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re: IMO based on early voting/history/support this is the definitive current state of the race

Posted on 10/27/20 at 12:45 am to
Posted by Eat Your Crow
caught beneath the landslide
Member since May 2017
9190 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 12:45 am to
quote:

I'm thinking Trump will take Virginia.

I mean, if he would have campaigned super hard there, he would have had a small 15-20% chance.

He doesn't need Virginia. He's not spending any ad money there. I think he's campaigned there once just to double dip with North Carolina voters.
This post was edited on 10/27/20 at 12:46 am
Posted by CrimsonFever
Gump Hard or Go Home
Member since Jul 2012
18086 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 12:55 am to
Id agree but I would put Florida and NC as toss ups as well.


Posted by Scoob
Near Exxon
Member since Jun 2009
22903 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 12:59 am to
quote:

I'm thinking Trump will take Virginia.

The key is voter pushback against Democratic policies.

In Virginia, it's the gun control efforts and abortion stuff.

In Michigan, I think the extreme lockdown by the Dem governor will be a big issue.

In Pennsylvania, gotta wonder how badly Biden's New Green Deal tie-ins will play.

Those are the three states I think will swing Red.
Posted by Auburn80
Backwater, TN
Member since Nov 2017
9611 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 1:06 am to
Virginia is guaranteed blue due to the population increases in NOVA. Most of everything south of NOVA is red except for Charlottesville and a couple counties.
Posted by Bass Tiger
Member since Oct 2014
53783 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 1:14 am to
quote:

The election comes down to two states imo: Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.


Philly is typically +80% Dim votes.....man that’s some crazy shite right there, probably 10-15% of that 80% is fraudulent. Lol.
Posted by mizzoubuckeyeiowa
Member since Nov 2015
39016 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 1:27 am to
Pennsylvania is like Oregon; one city controls the State.

Trump has a chance if city dwellers stay home and the rural population comes out in droves.
Posted by Red Stick Rambler
https://i.imgur.com/2j5cbGm.jpg
Member since Jun 2011
2264 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 1:51 am to
quote:

The election comes down to two states imo: Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.


The shite in Kenosha and now BLM riots in Philly aren’t helping Biden.
Posted by pankReb
Defending National Champs Fan
Member since Mar 2009
71745 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 1:56 am to
quote:

Virginia is guaranteed blue due to the population increases in NOVA. Most of everything south of NOVA is red except for Charlottesville and a couple counties


Richmond is blue and the Hampton roads/tidewater area is purple.

Outside of those is definitely trump country everywhere that I’ve drive. We need every single rural Virginian to show up.
This post was edited on 10/27/20 at 1:58 am
Posted by mizzoubuckeyeiowa
Member since Nov 2015
39016 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 2:11 am to
In 1860 Pennsylvania had 27 electoral votes...California had 4 (Lincoln won California and Oregon) Now Penn has 20 and California has 55.

Funny how things change and yet stay the same. Pennsylvania as important as it ever was.
Posted by Mizzoufan26
Vacaville CA
Member since Sep 2012
18965 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 2:13 am to
quote:

lol my bad on NV




You want us to accept and reply to your opinion as if you deserve to be talking to us, but you can’t even read. Derp....
Posted by TomBuchanan
East Egg, Long Island
Member since Jul 2019
6269 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 2:38 am to
(no message)
This post was edited on 8/22/21 at 12:30 pm
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
125509 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 4:17 am to
quote:

Philly is typically +80% Dim votes


There’s some indications that Biden is underperforming Hillary’s numbers in Philly by 5+% points. If that’s the case, that’s a bad sign for Biden.
Posted by lsufan1971
Zachary
Member since Nov 2003
23745 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 4:42 am to

quote:

Mr Perfect


quote:

but you have them as toss ups.. sure thing dude lol


Idiot
Posted by Jumbo_Gumbo
Denham Springs
Member since Dec 2015
5962 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 5:35 am to
Scratch PA with the new rules that don’t require signatures to match. The Dems will cheat and steal this election. Biden and that filthy party will try to pack the court, and do all the things they quietly speak about to rig this country so that a Republican never wins the White House again, and they take back the senate. Good thing is we still have the 2nd Amendment.
Posted by HurricaneTiger
Coral Gables, FL
Member since Jan 2014
3150 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 5:40 am to
quote:

what's so funny dude.. you're the one out here saying trump going to win nevada.. basically no chance on that one

Hillary barely won it in 2016, and if early voting trends at the same ratio of red-blue as it is right now, it could easily flip.

New Mexico would be the hard one to win.
Posted by GeauxtigersMs36
The coast
Member since Jan 2018
12470 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 5:42 am to
Basically win Pennsylvania and one other state.
Posted by kingbob
Sorrento, LA
Member since Nov 2010
69319 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 6:44 am to
This map looks correct to me.
Posted by Knight of Old
New Hampshire
Member since Jul 2007
12586 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 6:56 am to
NH does not have early voting, so painting it blue shows you don’t know what you’re talking about.

BTW, NH goes Trump IMO...
Posted by OccamsStubble
Member since Aug 2019
8955 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 7:06 am to
quote:


In 1860 Pennsylvania had 27 electoral votes...California had 4 (Lincoln won California and Oregon) Now Penn has 20 and California has 55.


Only 51 of those 55 represent California citizens. California’s illegal alien population gets more electoral votes than the citizens in Alaska, or Montana, or Wyoming, or North Dakota, or South Dakota.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
133619 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 7:08 am to
Go ahead and change Pennsylvania to red.
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