off though but at this point they're just trying to astroturf enthusiasm
Posted on 7/23/24 at 4:01 pm to Covingtontiger77
quote:
Do I believe 18-39 yr olds will vote for a woman of color over common sense at record clips.
I’m in this age group, no male I know is voting for Kamala.
Problem is more women vote.
This post was edited on 7/23/24 at 4:02 pm
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